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Liga MX · Apertura - 1 July 19, 2026 03:07 Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Guadalajara Chivas
#3 · 26 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Toluca
#5 · 23 pts
(pen.) 42' A. Vega
74' (ast. Helinho) J. Gallardo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Toluca 32%). The final result was Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Toluca. In 2 previous meetings, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Toluca.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
10
0.96
Actual xG
1.93
8
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
9
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
19'
F. Romero
42'
(pen.) A. Vega⚽
↕ K. Castaneda / B. Gutierrez
46'
A. Sepulveda
50'
R. Alvarado
54'
↕ R. Ledezma / A. Gonzalez
56'
59'
Helinho / E. Gutierrez ↕
61'
J. Gallardo
↕ O. Govea / J. Carrillo
68'
70'
V. Guzman / A. Vega ↕
74'
ast. Helinho · J. Gallardo⚽
↕ D. Campillo Del Campo / R. Marin
86'
↕ D. Aguirre / M. Gomez
86'
87'
Bruno Mendez / N. Castro ↕
87'
F. Arce / J. Angulo ↕
J. Carrillo
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.71%
Guadalajara
32.37%
X
32.92%
Toluca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Toluca) 32.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guadalajara
1.83
0.96
-0.87
Toluca
1.01
1.93
+0.92
Toluca dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 8.50
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo 85' D 6.70
7 L. Romo L. Romo D 6.20
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre 86' D 6.30
28 R. González R. González M 6.70
5 B. González B. González M 6.30
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 45' M 6.90
6 O. Govea O. Govea 68' M 6.70
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 56' M 6.90
9 Á. Sepúlveda Á. Sepúlveda 50' F 5.20
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado F 7.20
Bench
34 A. González A. González 34' F 6.20
11 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez 45' M 6.30
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 22' M 6.90
2 J. Castillo J. Castillo D
18 J. Pérez J. Pérez M
16 L. Rey L. Rey D
24 M. Gómez M. Gómez 12' D 6.60
4 Miguel Tapias Miguel Tapias D
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G
17 R. Marín R. Marín 13' F 6.70
Toluca Toluca 4-2-3-1
22 L. García L. García G 7.50
20 J. Gallardo J. Gallardo 1 ⚽ D 7.20
25 E. López E. López D 7.20
6 F. Pereira F. Pereira D 8.70
19 S. Simón S. Simón D 7.50
35 É. Gutiérrez É. Gutiérrez 59' M 6.90
5 F. Romero F. Romero M 6.70
9 A. Vega A. Vega 1 ⚽ 70' M 6.90
8 N. Castro N. Castro 87' M 7.00
10 J. Angulo J. Angulo 87' M 6.60
29 J. Díaz J. Díaz F 6.90
Bench
3 A. Briseño A. Briseño D
17 B. García B. García D
4 B. Méndez B. Méndez 11' D 6.90
2 D. Barbosa D. Barbosa D
24 F. Arce F. Arce 11' M 6.60
11 Helinho Helinho 1 👟 31' F 7.90
1 H. González H. González G
13 Luan Luan D
7 V. Guzmán V. Guzmán 20' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
D · Toluca
8.70
1 shots · 70 pass
J. Rangel
J. Rangel
G · Guadalajara
8.50
· 29 pass
Helinho
Helinho
F · Toluca
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
S. Simón
S. Simón
D · Toluca
7.50
· 45 pass
L. García
L. García
G · Toluca
7.50
· 42 pass
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
7.20
2 shots · 34 pass
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 8.50 — — — 29 23% — — —
D. Campillo D 85 6.70 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
L. Romo D 90 6.20 — — — 48 39% 3 — —
D. Aguirre D 86 6.30 — — 1 31 23% 3 — —
R. González M 90 6.70 — — — 27 24% 1 — —
B. González M 90 6.30 — — 2 18 15% 1 — —
K. Castañeda M 45 6.90 — — 1 15 13% — — —
O. Govea M 68 6.70 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
R. Ledezma M 56 6.90 — — 1 21 19% — — —
Á. Sepúlveda F 50 5.20 — — 1 9 6% — — 1
R. Alvarado F 90 7.20 — — 2 34 25% 4 1 —
A. González F 34 6.20 — — 1 7 5% — — —
B. Gutiérrez M 45 6.30 — — 1 16 11% — — —
J. Carrillo M 22 6.90 — — — 20 15% — 1 —
M. Gómez D 12 6.60 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
R. Marín F 13 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
Toluca Toluca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. García G 90 7.50 — — — 42 35% — — —
J. Gallardo D 90 7.20 1 — 1 51 40% 1 1 —
E. López D 90 7.20 — — — 61 54% 3 — —
F. Pereira D 90 8.70 — — 1 70 64% 2 — —
S. Simón D 90 7.50 — — — 45 41% 4 — —
É. Gutiérrez M 59 6.90 — — — 24 21% 2 — —
F. Romero M 90 6.70 — — — 57 53% 1 1 —
A. Vega M 70 6.90 1 — 3 37 34% — — —
N. Castro M 87 7.00 — — 2 62 56% 1 — —
J. Angulo M 87 6.60 — — 2 38 31% 1 — —
J. Díaz F 90 6.90 — — 3 19 17% 2 — —
B. Méndez D 11 6.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
F. Arce M 11 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
Helinho F 31 7.90 — 1 2 19 18% — — —
V. Guzmán M 20 6.30 — — — 13 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca?
The final score was Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Toluca.
What did the model predict before Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Guadalajara Chivas win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Toluca win.