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Guadeloupe - Bermuda

CONCACAF Nations League November 11, 2026 22:00
Guadeloupe
vs
Bermuda
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.8%
Win
Guadeloupe
23.44%
Draw
14.76%
Win
Bermuda
1.69
Expected xG
0.52
Most likely outcome
Guadeloupe
61.8%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.8%)
1X2 Result ✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1 62%
X 23%
2 15%
Double Chance ✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X 85%
X2 38%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 40%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guadeloupe a 61% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Bermuda. Expected goals are 1.7 for Guadeloupe and 0.5 for Bermuda (total 2.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Guadeloupe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bermuda.

Season Stats

Guadeloupe
1W 1D 2L
Bermuda
0W 0D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
1.8
Conceded
3.2
4.0
Shots OT
5.0
5.0
Corners
4.5
51%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Guadeloupe
0W 1D 1L · at home
Bermuda
0W 0D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.5
Conceded
4.5
0%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Guadeloupe Bermuda →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% — —
1 18.6% 9.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 15.7% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% — —
3 8.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% — —
4 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Guadeloupe Guadeloupe
L St. Lucia 0–1
L St. Lucia 3–0
D Barbados 2–2
W Bermuda 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Bermuda Bermuda
L Barbados 1–2
L Barbados 4–1
L St. Lucia 5–2
L Guadeloupe 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Guadeloupe Guadeloupe
Attack
32
Defence
60
Form
42
Bermuda Bermuda
Attack
33
Defence
25
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Guadeloupe
0
Draw
0
Bermuda
25 Sep 2026 CONCACAF Nations League 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?
The model gives Guadeloupe a 61% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 14% for an Bermuda win.
How many goals are expected in Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?
Expected goals: Guadeloupe 1.7, Bermuda 0.5 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Guadeloupe vs Bermuda?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.8%.