División Profesional
· Apertura - 21
October 12, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Guabirá, result Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
Alex Caceres
10'
Alex Caceres
(ast. Juan Ignacio Goyeneche)
42'
Matheus Moresche
(ast. Alex Caceres)
45'+3
Alex Caceres
(ast. Matheus Moresche)
53'
7'
(ast. Rafinha)
Gustavo Peredo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guabirá a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 27%). The final result was Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4–1 Guabirá. In 1 previous meetings, Gualberto Villarroel SJ have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guabirá.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
14
12
Shots on target
2
2.66
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
8
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
3
14
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
ast. Rafinha ·
Gustavo Peredo⚽
⚽Alex Caceres
10'
⚽Alex Caceres
· ast. Juan Ignacio Goyeneche
42'
Alex Caceres
45'+1
⚽Matheus Moresche
· ast. Alex Caceres
45'+3
45'
Juan Carlos Parada
/
rafael corrales
45'
Yuto Edward Baigorria Nishizawa
/
Thiago Chavez
⚽Alex Caceres
· ast. Matheus Moresche
53'
63'
P. Luján
/
N. Masskooni
Elmer José Quispe Frías
65'
Ronaldo Monteiro
/ Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar
66'
68'
Denilso Fernandez Tokudome
/
Rafinha
73'
Juan Carlos Parada
Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar
76'
79'
Makerlo Tellez
/
Gustavo Peredo
Elmer José Quispe Frías
/ sebastian valdez
80'
G. Vaca
/ Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero
81'
Matheus Moresche
/ Roler Ferrufino
86'
Alex Caceres
/ Luis Zeballos
86'
Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar
88'
89'
Makerlo Tellez
Pre-match prediction
27.63%
Gualberto ←
19.32%
X
53.05%
Guabirá
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ)
27.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
2.66
+1.37
2.32
0.47
-1.85
Gualberto Villarroel SJ dominated by xG (2.66 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Roberto Carlos Rivas Rivera
G
Roberto Carlos Rivas Rivera
G
4
Gonzalo Vaca Salvatierra
81'
D
Gonzalo Vaca Salvatierra
81'
D
20
F. Aguilar
D
F. Aguilar
D
26
J. Lencinas
D
J. Lencinas
D
17
Elmer Quispe
80'
D
Elmer Quispe
80'
D
38
L. Vargas
M
L. Vargas
M
2
J. Ramallo
M
J. Ramallo
M
7
A. Cáceres
3 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
A. Cáceres
3 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
11
Moresche
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
Moresche
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
55
J. Goyeneche
1 👟
M
J. Goyeneche
1 👟
M
9
R. Monteiro
66'
F
R. Monteiro
66'
F
Bench
66
D. Akologo
G
D. Akologo
G
36
G. Justiniano
D
G. Justiniano
D
37
L. R. Cruz Valverde
M
L. R. Cruz Valverde
M
30
L. Zeballos
4'
F
L. Zeballos
4'
F
14
M. Calero
22'
F
M. Calero
22'
F
10
R. Ferrufino
4'
F
R. Ferrufino
4'
F
8
R. Orihuela
9'
M
R. Orihuela
9'
M
29
S. Galindo
F
S. Galindo
F
21
S. Valdez
10'
M
S. Valdez
10'
M
13
J. Araúz
G
J. Araúz
G
29
N. Masskooni
63'
D
N. Masskooni
63'
D
27
Rafael Corrales
45'
D
Rafael Corrales
45'
D
6
C. Áñez
D
C. Áñez
D
2
J. Barro
D
J. Barro
D
8
A. Moreno
D
A. Moreno
D
15
Rafinha
1 👟
68'
M
Rafinha
1 👟
68'
M
77
Thiago Ribeiro
M
Thiago Ribeiro
M
37
T. Chavez
45'
M
T. Chavez
45'
M
11
S. Garzón
F
S. Garzón
F
7
G. Peredo
1 ⚽
79'
F
G. Peredo
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
35
D. Da Silva
F
D. Da Silva
F
33
D. Fernandez
22'
F
D. Fernandez
22'
F
14
Juan Carlos Parada
45'
M
Juan Carlos Parada
45'
M
17
M. Maciel
M
M. Maciel
M
22
M. Tellez
11'
F
M. Tellez
11'
F
40
P. Luján
27'
M
P. Luján
27'
M
91
V. Abrego
F
V. Abrego
F
28
Yuto Baigorria
45'
M
Yuto Baigorria
45'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Cáceres
M · Gualberto
9.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
8 shots
· 27 pass
Moresche
M · Gualberto
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 34 pass
J. Goyeneche
M · Gualberto
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
G. Peredo
F · Guabirá
7.68
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
J. Araúz
G · Guabirá
7.23
· 32 pass
L. Vargas
M · Gualberto
7.19
· 60 pass
Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Carlos Rivas Rivera | G | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Vaca Salvatierra | D | 81 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Aguilar | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lencinas | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Elmer Quispe | D | 80 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Vargas | M | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ramallo | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cáceres | M | 86 | 9.00 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Moresche | M | 86 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Goyeneche | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Monteiro | F | 66 | 6.22 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Zeballos | F | 4 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Calero | F | 22 | 5.53 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| R. Ferrufino | F | 4 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Orihuela | M | 9 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Valdez | M | 10 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Guabirá — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Araúz | G | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Masskooni | D | 63 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafael Corrales | D | 45 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Áñez | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Barro | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafinha | M | 68 | 6.43 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Ribeiro | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chavez | M | 45 | 5.52 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Garzón | F | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Peredo | F | 79 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Fernandez | F | 22 | 6.55 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Carlos Parada | M | 45 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Tellez | F | 11 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Luján | M | 27 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Yuto Baigorria | M | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá?
The final score was Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4–1 Guabirá.
What did the model predict before Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win, 19% to a draw, and 53% to an Guabirá win.