Guayaquil City FC 2–4 Independiente del Valle — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — May 31, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 16 May 31, 2026 22:30 Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt, Guayaquil

Guayaquil City FC

#9 · 28 pts

2 – 4

Final score

Independiente del Valle

#1 · 55 pts

E. Mero (ast. S. Laurino) 56'

E. Mero (ast. A. Naula) 88'

8' (ast. A. Rodriguez) E. Pata

38' (ast. L. Loor) C. Gonzalez

58' (ast. L. Loor) C. Gonzalez

90'+7 M. Perello

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 44% win probability (draw 21%, Guayaquil City FC 33%). The final result was Guayaquil City FC 2–4 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Guayaquil City FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

S. Laurino

ast. A. Rodriguez · E. Pata⚽

38'

ast. L. Loor · C. Gonzalez⚽

↕ P. Gonzalez / A. Naula

40'

↕ P. Mancilla / J. Ordonez

40'

⚽E. Mero · ast. S. Laurino

56'

58'

ast. L. Loor · C. Gonzalez⚽

64'

M. Perello / E. Pata ↕

64'

R. Briones / J. Lerma ↕

↕ S. Laurino / K. Sambonino

67'

↕ D. Arroyo / J. Humanante

67'

78'

Y. Ochoa / J. Sornoza ↕

78'

D. Reasco / C. Gonzalez ↕

↕ D. Diaz / M. Palma

83'

85'

S. Gongora / A. Rodriguez ↕

⚽E. Mero · ast. A. Naula

88'

90'+1

R. Briones

J. Humanante

90'+2

90'+5

L. Loor

90'+7

M. Perello⚽

90'+8

M. Perello

Pre-match prediction

33.85%

Guayaquil

21.78%

44.36%

Independiente ←

we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle) 44.36% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Guayaquil

1.55

—

Independiente

1.86

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	22	55
2	Universidad Catolica	22	36
3	Macara	22	35
4	Aucas	22	35
5	Barcelona SC	22	34
6	LDU de Quito	22	32
7	Leones del Norte	22	31
8	Deportivo Cuenca	22	31
9	Guayaquil City FC	22	28
10	Libertad	22	27
11	Tecnico Universitario	22	26
12	Orense SC	22	26
13	Mushuc Runa SC	22	25
14	Emelec	22	25
15	Delfin SC	22	23
16	Manta FC	22	14

Lineups

Guayaquil City FC 3-4-3

Gilmar Napa G 7.20

Roger Arias D 6.20

Joshue Quinonez D 5.20

Yardely Rodriguez D 6.50

Pablo Mancilla 40' M 6.30

Santiago Laurino 1 👟 67' M 6.90

Dixon Arroyo 67' M 6.90

Junior Ayovi M 6.50

Damián Díaz 83' F 6.50

Edinson Mero 2 ⚽ F 8.60

Pablo González 40' F 6.50

Bench

Anderson Naula 1 👟 50' M 6.90

Erick Ladines D

Esnaider Cabezas D

Janus Vivar F

Jean Humanante 23' M 6.60

Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz 50' M 6.90

Kevin Sambonino 23' M 6.30

Manuel Palma 16' F 6.30

Rodrigo Perea G

Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1

Aldair Quintana G 6.20

Layan Loor 2 👟 D 8.50

Juan Viacava D 5.90

Andy Velasco D 6.60

Daykol Romero D 5.90

Jhegson Méndez M 7.00

Emerson Pata 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.20

Junior Sornoza 78' M 6.30

Justin Lerma 64' M 6.70

Arón Rodríguez 1 👟 85' M 7.20

C. González 2 ⚽ 78' F 8.90

Bench

Aníbal Gómez M

Djorkaeff Reasco 12' F 6.30

Eduardo Bores G

Gustavo Cortez D

Jhon Espinoza D

Juan Angulo F

Mateo Carabajal D

Matías Perello 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.30

Ronald Briones 26' M 6.50

Steven Gongora 14' F 6.90

Yandri Vasquez F

Youri Ochoa 12' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

C. González

F · Independiente

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Edinson Mero

F · Guayaquil

8.60

2 ⚽

5 shots · 17 pass

Layan Loor

D · Independiente

8.50

2 👟

1 shots · 52 pass

Matías Perello

F · Independiente

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 5 pass

Gilmar Napa

G · Guayaquil

7.20

· 25 pass

Arón Rodríguez

M · Independiente

7.20

1 👟

2 shots · 30 pass

Guayaquil City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gilmar Napa	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	25	19%	—	—	—
Roger Arias	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	65	55%	3	—	—
Joshue Quinonez	D	90	5.20	—	—	—	47	43%	—	—	—
Yardely Rodriguez	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	42	36%	1	—	—
Pablo Mancilla	M	40	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Santiago Laurino	M	67	6.90	—	1	—	33	28%	2	—	—
Dixon Arroyo	M	67	6.90	—	—	1	42	41%	4	—	—
Junior Ayovi	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	33	27%	—	—	—
Damián Díaz	F	83	6.50	—	—	—	39	30%	2	1	—
Edinson Mero	F	90	8.60	2	—	5	17	12%	2	—	—
Pablo González	F	40	6.50	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
Anderson Naula	M	50	6.90	—	1	—	25	21%	2	—	—
Jean Humanante	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	14	13%	1	1	—
Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz	M	50	6.90	—	—	—	27	24%	4	—	—
Kevin Sambonino	M	23	6.30	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—
Manuel Palma	F	16	6.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—

Independiente del Valle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Aldair Quintana	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	18	11%	—	—	—
Layan Loor	D	90	8.50	—	2	1	52	48%	1	1	—
Juan Viacava	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	26	16%	—	—	—
Andy Velasco	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	31	25%	2	—	—
Daykol Romero	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	43	31%	1	—	—
Jhegson Méndez	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
Emerson Pata	M	64	7.20	1	—	2	39	31%	—	—	—
Junior Sornoza	M	78	6.30	—	—	3	46	41%	—	—	—
Justin Lerma	M	64	6.70	—	—	—	33	30%	1	—	—
Arón Rodríguez	M	85	7.20	—	1	2	30	21%	2	—	—
C. González	F	78	8.90	2	—	3	14	11%	—	—	—
Djorkaeff Reasco	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Matías Perello	F	26	7.30	1	—	3	5	5%	1	1	—
Ronald Briones	M	26	6.50	—	—	1	7	7%	1	1	—
Steven Gongora	F	14	6.90	—	—	2	3	2%	—	—	—
Youri Ochoa	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

The final score was Guayaquil City FC 2–4 Independiente del Valle.

What did the model predict before Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Guayaquil City FC win, 21% to a draw, and 44% to an Independiente del Valle win.