Guimaraes - União de Leiria
Friendlies Clubs
July 22, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.72%
Win
Guimaraes
31.36%
Draw
30.92%
Win
União de Leiria
2.0
0.6
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.23%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Guimaraes a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for União de Leiria. Expected goals are 2.0 for Guimaraes and 0.6 for União de Leiria (total 2.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.23% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
1.0
0.3
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Guimaraes
União de Leiria →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 15.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.9% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Guimaraes
Attack
65
Defence
85
Form
79
União de Leiria
Attack
25
Defence
88
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?
The model gives Guimaraes a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an União de Leiria win.
How many goals are expected in Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?
Expected goals: Guimaraes 2.0, União de Leiria 0.6 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Guimaraes vs União de Leiria?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.23%.