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Liga MX · Clausura - 15 April 19, 2026 03:07
#1 · 35 pts
5 – 0
Final score
#17 · 13 pts
Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas
B. Gonzalez (ast. E. Alvarez) 19'
R. Marin (ast. B. Gutierrez) 27'
B. Gutierrez (ast. A. Gonzalez) 51'
B. Gonzalez 82'
H. Camberos (ast. S. Sandoval) 84'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Puebla 10%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla. In 1 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
1.21
Actual xG
0.24
1
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
9
Corners
0
11
Tackles
6
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
O. Gonzalez / K. Velasco
B. Gonzalez · ast. E. Alvarez
19'
R. Marin · ast. B. Gutierrez
27'
46'
A. Gamarra / A. Canelo
B. Gutierrez · ast. A. Gonzalez
51'
R. Marin / S. Sandoval
56'
60'
L. Rey / E. Navarro
60'
E. Lozano / A. Organista
B. Gutierrez / F. Gonzalez
65'
68'
F. Monarrez
J. Castillo / H. Camberos
77'
R. Alvarado / Y. Padilla
78'
E. Alvarez / J. Perez
78'
79'
B. Garnica / E. Navarro
B. Gonzalez
82'
H. Camberos · ast. S. Sandoval
84'
Pre-match prediction
74.45%
Guadalajara ←
15.24%
X
10.31%
Puebla
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 74.45% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guadalajara
2.55
1.21
-1.34
Puebla
0.67
0.24
-0.43
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monterrey Monterrey 2 3
1 Toluca Toluca 17 37
1 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 16 35
1 Toluca Toluca 2 3
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 36
1 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 1 3
1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2 4
1 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1 3
2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 17 36
2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 3
2 Toluca Toluca 2 3
2 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 1 0
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 17 36
2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16 33
2 Toluca Toluca 2 4
2 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 1 3
3 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 3
3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 0
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 17 35
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 17 33
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2 2
3 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 16 31
4 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2 2
4 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 16 30
4 Monterrey Monterrey 2 3
4 Club America Club America 17 34
4 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1 0
4 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 17 31
5 Toluca Toluca 16 27
5 Toluca Toluca 17 30
5 Monterrey Monterrey 17 31
5 Club America Club America 2 3
6 Atlas Atlas 17 26
6 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 17 29
6 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 2 3
6 Club America Club America 16 25
7 Atlas Atlas 16 23
7 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 17 25
7 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 17 24
7 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 2 1
8 FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 23
8 Club America Club America 17 25
8 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2 1
8 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 16 22
9 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 17 23
9 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 17 22
9 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 16 22
10 Leon Leon 16 22
10 Leon Leon 17 22
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 21
11 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 17 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
11 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
12 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
12 FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 19
12 Monterrey Monterrey 16 18
13 Monterrey Monterrey 17 18
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 16 18
13 Necaxa Necaxa 17 17
14 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 17 18
14 Atlas Atlas 17 17
14 Necaxa Necaxa 16 18
15 Necaxa Necaxa 17 18
15 FC Juarez FC Juarez 16 16
15 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 17 16
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 17 15
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 17 14
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 16 15
17 Leon Leon 17 13
17 Puebla Puebla 17 13
17 Puebla Puebla 17 13
18 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 17 12
18 Puebla Puebla 17 12
18 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 16 9
Lineups
1
G 6.90
2 José Castillo José Castillo 77' D 7.00
19 Diego Campillo Diego Campillo D 7.50
23
D. Aguirre D 6.60
5 Bryan González Bryan González 2 ⚽ M 8.90
11 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 65' M 9.20
7
L. Romo M 7.30
10 Efrain Alvarez Efrain Alvarez 1 👟 78' M 8.50
34 A. González A. González 1 👟 F 7.20
25
R. Alvarado 78' F 6.90
17 Ricardo Marín Ricardo Marín 1 ⚽ 56' F 7.00
Bench
28 Fernando González Fernando González 25' M 6.60
26 Hugo Camberos Hugo Camberos 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.60
24 Miguel Gómez Miguel Gómez D
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G
Puebla Puebla 5-4-1
28
G 6.30
7
F. Monarrez D 5.00
6
N. Diaz D 5.30
4
J. Vargas D 5.90
192
E. Navarro 79' D 5.60
12
I. Moreno 60' D 5.60
11
E. Gomez M 6.20
24
A. Organista 60' M 6.70
16
A. Ramirez M 6.20
26
K. Velasco 15' M 6.30
25
A. Canelo 45' F 6.30
Bench
18
A. Gamarra 45' M 6.90
27
B. Garnica 11' M 6.50
17
E. Lozano 30' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
B. Gutiérrez
B. Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 44 pass
Bryan González
Bryan González
M · Guadalajara
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 40 pass
Efrain Alvarez
Efrain Alvarez
M · Guadalajara
8.50
1 👟
2 shots · 69 pass
Hugo Camberos
Hugo Camberos
M · Guadalajara
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Diego Campillo
Diego Campillo
D · Guadalajara
7.50
· 99 pass
L. Romo
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots · 91 pass
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 34 28%
José Castillo D 77 7.00 73 69%
Diego Campillo D 90 7.50 99 91% 2
D. Aguirre D 90 6.60 1 60 56% 1
Bryan González M 90 8.90 2 3 40 38% 1
B. Gutiérrez M 65 9.20 1 1 2 44 41% 1
L. Romo M 90 7.30 1 91 80% 4
Efrain Alvarez M 78 8.50 1 2 69 62%
A. González F 90 7.20 1 1 12 10%
R. Alvarado F 78 6.90 1 54 49% 2
Ricardo Marín F 56 7.00 1 1 10 7%
Fernando González M 25 6.60 26 25%
Hugo Camberos M 13 7.60 1 1 6 6%
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 36 17%
F. Monarrez D 90 5.00 18 14% 1
N. Diaz D 90 5.30 30 26%
J. Vargas D 90 5.90 37 35% 1
E. Navarro D 79 5.60 20 16% 1
I. Moreno D 60 5.60 25 21%
E. Gomez M 90 6.20 1 19 14% 1
A. Organista M 60 6.70 1 29 28% 1
A. Ramirez M 90 6.20 28 20%
K. Velasco M 15 6.30 6 6%
A. Canelo F 45 6.30 8 4%
A. Gamarra M 45 6.90 15 12% 2
B. Garnica M 11 6.50 3 3%
E. Lozano F 30 6.30 1 4 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 15% to a draw, and 10% to an Puebla win.