Guarda - Chaves
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.15%
Win
Guarda
31.5%
Draw
31.35%
Win
Chaves
4.5
0.96
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.68%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guarda a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Chaves. Expected goals are 4.5 for Guarda and 1.0 for Chaves (total 5.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.68% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
6.0
Goals
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Guarda
Chaves →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — |
| 5 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
Playing profile
Guarda
Attack
100
Defence
100
Form
85
Chaves
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guarda vs Chaves?
The model gives Guarda a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Chaves win.
How many goals are expected in Guarda vs Chaves?
Expected goals: Guarda 4.5, Chaves 1.0 (total 5.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Guarda vs Chaves?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.68%.