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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 23, 2026 21:45 Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Vitória SC
#13 · 8 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Maritimo
#14 · 8 pts
Arnel Jakupović 38'
Paulo Henrique 48' (og)
Oumar Camara 60'
Arnel Jakupović (ast. Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva) 76'
Yeimar Mosquera (ast. Alan de Souza Guimarães) 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Maritimo 26%). The final result was Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
1.82
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
5
17
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Gustavo Silva
12'
Gonçalo Nogueira
17'
Toni Borevković
22'
36'
Raphael Guzzo
36'
Tomas Tavares
⚽Arnel Jakupović
38'
45'
Simo Bouzaidi / Tomas Tavares ↕
⚽Paulo Henrique (og)
48'
⚽Oumar Camara
60'
62'
Rodri Andrade
Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva
63'
↕ Gustavo Silva / Victor Andersson
66'
↕ Gonçalo Nogueira / Lohann Doucet
66'
69'
Ibrahim Akitunde Alani / Raphael Guzzo ↕
69'
Nilton Varela / Maxime Dominguez ↕
⚽Arnel Jakupović · ast. Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva
76'
↕ Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva / Alan de Souza Guimarães
78'
↕ Ahmed Sidibé / Yeimar Mosquera
78'
↕ Arnel Jakupović / Alioune Ndoye
78'
80'
Mons Rogeani Bassouamina / Martín Tejón ↕
86'
Maurice Boakye / Adrián Butzke ↕
⚽Yeimar Mosquera · ast. Alan de Souza Guimarães
90'
Pre-match prediction
43.2%
Vitória ←
30.35%
X
26.45%
Maritimo
we assigned to the actual result (Vitória SC) 43.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vitória
1.15
1.82
+0.67
Maritimo
0.73
0.54
-0.19
Vitória SC dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
Vitória SC Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
98 Lucas Furtado Lucas Furtado G 6.80
13 João Mendes João Mendes D 7.22
5 A. Sidibé A. Sidibé 78' D 7.58
21 T. Borevković T. Borevković D 7.28
23 T. Strata T. Strata D 7.54
16 Beni Beni M 7.20
8 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 66' M 6.43
11 Gustavo Gustavo 66' M 6.50
20 Samu Samu 1 👟 78' M 7.70
7 O. Camara O. Camara 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 A. Jakupovic A. Jakupovic 2 ⚽ 78' F 8.60
Bench
10 Alan Alan 1 👟 12' M 6.90
24 A. Ndoye A. Ndoye 12' F 6.45
44 L. Doucet L. Doucet 24' M 6.31
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga D 0.00
17 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira F 0.00
6 M. Mitrović M. Mitrović M 0.00
4 Óscar Rivas Óscar Rivas D 0.00
48 O. Zych O. Zych G 0.00
19 V. Andersson V. Andersson 24' M 6.85
29 V. Ouotro V. Ouotro F 0.00
15 Y. Mosquera Y. Mosquera 1 ⚽ 12' D 7.81
Maritimo Maritimo 4-2-3-1
30 Fran Vieites Fran Vieites G 5.82
23 Paulo Henrique Paulo Henrique 1 ⚽ D 4.44
22 G. Szalai G. Szalai D 6.01
44 Romain Correia Romain Correia D 6.22
2 Igor Julião Igor Julião D 5.56
14 Raphael Guzzo Raphael Guzzo 69' M 6.32
6 Rodrigo Andrade Rodrigo Andrade M 5.54
10 Martín Tejón Martín Tejón 80' M 5.75
8 M. Dominguez M. Dominguez 69' M 6.11
15 Tomás Tavares Tomás Tavares 45' M 5.74
17 Adrián Butzke Adrián Butzke 86' F 6.27
Bench
13 Alfonso Pastor Alfonso Pastor G 0.00
35 B. Limbombe B. Limbombe F 0.00
1 Gonçalo Tabuaço Gonçalo Tabuaço G 0.00
21 I. Alani I. Alani 21' M 6.01
66 I. Ayuma I. Ayuma M 0.00
90 Maurice Osei Boakye Maurice Osei Boakye 4' F 6.49
12 M. Bassouamina M. Bassouamina 10' F 6.69
11 M. Diouri M. Diouri 45' F 6.40
5 Nilton Varela Nilton Varela 21' D 5.44
3 N. Ogbeta N. Ogbeta D 0.00
4 Rafael Fernandes Rafael Fernandes D 0.00
27 S. Bamba S. Bamba F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Jakupovic
A. Jakupovic
F · Vitória
8.60
2 ⚽
5 shots · 14 pass
O. Camara
O. Camara
M · Vitória
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots · 17 pass
Y. Mosquera
Y. Mosquera
D · Vitória
7.81
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Samu
Samu
M · Vitória
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
A. Sidibé
A. Sidibé
D · Vitória
7.58
· 48 pass
T. Strata
T. Strata
D · Vitória
7.54
· 52 pass
Vitória SC Vitória SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucas Furtado G 90 6.80 — — 0 32 19% 0 — —
João Mendes D 90 7.22 — — 2 50 40% 3 — —
A. Sidibé D 78 7.58 — — 0 48 43% 1 — —
T. Borevković D 90 7.28 — — 1 63 55% 1 1 —
T. Strata D 90 7.54 — — 0 52 40% 2 — —
Beni M 90 7.20 — — 0 63 58% 1 — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 66 6.43 — — 0 22 17% 1 1 —
Gustavo M 66 6.50 — — 0 14 8% 1 1 —
Samu M 78 7.70 — 1 0 24 20% 3 1 —
O. Camara M 90 8.20 1 — 7 17 15% 2 — —
A. Jakupovic F 78 8.60 2 — 5 14 6% 1 — —
Alan M 12 6.90 — 1 0 8 8% 0 — —
A. Ndoye F 12 6.45 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
L. Doucet M 24 6.31 — — 0 23 16% 0 — —
V. Andersson M 24 6.85 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Y. Mosquera D 12 7.81 1 — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Maritimo Maritimo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fran Vieites G 90 5.82 — — 0 19 13% 1 — —
Paulo Henrique D 90 4.44 1 — 0 27 18% 0 — —
G. Szalai D 90 6.01 — — 1 29 24% 2 — —
Romain Correia D 90 6.22 — — 1 54 46% 0 — —
Igor Julião D 90 5.56 — — 1 33 27% 0 — —
Raphael Guzzo M 69 6.32 — — 1 28 20% 1 1 —
Rodrigo Andrade M 90 5.54 — — 0 28 20% 2 1 —
Martín Tejón M 80 5.75 — — 2 14 7% 1 — —
M. Dominguez M 69 6.11 — — 1 18 16% 4 — —
Tomás Tavares M 45 5.74 — — 0 8 4% 0 1 —
Adrián Butzke F 86 6.27 — — 2 24 15% 0 — —
I. Alani M 21 6.01 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
Maurice Osei Boakye F 4 6.49 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Bassouamina F 10 6.69 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Diouri F 45 6.40 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
Nilton Varela D 21 5.44 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
The final score was Vitória SC 5–0 Maritimo.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Vitória SC win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Maritimo win.