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Liga MX · Apertura - 13 October 21, 2026 02:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Guadalajara Chivas
#3 · 26 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Necaxa
#17 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas
Agustin Oliveros 77' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Necaxa 17%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Necaxa.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.76
Actual xG
0.58
4
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
5
19
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
Miguel Rodriguez
↕ Leonel Calderón Oviedo / Hugo Camberos
45'
45'
Raúl Martínez / Emilio Martínez ↕
↕ Jordan Carrillo / Santiago Sandoval
45'
54'
Owen González / Miguel Rodriguez ↕
54'
Julián Carranza / Juan Valencia ↕
↕ Diego Campillo / Bryan Gonzalez
61'
↕ Richard Ledezma / Kevin Castañeda
61'
↕ Efrain Alvarez / Jesús Hernández
72'
⚽Agustin Oliveros (og)
77'
78'
Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido / Lorenzo Faravelli ↕
84'
Miguel Pedroza / Diego Ochoa ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.03%
Guadalajara ←
22.12%
X
17.85%
Necaxa
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 60.03% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guadalajara
2.29
0.76
-1.53
Necaxa
1.06
0.58
-0.48
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 7.61
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo 61' D 7.76
16 L. Rey L. Rey D 7.67
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre D 7.59
182 L. Calderon L. Calderon 45' M 6.73
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 45' M 7.20
28 R. González R. González M 6.58
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 61' M 7.14
10 E. Álvarez E. Álvarez 72' M 6.87
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado M 7.20
17 R. Marín R. Marín F 6.20
Bench
5 B. González B. González 29' D 7.07
46 C. Hernandez C. Hernandez D 0.00
59 C. Inda C. Inda M 0.00
14 H. Camberos H. Camberos 45' M 7.03
57 J. Hernández J. Hernández 18' F 6.48
18 J. Pérez J. Pérez M 0.00
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 29' M 6.96
24 M. Gómez M. Gómez D 0.00
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G 0.00
30 Santiago Sandoval Santiago Sandoval 45' M 6.81
Necaxa Necaxa 5-4-1
181
G 6.23
14 M. Zaleta M. Zaleta D 6.94
3 A. Oliveros A. Oliveros 1 ⚽ D 5.92
15 D. Ochoa D. Ochoa 84' D 6.79
5 Kaiky Naves Kaiky Naves D 7.16
2 E. Martínez E. Martínez 45' D 6.10
10 J. Ruiz J. Ruiz M 7.20
8 L. Faravelli L. Faravelli 78' M 6.61
6 D. Leyva D. Leyva M 6.66
99 M. Rodríguez M. Rodríguez 54' M 6.43
90 J. Valencia J. Valencia 54' F 5.95
Bench
1 C. Andrade C. Andrade G 0.00
88 C. Vargas C. Vargas D 0.00
9 J. Carranza J. Carranza 36' F 6.19
21 M. Espíndola M. Espíndola M 0.00
27 M. Pedroza M. Pedroza 6' F 6.29
13 Owen de Jesús González Ojeda Owen de Jesús González Ojeda 36' M 6.55
17 R. Cortéz R. Cortéz M 0.00
33 R. Martínez R. Martínez 45' D 6.55
Best on the pitch
D. Campillo
D. Campillo
D · Guadalajara
7.76
· 52 pass
L. Rey
L. Rey
D · Guadalajara
7.67
· 56 pass
J. Rangel
J. Rangel
G · Guadalajara
7.61
· 30 pass
D. Aguirre
D. Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.59
· 61 pass
J. Ruiz
J. Ruiz
M · Necaxa
7.20
3 shots · 24 pass
J. Carrillo
J. Carrillo
M · Guadalajara
7.20
1 shots · 27 pass
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 7.61 — — 0 30 20% 0 — —
D. Campillo D 61 7.76 — — 0 52 49% 0 — —
L. Rey D 90 7.67 — — 0 56 48% 3 — —
D. Aguirre D 90 7.59 — — 0 61 53% 2 — —
L. Calderon M 45 6.73 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
J. Carrillo M 45 7.20 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
R. González M 90 6.58 — — 0 69 57% 6 — —
R. Ledezma M 61 7.14 — — 1 36 35% 2 — —
E. Álvarez M 72 6.87 — — 0 78 69% 0 — —
R. Alvarado M 90 7.20 — — 3 57 52% 1 — —
R. Marín F 90 6.20 — — 1 20 11% 0 — —
B. González D 29 7.07 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
H. Camberos M 45 7.03 — — 1 14 11% 2 — —
J. Hernández F 18 6.48 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
K. Castañeda M 29 6.96 — — 2 15 11% 0 — —
Santiago Sandoval M 45 6.81 — — 0 12 7% 1 — —
Necaxa Necaxa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.23 — — 0 42 15% 0 — —
M. Zaleta D 90 6.94 — — 1 28 22% 2 — —
A. Oliveros D 90 5.92 1 — 2 45 35% 0 — —
D. Ochoa D 84 6.79 — — 0 27 24% 0 — —
Kaiky Naves D 90 7.16 — — 1 47 43% 2 — —
E. Martínez D 45 6.10 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
J. Ruiz M 90 7.20 — — 3 24 21% 4 — —
L. Faravelli M 78 6.61 — — 0 28 25% 0 — —
D. Leyva M 90 6.66 — — 1 46 35% 1 — —
M. Rodríguez M 54 6.43 — — 1 13 12% 1 1 —
J. Valencia F 54 5.95 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
J. Carranza F 36 6.19 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
M. Pedroza F 6 6.29 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda M 36 6.55 — — 1 16 12% 0 — —
R. Martínez D 45 6.55 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Necaxa win.