Gustavo
(ast. M. Nogueira)
4'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitória SC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Nacional 32%). The final result was Vitória SC 1–0 Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Vitória SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
2.84
Actual xG
0.38
0
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
3
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Gustavo
· ast. M. Nogueira
4'
G. Nogueira
28'
M. Nogueira
38'
T. Margarido
45'+4
⚽Samu
(missed pen.)
49'
56'
D. I. de la Cruz
/
Wesley Gasolina
56'
W. Kokolo
/
M. Baeza
L. Doucet
/ B. Mukendi
63'
M. Nogueira
/ O. Camara
63'
68'
S. Gavriel
/
Liziero
G. Nogueira
/ M. Mitrovic
72'
Gustavo
/ T. Arcanjo
78'
80'
A. Obando
/
M. Jensen
80'
M. Djalo
/
Matheus Dias
90'+5
Daniel Junior
Pre-match prediction
36.03%
Vitória ←
31.21%
X
32.76%
Nacional
we assigned to the actual result (Vitória SC)
36.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
2.84
+0.98
1.84
0.38
-1.46
Vitória SC dominated by xG (2.84 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
48
O. Zych
76'
G
O. Zych
76'
G
13
João Mendes
76'
D
João Mendes
76'
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
76'
D
Thiago Balieiro
76'
D
4
Óscar Rivas
76'
D
Óscar Rivas
76'
D
23
T. Strata
76'
D
T. Strata
76'
D
8
Gonçalo Nogueira
72'
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
72'
M
44
L. Doucet
63'
M
L. Doucet
63'
M
11
Gustavo
1 ⚽
76'
M
Gustavo
1 ⚽
76'
M
20
Samu
76'
M
Samu
76'
M
17
Miguel Nogueira
1 👟
63'
M
Miguel Nogueira
1 👟
63'
M
24
A. Ndoye
76'
F
A. Ndoye
76'
F
Bench
5
A. Sidibé
D
A. Sidibé
D
16
Beni
13'
M
Beni
13'
M
82
F. Dias
D
F. Dias
D
22
J. Castillo
G
J. Castillo
G
98
Lucas Furtado
G
Lucas Furtado
G
2
Miguel Maga
D
Miguel Maga
D
6
M. Mitrović
4'
M
M. Mitrović
4'
M
7
O. Camara
13'
F
O. Camara
13'
F
56
S. Verdi
M
S. Verdi
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
M
Telmo Arcanjo
M
29
V. Ouotro
F
V. Ouotro
F
1
Renato Bellucci
76'
G
Renato Bellucci
76'
G
38
Zé Vitor
76'
D
Zé Vitor
76'
D
6
Matheus Dias
76'
D
Matheus Dias
76'
D
34
Léo Santos
76'
D
Léo Santos
76'
D
7
M. Jensen
76'
M
M. Jensen
76'
M
22
Filipe Soares
76'
M
Filipe Soares
76'
M
28
Liziero
68'
M
Liziero
68'
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
56'
M
Wesley Gasolina
56'
M
10
Daniel Júnior
76'
F
Daniel Júnior
76'
F
8
Miguel Baeza
56'
F
Miguel Baeza
56'
F
99
Pablo Ruan
76'
F
Pablo Ruan
76'
F
Bench
9
A. Obando
F
A. Obando
F
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
20'
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
20'
D
88
Deivison
M
Deivison
M
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
13
João Gonçalves
G
João Gonçalves
G
20
Matchoi Djaló
M
Matchoi Djaló
M
23
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
11
S. Gavriel
8'
M
S. Gavriel
8'
M
21
W. Kokolo
20'
D
W. Kokolo
20'
D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo
M · Vitória
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 12 pass
Daniel Júnior
F · Nacional
7.30
· 20 pass
Léo Santos
D · Nacional
7.20
· 59 pass
Óscar Rivas
D · Vitória
7.20
· 48 pass
T. Strata
D · Vitória
7.20
2 shots
· 41 pass
Renato Bellucci
G · Nacional
7.20
· 25 pass
Vitória SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Zych | G | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| João Mendes | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| T. Strata | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Doucet | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 76 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Samu | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Ndoye | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Beni | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mitrović | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Camara | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | D | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Liziero | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | F | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| W. Kokolo | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitória SC vs Nacional?
The final score was Vitória SC 1–0 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Vitória SC vs Nacional?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Vitória SC win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Nacional win.