53'
(ast. N. Djouahra)
I. Barbero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Arouca 31%). The final result was Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca. In 2 previous meetings, Vitória SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Arouca.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
2
2.22
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
53'
ast. N. Djouahra ·
I. Barbero⚽
64'
H. Lee
65'
O. Lebedenko
/
M. Flores
65'
D. Nandin
/
I. Barbero
O. Camara
69'
Maga
/ T. Strata
69'
O. Camara
/ T. Arcanjo
70'
70'
P. Gozalbez
/
H. Lee
70'
Pedro Santos
/
E. van Ee
73'
D. Monteiro
/
J. Sanchez
G. Nogueira
/ M. Mitrovic
78'
A. Ndoye
/ M. Nogueira
78'
90'+2
O. Lebedenko
90'+3
D. Monteiro
90'+3
D. Monteiro
90'+4
I. De Arruabarrena
M. Mitrovic
90'+6
Gustavo
/ L. Doucet
90'+6
90'
D. Monteiro
Pre-match prediction
36.42%
Vitória
32.19%
X
31.39%
Arouca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Arouca)
31.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
2.22
+0.28
1.83
0.49
-1.34
Vitória SC dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
48
O. Zych
G
O. Zych
G
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
Thiago Balieiro
D
4
Óscar Rivas
D
Óscar Rivas
D
2
Miguel Maga
69'
D
Miguel Maga
69'
D
8
Gonçalo Nogueira
78'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
78'
M
16
Beni
M
Beni
M
7
O. Camara
70'
M
O. Camara
70'
M
20
Samu
M
Samu
M
11
Gustavo
M
Gustavo
M
24
A. Ndoye
78'
F
A. Ndoye
78'
F
Bench
5
A. Sidibé
D
A. Sidibé
D
82
F. Dias
D
F. Dias
D
22
J. Castillo
G
J. Castillo
G
44
L. Doucet
M
L. Doucet
M
98
Lucas Furtado
G
Lucas Furtado
G
17
Miguel Nogueira
18'
M
Miguel Nogueira
18'
M
6
M. Mitrović
18'
M
M. Mitrović
18'
M
56
S. Verdi
M
S. Verdi
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
26'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
26'
M
23
T. Strata
27'
D
T. Strata
27'
D
12
I. de Arruabarrena
G
I. de Arruabarrena
G
21
Mateo Flores
65'
D
Mateo Flores
65'
D
3
José Fontán
D
José Fontán
D
15
Javi Sánchez
73'
D
Javi Sánchez
73'
D
28
Tiago Esgaio
D
Tiago Esgaio
D
8
T. Fukui
M
T. Fukui
M
6
E. van Ee
70'
M
E. van Ee
70'
M
7
N. Djouahra
1 👟
M
N. Djouahra
1 👟
M
14
Lee Hyun-Ju
70'
M
Lee Hyun-Ju
70'
M
19
A. Trezza
M
A. Trezza
M
17
Barbero
1 ⚽
65'
F
Barbero
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
24
B. Mansilla
F
B. Mansilla
F
5
B. Popović
D
B. Popović
D
4
Diogo Monteiro
20'
D
Diogo Monteiro
20'
D
23
D. Nandín
31'
F
D. Nandín
31'
F
9
F. Mayulu
F
F. Mayulu
F
1
J. Vinarčík
G
J. Vinarčík
G
37
Mario Climent
D
Mario Climent
D
71
M. Duarte
G
M. Duarte
G
18
O. Lebedenko
31'
D
O. Lebedenko
31'
D
10
Pablo Gozálbez
26'
M
Pablo Gozálbez
26'
M
89
Pedro Santos
26'
M
Pedro Santos
26'
M
77
S. Park
F
S. Park
F
Best on the pitch
Javi Sánchez
D · Arouca
7.70
· 43 pass
José Fontán
D · Arouca
7.70
· 69 pass
Barbero
F · Arouca
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Beni
M · Vitória
7.30
· 59 pass
Tiago Esgaio
D · Arouca
7.20
1 shots
· 24 pass
I. de Arruabarrena
G · Arouca
7.20
· 52 pass
Vitória SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Zych | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| João Mendes | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Maga | D | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Beni | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| O. Camara | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samu | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ndoye | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Mitrović | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Strata | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
Arouca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Flores | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| José Fontán | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Sánchez | D | 73 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Fukui | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| E. van Ee | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Djouahra | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Hyun-Ju | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Trezza | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Barbero | F | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | D | 20 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 2 | 1 |
| D. Nandín | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Lebedenko | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Arouca?
The final score was Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Arouca?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Vitória SC win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Arouca win.