Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — September 19, 2026

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LigaPro · Placement Group - 1 September 19, 2026 23:30 Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt, Guayaquil

Guayaquil City FC

#9 · 39 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Leones del Norte

#8 · 40 pts

D. Dorregaray 90'+3 (pen.)

38' (ast. P. Madero) M. Luque

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guayaquil City FC a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Leones del Norte 25%). The final result was Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. In 2 previous meetings, Guayaquil City FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Leones del Norte.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

14'

J. Moran / A. Aguas ↕

R. Arias

29'

32'

E. Griffa

38'

ast. P. Madero · M. Luque⚽

D. Arroyo

43'

↕ J. Quinonez / E. P. Ladines Calvache

46'

↕ A. Naula / P. Mancilla

46'

57'

J. Moran

↕ P. Gonzalez / J. Vivar

64'

↕ R. Arias / J. Ordonez

66'

M. Caramuto / E. Griffa ↕

Y. Rodriguez

69'

88'

T. Coppo

90'+2

J. Anangono

⚽D. Dorregaray (pen.)

90'+3

90'+4

P. Madero

90'+5

T. Amilivia / J. Anangono ↕

90'+5

D. Pazmino / C. Solano ↕

90'+5

F. Vargas / M. Luque ↕

↕ D. Dorregaray / M. Palma

90'+9

Pre-match prediction

54.63%

Guayaquil

20.09%

X ←

25.28%

Leones

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.09% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Guayaquil

2.25

—

Leones

1.46

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	31	54
3	Universidad Catolica	31	51
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	Aucas	31	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
5	LDU de Quito	31	49
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	31	44
8	Leones del Norte	31	40
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	31	40
10	Emelec	31	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Mushuc Runa SC	31	39
11	Emelec	30	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	31	37
13	Orense SC	31	33
13	Orense SC	30	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Tecnico Universitario	31	33
15	Delfin SC	30	28
15	Delfin SC	31	29
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	31	24

Lineups

Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1

Jorge Pinos G 6.50

R. Arias 66' D 6.70

Joshue Quinonez 45' D 6.70

Yardely Rodriguez D 7.20

J. Ayovi D 6.90

Santiago Laurino M 8.00

Dixon Arroyo M 7.70

Anderson Naula 45' M 6.70

Diego Dorregaray 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70

Pablo González 64' M 6.30

E. Mero F 6.30

Bench

Erick Ladines 45' D 7.20

Esnaider Cabezas D

Frank Rivadeneira M

Gilmar Napa G

Janus Vivar 26' F 6.70

Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz 24' M 6.90

Jose Caicedo F

Kevin Sambonino M

Manuel Palma 1' F

Pablo Mancilla 45' D 6.90

Rodrigo Perea G

Romario Caicedo D

Leones del Norte 4-1-4-1

Leonel Nazareno G 6.70

Maiky De La Cruz D 6.90

Brian Kreiman D 6.60

N. Monserrat D 6.30

Ariel Aguas 14' D 6.60

Tobías Coppo M 6.90

Cristhian Solano 89' M 6.70

Emiliano Griffa 66' M 7.30

Patricio Madero 1 👟 M 6.90

Mauro Luque 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30

Juan Luis Anangonó León 89' F 6.50

Bench

Anthony Folleco D

Charles Vélez M

Darío Pazmiño 8' M 6.30

Elián Pepinós M

Frixon Joel Vargas Manzaba 8' D 6.60

Gian Padilla D

Jeferson Arroyo G

J. Morán 76' D 6.30

Jorge Cabeza M

Martín Caramuto 24' M 6.50

Miguel Caicedo D

Thomas Amilivia 8' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

Mauro Luque

M · Leones

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

Santiago Laurino

M · Guayaquil

8.00

· 88 pass

Dixon Arroyo

M · Guayaquil

7.70

· 82 pass

Diego Dorregaray

M · Guayaquil

7.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

Emiliano Griffa

M · Leones

7.30

1 shots · 33 pass

Erick Ladines

D · Guayaquil

7.20

1 shots · 36 pass

Guayaquil City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jorge Pinos	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	29	24%	—	—	—
R. Arias	D	66	6.70	—	—	—	30	21%	1	1	—
Joshue Quinonez	D	45	6.70	—	—	—	18	17%	1	—	—
Yardely Rodriguez	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	50	45%	1	1	—
J. Ayovi	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	45	41%	—	—	—
Santiago Laurino	M	90	8.00	—	—	—	88	85%	2	—	—
Dixon Arroyo	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	82	75%	—	1	—
Anderson Naula	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	18	14%	1	—	—
Diego Dorregaray	M	89	7.70	1	—	3	21	12%	1	—	—
Pablo González	M	64	6.30	—	—	—	51	43%	—	—	—
E. Mero	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	21	15%	—	—	—
Erick Ladines	D	45	7.20	—	—	1	36	33%	—	—	—
Janus Vivar	F	26	6.70	—	—	—	16	15%	—	—	—
Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz	M	24	6.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
Manuel Palma	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pablo Mancilla	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Leonel Nazareno	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	19	10%	—	—	—
Maiky De La Cruz	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	23%	5	—	—
Brian Kreiman	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	11	8%	1	—	—
N. Monserrat	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
Ariel Aguas	D	14	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Tobías Coppo	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	26%	1	1	—
Cristhian Solano	M	89	6.70	—	—	4	32	25%	3	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	66	7.30	—	—	1	33	25%	—	1	—
Patricio Madero	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	32	26%	2	—	1
Mauro Luque	M	89	8.30	1	—	3	20	16%	—	—	—
Juan Luis Anangonó León	F	89	6.50	—	—	2	16	12%	—	1	—
Darío Pazmiño	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Frixon Joel Vargas Manzaba	D	8	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
J. Morán	D	76	6.30	—	—	—	24	16%	1	1	—
Martín Caramuto	M	24	6.50	—	—	—	12	10%	2	—	—
Thomas Amilivia	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

The final score was Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte.

What did the model predict before Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Guayaquil City FC win, 20% to a draw, and 25% to an Leones del Norte win.