Guinea-Bissau - Nigeria
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.95%
Win
Guinea-Bissau
31.18%
Draw
38.86%
Win
Nigeria
1.02
1.85
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.16%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
31%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
70%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nigeria a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Guinea-Bissau. Expected goals are 1.0 for Guinea-Bissau and 1.9 for Nigeria (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.16% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Guinea-Bissau
Nigeria →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Guinea-Bissau
Attack
13
Defence
38
Form
36
Nigeria
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
The model gives Guinea-Bissau a 29% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 38% for an Nigeria win.
How many goals are expected in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Expected goals: Guinea-Bissau 1.0, Nigeria 1.9 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.16%.