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Guatemala - El Salvador

⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.59%
Win
Guatemala
18.29%
Draw
62.12%
Win
El Salvador
1.27
Expected xG
2.65
Most likely outcome
El Salvador
62.12%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.9%)
1X2 Result
1 20%
X 18%
2 62%
Double Chance
1X 38%
X2 80%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives El Salvador a 62% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Guatemala. Expected goals are 1.3 for Guatemala and 2.7 for El Salvador (total 3.9), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.9% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Guatemala have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for El Salvador.

Season Stats

Guatemala
0W 0D 1L
El Salvador
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Guatemala El Salvador →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 5.3% 7.0% 6.2% 4.1% 2.2%
1 2.5% 6.7% 8.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.2% 5.6% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7%
3 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Jamaica 3–2
W Martinique 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Guatemala Guatemala
Attack
29
Defence
32
Form
38
El Salvador El Salvador
Attack
41
Defence
68
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guatemala vs El Salvador?
The model gives Guatemala a 19% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 62% for an El Salvador win.
How many goals are expected in Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Expected goals: Guatemala 1.3, El Salvador 2.7 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Guatemala vs El Salvador?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.9%.