Jordan Carrillo
(ast. Bryan Gonzalez)
77'
36'
(ast. Diego Lainez)
Juan Brunetta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Tigres UANL 24%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL. In 4 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
30
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
10
Corners
6
7
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
36'
ast. Diego Lainez ·
Juan Brunetta⚽
45'+2
Juan Brunetta
Leonel Calderón Oviedo
/ Bryan Gonzalez
45'
Ángel Sepúlveda
/ Ricardo Marín
45'
Santiago Sandoval
51'
62'
Emiliano Gómez
/
Rodrigo Aguirre
62'
Ricardo Monreal
/
Diego Sánchez
62'
Jesús Garza
/
Diego Lainez
Luis Rey
/ Richard Ledezma
62'
Fernando González
67'
Fernando González
/ Jordan Carrillo
72'
75'
Vladimir Loroña
/
Joaquim Pereira
⚽Jordan Carrillo
· ast. Bryan Gonzalez
77'
Santiago Sandoval
/ Jesús Hernández
86'
87'
Jonathan Herrera
/
Fernando Gorriarán
Pre-match prediction
49.87%
Guadalajara
25.38%
X ←
24.74%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.11
1.68
-0.43
1.27
0.48
-0.79
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Rangel
G
J. Rangel
G
3
D. Campillo
D
D. Campillo
D
16
L. Rey
62'
D
L. Rey
62'
D
23
D. Aguirre
D
D. Aguirre
D
182
L. Calderon
45'
M
L. Calderon
45'
M
11
B. Gutiérrez
M
B. Gutiérrez
M
28
R. González
72'
M
R. González
72'
M
25
R. Alvarado
M
R. Alvarado
M
10
E. Álvarez
M
E. Álvarez
M
30
Santiago Sandoval
86'
M
Santiago Sandoval
86'
M
9
Á. Sepúlveda
45'
F
Á. Sepúlveda
45'
F
Bench
56
Á. Chávez
D
Á. Chávez
D
5
B. González
1 👟
45'
D
B. González
1 👟
45'
D
46
C. Hernandez
D
C. Hernandez
D
59
C. Inda
M
C. Inda
M
14
H. Camberos
M
H. Camberos
M
33
J. Carrillo
1 ⚽
18'
M
J. Carrillo
1 ⚽
18'
M
57
J. Hernández
4'
F
J. Hernández
4'
F
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
37
R. Ledezma
28'
D
R. Ledezma
28'
D
17
R. Marín
45'
F
R. Marín
45'
F
1
N. Guzmán
G
N. Guzmán
G
19
M. Laínez
D
M. Laínez
D
33
R. Guerrero
D
R. Guerrero
D
28
Joaquim
75'
D
Joaquim
75'
D
15
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
8
F. Gorriarán
87'
M
F. Gorriarán
87'
M
5
C. Araújo
M
C. Araújo
M
17
R. Aguirre
62'
M
R. Aguirre
62'
M
16
D. Lainez
1 👟
62'
M
D. Lainez
1 👟
62'
M
30
D. Sánchez
62'
M
D. Sánchez
62'
M
11
J. Brunetta
1 ⚽
45'
F
J. Brunetta
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
9
E. Gómez
28'
F
E. Gómez
28'
F
25
F. Rodríguez
G
F. Rodríguez
G
22
G. Martínez
F
G. Martínez
F
29
J. Contreras
F
J. Contreras
F
14
J. Garza
28'
D
J. Garza
28'
D
6
J. Vigón
M
J. Vigón
M
77
O. Herrera
3'
F
O. Herrera
3'
F
21
R. Monreal
28'
F
R. Monreal
28'
F
34
Simeone
M
Simeone
M
32
V. Loroña
15'
D
V. Loroña
15'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Carrillo
M · Guadalajara
7.64
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
E. Álvarez
M · Guadalajara
7.40
3 shots
· 63 pass
J. Brunetta
F · Tigres
7.36
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
R. Alvarado
M · Guadalajara
7.30
5 shots
· 83 pass
D. Aguirre
D · Guadalajara
7.25
2 shots
· 72 pass
B. Gutiérrez
M · Guadalajara
7.20
5 shots
· 55 pass
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rangel | G | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Campillo | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Rey | D | 62 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 67% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Calderon | M | 45 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| R. González | M | 72 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Alvarado | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 5 | 83 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | M | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 3 | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | M | 86 | 6.35 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Á. Sepúlveda | F | 45 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| B. González | D | 45 | 6.38 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carrillo | M | 18 | 7.64 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hernández | F | 4 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ledezma | D | 28 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 45 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Guzmán | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Laínez | D | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Joaquim | D | 75 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Gorriarán | M | 87 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Araújo | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | M | 62 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lainez | M | 62 | 6.85 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Sánchez | M | 62 | 5.86 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Brunetta | F | 45 | 7.36 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | 1 |
| E. Gómez | F | 28 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Garza | D | 28 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Herrera | F | 3 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Monreal | F | 28 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Loroña | D | 15 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an Tigres UANL win.