Liga MX · Clausura - 15 April 19, 2026 03:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Guadalajara Chivas

#3 · 26 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Puebla

#14 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas

B. Gonzalez (ast. E. Alvarez) 19'

R. Marin (ast. B. Gutierrez) 27'

B. Gutierrez (ast. A. Gonzalez) 51'

B. Gonzalez 82'

H. Camberos (ast. S. Sandoval) 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Puebla 10%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

3

8

Shots on target

1

1.21

Actual xG

0.24

1

Saves

3

68%

Possession

32%

9

Corners

0

11

Tackles

6

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

15'

O. Gonzalez / K. Velasco ↕

⚽B. Gonzalez · ast. E. Alvarez

19'

⚽R. Marin · ast. B. Gutierrez

27'

46'

A. Gamarra / A. Canelo ↕

⚽B. Gutierrez · ast. A. Gonzalez

51'

↕ R. Marin / S. Sandoval

56'

60'

L. Rey / E. Navarro ↕

60'

E. Lozano / A. Organista ↕

↕ B. Gutierrez / F. Gonzalez

65'

68'

F. Monarrez

↕ J. Castillo / H. Camberos

77'

↕ R. Alvarado / Y. Padilla

78'

↕ E. Alvarez / J. Perez

78'

79'

B. Garnica / E. Navarro ↕

⚽B. Gonzalez

82'

⚽H. Camberos · ast. S. Sandoval

84'

Pre-match prediction

74.45%

Guadalajara ←

15.24%

X

10.31%

Puebla

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 74.45% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Guadalajara

2.55

1.21

-1.34

Puebla

0.67

0.24

-0.43

Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	13	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	26
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	26
4	Atlas	14	24
5	Toluca	14	23
6	Leon	14	22
7	Monterrey	13	20
8	Club Tijuana	13	20
9	Club Queretaro	13	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	19
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	17
13	CF Pachuca	14	16
14	Puebla	14	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	15
16	Atlante FC	14	14
17	Necaxa	14	10
18	FC Juarez	14	5

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.90

2 J. Castillo 77' D 7.00

19 D. Campillo D 7.50

23 D. Aguirre D 6.60

5 B. González 2 ⚽ M 8.90

11 B. Gutiérrez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 65' M 9.20

7 L. Romo M 7.30

10 E. Álvarez 1 👟 78' M 8.50

34 A. González 1 👟 F 7.20

25 R. Alvarado 78' F 6.90

17 R. Marín 1 ⚽ 56' F 7.00

Bench

26 H. Camberos 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.60

24 M. Gómez D

13 Óscar Whalley G

28 R. González 25' M 6.60

Puebla 5-4-1

28

G 6.30

7 F. Monárrez D 5.00

6 N. Díaz D 5.30

4 J. Vargas D 5.90

192 Eduardo Navarro 79' D 5.60

12 I. Moreno 60' D 5.60

11 E. Gómez M 6.20

24 A. Organista 60' M 6.70

16 A. Ramírez M 6.20

26 K. Velasco 15' M 6.30

25 A. Canelo 45' F 6.30

Bench

18 Ariel Gamarra 45' M 6.90

27 B. Garnica 11' M 6.50

17 E. Lozano 30' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

B. Gutiérrez

M · Guadalajara

9.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 44 pass

B. González

M · Guadalajara

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 40 pass

E. Álvarez

M · Guadalajara

8.50

1 👟

2 shots · 69 pass

H. Camberos

M · Guadalajara

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

D. Campillo

D · Guadalajara

7.50

· 99 pass

L. Romo

M · Guadalajara

7.30

1 shots · 91 pass

Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	28%	—	—	—
J. Castillo	D	77	7.00	—	—	—	73	69%	—	—	—
D. Campillo	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	99	91%	2	—	—
D. Aguirre	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	60	56%	1	—	—
B. González	M	90	8.90	2	—	3	40	38%	1	—	—
B. Gutiérrez	M	65	9.20	1	1	2	44	41%	1	—	—
L. Romo	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	91	80%	4	—	—
E. Álvarez	M	78	8.50	—	1	2	69	62%	—	—	—
A. González	F	90	7.20	—	1	1	12	10%	—	—	—
R. Alvarado	F	78	6.90	—	—	1	54	49%	2	—	—
R. Marín	F	56	7.00	1	—	1	10	7%	—	—	—
H. Camberos	M	13	7.60	1	—	1	6	6%	—	—	—
R. González	M	25	6.60	—	—	—	26	25%	—	—	—

Puebla — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	17%	—	—	—
F. Monárrez	D	90	5.00	—	—	—	18	14%	—	1	—
N. Díaz	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	30	26%	—	—	—
J. Vargas	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	37	35%	1	—	—
Eduardo Navarro	D	79	5.60	—	—	—	20	16%	1	—	—
I. Moreno	D	60	5.60	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
E. Gómez	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	19	14%	1	—	—
A. Organista	M	60	6.70	—	—	1	29	28%	1	—	—
A. Ramírez	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	28	20%	—	—	—
K. Velasco	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
A. Canelo	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
Ariel Gamarra	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	15	12%	2	—	—
B. Garnica	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
E. Lozano	F	30	6.30	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—