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Guimaraes - Santos

Friendlies Clubs July 12, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.51%
Win
Guimaraes
32.6%
Draw
33.88%
Win
Santos
2.07
Expected xG
2.37

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (7.1%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guimaraes a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Santos. Expected goals are 2.1 for Guimaraes and 2.4 for Santos (total 4.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 7.1% probability.

Season Stats

Guimaraes
1W 0D 0L
Santos
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
Based on the last 1 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Guimaraes Santos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.4% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.7% 4.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

W Chaves 2–0
D Nottingham Forest 1–1
W Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–3
W Academica 2–0
W Penafiel 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
W União São João 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Guimaraes Guimaraes
Attack
65
Defence
85
Form
79
Santos Santos
Attack
75
Defence
100
Form
85
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guimaraes vs Santos?
The model gives Guimaraes a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Santos win.
How many goals are expected in Guimaraes vs Santos?
Expected goals: Guimaraes 2.1, Santos 2.4 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Guimaraes vs Santos?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.1%.