Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 03:07
✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas
B. Gonzalez
(ast. E. Alvarez)
19'
R. Marin
(ast. B. Gutierrez)
27'
B. Gutierrez
(ast. A. Gonzalez)
51'
B. Gonzalez
82'
H. Camberos
(ast. S. Sandoval)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Puebla 10%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
1.21
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
9
Corners
0
11
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
O. Gonzalez
/
K. Velasco
⚽B. Gonzalez
· ast. E. Alvarez
19'
⚽R. Marin
· ast. B. Gutierrez
27'
46'
A. Gamarra
/
A. Canelo
⚽B. Gutierrez
· ast. A. Gonzalez
51'
R. Marin
/ S. Sandoval
56'
60'
L. Rey
/
E. Navarro
60'
E. Lozano
/
A. Organista
B. Gutierrez
/ F. Gonzalez
65'
68'
F. Monarrez
J. Castillo
/ H. Camberos
77'
R. Alvarado
/ Y. Padilla
78'
E. Alvarez
/ J. Perez
78'
79'
B. Garnica
/
E. Navarro
⚽B. Gonzalez
82'
⚽H. Camberos
· ast. S. Sandoval
84'
Pre-match prediction
74.45%
Guadalajara ←
15.24%
X
10.31%
Puebla
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
74.45%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
1.21
-1.34
0.67
0.24
-0.43
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
2
José Castillo
77'
D
José Castillo
77'
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
23
D. Aguirre
D
5
Bryan González
2 ⚽
M
Bryan González
2 ⚽
M
11
B. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
1 👟
65'
M
B. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
1 👟
65'
M
7
L. Romo
M
10
Efrain Alvarez
1 👟
78'
M
Efrain Alvarez
1 👟
78'
M
34
A. González
1 👟
F
A. González
1 👟
F
25
R. Alvarado
78'
F
17
Ricardo Marín
1 ⚽
56'
F
Ricardo Marín
1 ⚽
56'
F
Bench
28
Fernando González
25'
M
Fernando González
25'
M
26
Hugo Camberos
1 ⚽
13'
M
Hugo Camberos
1 ⚽
13'
M
24
Miguel Gómez
D
Miguel Gómez
D
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
28
G
7
F. Monarrez
D
6
N. Diaz
D
4
J. Vargas
D
192
E. Navarro
79'
D
12
I. Moreno
60'
D
11
E. Gomez
M
24
A. Organista
60'
M
16
A. Ramirez
M
26
K. Velasco
15'
M
25
A. Canelo
45'
F
Bench
18
A. Gamarra
45'
M
27
B. Garnica
11'
M
17
E. Lozano
30'
F
Best on the pitch
B. Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 44 pass
Bryan González
M · Guadalajara
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 40 pass
Efrain Alvarez
M · Guadalajara
8.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 69 pass
Hugo Camberos
M · Guadalajara
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Diego Campillo
D · Guadalajara
7.50
· 99 pass
L. Romo
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots
· 91 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| José Castillo | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 73 | 69% | — | — | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 99 | 91% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan González | M | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 65 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 80% | 4 | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | M | 78 | 8.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| A. González | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 56 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Camberos | M | 13 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| F. Monarrez | D | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Diaz | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Navarro | D | 79 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 60 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| E. Gomez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramirez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| K. Velasco | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Canelo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Gamarra | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 15% to a draw, and 10% to an Puebla win.