Guatemala - Canada
CONCACAF Nations League
November 13, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.11%
Win
Guatemala
40.85%
Draw
31.04%
Win
Canada
0.56
0.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(29.59%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
28%
X
41%
2
31%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
69%
X2
72%
12
59%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
12%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Canada a 31% win probability, against 40% for a draw and 28% for Guatemala. Expected goals are 0.6 for Guatemala and 0.6 for Canada (total 1.2), with a 45% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 29.59% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Guatemala have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Canada.
Score Matrix
↕ Guatemala
Canada →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30.1% | 19.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Guatemala
Attack
31
Defence
60
Form
49
Canada
Attack
36
Defence
84
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guatemala vs Canada?
The model gives Guatemala a 28% win probability, 40% for a draw, and 31% for an Canada win.
How many goals are expected in Guatemala vs Canada?
Expected goals: Guatemala 0.6, Canada 0.6 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 45%.
What is the most likely score in Guatemala vs Canada?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 29.59%.