Guayaquil City FC 3–1 Mushuc Runa SC — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — September 12, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 30 September 12, 2026 23:30 Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt, Guayaquil

Guayaquil City FC

#9 · 39 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Mushuc Runa SC

#10 · 38 pts

Edinson Mero (ast. R. Arias) 23'

Edinson Mero (ast. Junior Ayovi) 51'

Diego Dorregaray (ast. Dixon Arroyo) 84'

55' (ast. Arnaldo Zambrano) Miguel Perea

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guayaquil City FC a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Mushuc Runa SC 34%). The final result was Guayaquil City FC 3–1 Mushuc Runa SC. In 1 previous meetings, Guayaquil City FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mushuc Runa SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Edinson Mero · ast. R. Arias

23'

34'

Ronny Biojó

36'

Jeremy Cusme

38'

Alex Ibarra

45'+6

Nazareno Bazán / Alex Ibarra ↕

R. Arias

45'+11

45'

Elian Caicedo / Freddy Mina ↕

⚽Edinson Mero · ast. Junior Ayovi

51'

55'

ast. Arnaldo Zambrano · Miguel Perea⚽

↕ P. González / Pablo Mancilla

57'

↕ R. Arias / Erick Patricio Ladines Calvache

57'

↕ Edinson Mero / Miller Bolaños

57'

65'

Bryan Corozo / Arnaldo Zambrano ↕

↕ Joshue·Quinonez / Esnaider Cabezas

65'

68'

Nazareno Bazán

Diego Dorregaray

70'

Pablo Mancilla

73'

↕ S Laurino / Kevin Sambonino

76'

83'

Kevin Peralta / Cristopher Angulo ↕

83'

Jefferson Caicedo / José Hernández ↕

⚽Diego Dorregaray · ast. Dixon Arroyo

84'

Pre-match prediction

41.94%

Guayaquil ←

23.52%

34.53%

Mushuc

we assigned to the actual result (Guayaquil City FC) 41.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Guayaquil

1.58

—

Mushuc

1.43

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	31	54
3	Universidad Catolica	31	51
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	Aucas	31	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
5	LDU de Quito	31	49
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	31	44
8	Leones del Norte	31	40
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	31	40
10	Emelec	31	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Mushuc Runa SC	31	39
11	Emelec	30	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	31	37
13	Orense SC	31	33
13	Orense SC	30	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Tecnico Universitario	31	33
15	Delfin SC	30	28
15	Delfin SC	31	29
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	31	24

Lineups

Guayaquil City FC 4-4-2

Jorge Pinos G 6.35

R. Arias 1 👟 57' D 6.31

Joshue Quinonez 65' D 6.61

Yardely Rodriguez D 6.92

J. Ayovi 1 👟 D 6.80

Anderson Naula M 6.48

Santiago Laurino 76' M 6.40

Dixon Arroyo 1 👟 M 7.53

Pablo González 57' M 6.92

E. Mero 2 ⚽ 57' F 9.23

Diego Dorregaray 1 ⚽ F 7.61

Bench

Erick Ladines 33' D 6.43

Esnaider Cabezas 25' D 6.64

Gilmar Napa G 0.00

Jonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz M 0.00

Jose Caicedo F 0.00

Kevin Sambonino 14' M 6.85

Manuel Palma F 0.00

M. Bolaños 33' F 6.45

Pablo Mancilla 33' D 5.93

Rodrigo Perea G 0.00

Romario Caicedo D 0.00

Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2

Rodrigo Formento G 6.11

José Hernández 83' D 5.81

Jeremy Cusme D 5.11

Ronny Biojo D 6.61

Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo 83' D 6.57

Miguel Perea 1 ⚽ M 7.50

Arnaldo Zambrano 1 👟 65' M 6.48

Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón M 6.24

Freddy Mina 45' M 6.04

Tomson Minda F 6.39

Alex Renato Ibarra Mina 51' F 6.78

Bench

Adonnis Pabón G 0.00

Bryan Corozo 25' M 5.88

Derlys Gómez M 0.00

Elian Caicedo 45' F 6.54

Franklin Carabali D 0.00

Jackson González M 0.00

Jefferson Caicedo 7' F 6.34

José Luis Quiñones D 0.00

Kevin Peralta 7' D 5.88

Lucas Lemos M 0.00

N. Bazán 17' F 5.54

Best on the pitch

E. Mero

F · Guayaquil

9.23

2 ⚽

5 shots · 11 pass

Diego Dorregaray

F · Guayaquil

7.61

1 ⚽

2 shots · 24 pass

Dixon Arroyo

M · Guayaquil

7.53

1 👟

· 58 pass

Miguel Perea

M · Mushuc

7.50

1 ⚽

5 shots · 24 pass

Yardely Rodriguez

D · Guayaquil

6.92

· 40 pass

Pablo González

M · Guayaquil

6.92

· 34 pass

Guayaquil City FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jorge Pinos	G	90	6.35	—	—	0	50	36%	0	—	—
R. Arias	D	57	6.31	—	1	0	21	17%	0	1	—
Joshue Quinonez	D	65	6.61	—	—	0	25	23%	0	—	—
Yardely Rodriguez	D	90	6.92	—	—	0	40	37%	1	—	—
J. Ayovi	D	90	6.80	—	1	0	46	36%	0	—	—
Anderson Naula	M	90	6.48	—	—	1	41	37%	3	—	—
Santiago Laurino	M	76	6.40	—	—	0	46	38%	1	—	—
Dixon Arroyo	M	90	7.53	—	1	0	58	51%	3	—	—
Pablo González	M	57	6.92	—	—	0	34	29%	0	—	—
E. Mero	F	57	9.23	2	—	5	11	8%	0	—	—
Diego Dorregaray	F	90	7.61	1	—	2	24	14%	0	1	—
Erick Ladines	D	33	6.43	—	—	0	17	14%	0	—	—
Esnaider Cabezas	D	25	6.64	—	—	0	23	22%	0	—	—
Kevin Sambonino	M	14	6.85	—	—	1	28	27%	0	—	—
M. Bolaños	F	33	6.45	—	—	0	35	31%	0	—	—
Pablo Mancilla	D	33	5.93	—	—	0	13	11%	0	1	—

Mushuc Runa SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Rodrigo Formento	G	90	6.11	—	—	0	15	9%	0	—	—
José Hernández	D	83	5.81	—	—	0	27	19%	0	—	—
Jeremy Cusme	D	90	5.11	—	—	0	24	15%	3	1	—
Ronny Biojo	D	90	6.61	—	—	0	41	35%	1	1	—
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo	D	83	6.57	—	—	0	40	31%	1	—	—
Miguel Perea	M	90	7.50	1	—	5	24	17%	1	—	—
Arnaldo Zambrano	M	65	6.48	—	1	0	25	21%	2	—	—
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón	M	90	6.24	—	—	2	38	28%	8	—	—
Freddy Mina	M	45	6.04	—	—	0	15	14%	0	—	—
Tomson Minda	F	90	6.39	—	—	5	14	12%	1	—	—
Alex Renato Ibarra Mina	F	51	6.78	—	—	2	12	9%	1	1	—
Bryan Corozo	M	25	5.88	—	—	0	7	4%	0	—	—
Elian Caicedo	F	45	6.54	—	—	1	6	6%	1	—	—
Jefferson Caicedo	F	7	6.34	—	—	0	1	1%	1	—	—
Kevin Peralta	D	7	5.88	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
N. Bazán	F	17	5.54	—	—	1	5	3%	0	—	1

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

The final score was Guayaquil City FC 3–1 Mushuc Runa SC.

What did the model predict before Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Guayaquil City FC win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Mushuc Runa SC win.