Liga MX
· Clausura - Quarter-finals
May 10, 2026 03:07
S. Sandoval
74'
S. Sandoval
(ast. O. Govea)
77'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Tigres UANL 27%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Tigres UANL. In 3 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
1.73
Actual xG
0.63
3
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
13
Corners
1
10
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
2'
44'
J. Garza
46'
D. Lainez
/
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
60'
V. Lorona
/
R. Aguirre
62'
R. Guerrero
/
J. Vigon
J. Castillo
/ M. Gomez
68'
⚽S. Sandoval
74'
⚽S. Sandoval
· ast. O. Govea
77'
80'
A. Gignac
/
J. Angulo
80'
M. Flores
/
J. Garza
R. Ledezma
/ G. Sepulveda
84'
R. Marin
/ S. Aguayo
84'
S. Sandoval
/ M. Tapias
90'+1
E. Alvarez
/ Y. Padilla
90'+1
90'+7
R. Guerrero
90'+8
A. Gignac
F. Gonzalez
90'+8
90'
F. Reyes
Pre-match prediction
45.3%
Guadalajara ←
27.09%
X
27.6%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
45.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.73
+0.11
1.22
0.63
-0.59
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
5
Bryan González
D
Bryan González
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
68'
D
José Castillo
68'
D
10
Efrain Alvarez
M
Efrain Alvarez
M
6
Omar Govea
1 👟
M
Omar Govea
1 👟
M
28
Fernando González
M
Fernando González
M
226
Santiago Sandoval
M
Santiago Sandoval
M
37
Richard Ledezma
84'
M
Richard Ledezma
84'
M
20
Ángel Sepúlveda
F
Ángel Sepúlveda
F
17
Ricardo Marín
84'
F
Ricardo Marín
84'
F
Bench
225
Cristian Samir Inda
M
Cristian Samir Inda
M
3
Gilberto Sepúlveda
14'
D
Gilberto Sepúlveda
14'
D
26
Hugo Camberos
M
Hugo Camberos
M
18
Jonathan Perez
M
Jonathan Perez
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
Juan Liceaga
G
24
Miguel Gómez
30'
D
Miguel Gómez
30'
D
4
Miguel Tapias
7'
D
Miguel Tapias
7'
D
67
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
14'
F
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
14'
F
31
Yael Padilla
7'
F
Yael Padilla
7'
F
1
Nahuel Guzmán
G
Nahuel Guzmán
G
2
Diego Reyes
D
Diego Reyes
D
27
Jesús Angulo
80'
D
Jesús Angulo
80'
D
23
Rômulo Zwarg
D
Rômulo Zwarg
D
14
Jesus Garza
80'
D
Jesus Garza
80'
D
5
César Araújo
M
César Araújo
M
6
Juan Vigón
62'
M
Juan Vigón
62'
M
30
Diego Sánchez
45'
M
Diego Sánchez
45'
M
11
Juan Brunetta
M
Juan Brunetta
M
7
Ángel Correa
M
Ángel Correa
M
17
R. Aguirre
60'
F
R. Aguirre
60'
F
Bench
10
André-Pierre Gignac
18'
F
André-Pierre Gignac
18'
F
25
Carlos Rodríguez
G
Carlos Rodríguez
G
16
Diego Lainez
53'
M
Diego Lainez
53'
M
198
Isaias Galvan
F
Isaias Galvan
F
19
Ivan López
F
Ivan López
F
4
Juan José Purata
D
Juan José Purata
D
20
Marcelo Flores
18'
M
Marcelo Flores
18'
M
3
Marco Farfan
D
Marco Farfan
D
33
Rafael Guerrero
36'
D
Rafael Guerrero
36'
D
32
Vladimir Loroña
38'
D
Vladimir Loroña
38'
D
Best on the pitch
Santiago Sandoval
M · Guadalajara
9.20
5 shots
· 19 pass
Óscar Whalley
G · Guadalajara
7.90
· 28 pass
Omar Govea
M · Guadalajara
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 63 pass
Diego Campillo
D · Guadalajara
7.70
1 shots
· 68 pass
Efrain Alvarez
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
Diego Lainez
M · Tigres
7.20
· 12 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Govea | M | 98 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 63 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | M | 91 | 9.20 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ledezma | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Sepúlveda | F | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilberto Sepúlveda | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Tapias | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yael Padilla | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Guzmán | G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Diego Reyes | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Jesús Angulo | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo Zwarg | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesus Garza | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 4 | 1 | — |
| César Araújo | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Vigón | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Brunetta | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Correa | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| André-Pierre Gignac | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Lainez | M | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Flores | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Guerrero | D | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vladimir Loroña | D | 38 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Tigres UANL win.