Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
October 01, 2026 18:00
Serhou Guirassy
32'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kenya a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Guinea 34%). The final result was Guinea 1–0 Kenya.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
0
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
2
23
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
16'
mohammed bajaber
⚽Serhou Guirassy
32'
45'
Timothy Ouma
/
Micah Obiero
45'
Rambok Ryan Wesley Ogam
/
Job Ochieng
Aboubacar Keita
/ Mory Konate
45'
Aliou Balde
/ Aguibou Camara
60'
60'
Shariff Sirengo
/
mohammed bajaber
Seydouba Cisse
/ Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
60'
Mohamed Camara
64'
74'
Javan Omondi Ochieng
/
Ben Stanley Omondi
Abdoul Karim Traoré
/ Ousmane Camara
76'
Yadaly Diaby
/ Lamine Diaby Fadiga
83'
87'
Amos Wanjala
/
C. Erambo
Pre-match prediction
34.35%
Guinea ←
27.28%
X
38.37%
Kenya
we assigned to the actual result (Guinea)
34.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
—
—
1.82
—
—
Lineups
22
M. Camara
G
M. Camara
G
21
S. Sylla
D
S. Sylla
D
3
A. Keita
45'
D
A. Keita
45'
D
5
Mohamed Soumah
D
Mohamed Soumah
D
6
I. Fofana
D
I. Fofana
D
15
S. Cissé
60'
M
S. Cissé
60'
M
19
Ousmane Diabate
M
Ousmane Diabate
M
11
Y. Diaby
83'
M
Y. Diaby
83'
M
8
A. Traoré
76'
M
A. Traoré
76'
M
10
A. Balde
60'
M
A. Balde
60'
M
9
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
F
S. Guirassy
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
A. Camara
30'
M
17
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
30'
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
30'
M
24
L. Diaby-Fadiga
7'
M
L. Diaby-Fadiga
7'
M
13
Madiou Keita
D
Madiou Keita
D
20
M. Konaté
45'
M
M. Konaté
45'
M
14
M. Sylla
F
M. Sylla
F
1
Mussa Diallo
G
Mussa Diallo
G
25
O. Camara
14'
F
O. Camara
14'
F
4
S. Sow
D
S. Sow
D
23
G
20
M. Okwaro
D
5
F. Odhiambo
D
4
M. Kibwage
D
16
R. Onyango
D
8
Duke Ooga Abuya
M
Duke Ooga Abuya
M
12
M
7
M
24
M
19
J. Ochieng
45'
M
J. Ochieng
45'
M
22
M. Obiero
45'
F
M. Obiero
45'
F
Bench
14
A. Wanjala
3'
D
15
R. Ogam
45'
F
21
S. Wilson
M
S. Wilson
M
10
T. Ouma
45'
M
T. Ouma
45'
M
17
V. Harper
D
Best on the pitch
S. Guirassy
F · Guinea
7.73
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
S. Cissé
M · Guinea
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
M. Okwaro
D · Kenya
7.16
· 33 pass
A. Balde
M · Guinea
7.16
· 9 pass
S. Sylla
D · Guinea
7.14
· 31 pass
I. Fofana
D · Guinea
7.03
1 shots
· 34 pass
Guinea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Camara | G | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Sylla | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Keita | D | 45 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Mohamed Soumah | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Fofana | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Cissé | M | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Y. Diaby | M | 83 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Traoré | M | 76 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Balde | M | 60 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 90 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 30 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | M | 30 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Diaby-Fadiga | M | 7 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Konaté | M | 45 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Camara | F | 14 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Kenya — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M. Okwaro | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Odhiambo | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kibwage | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Onyango | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Duke Ooga Abuya | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| J. Ochieng | M | 45 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Obiero | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Wanjala | D | 3 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ogam | F | 45 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Ouma | M | 45 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guinea vs Kenya?
The final score was Guinea 1–0 Kenya.
What did the model predict before Guinea vs Kenya?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Guinea win, 27% to a draw, and 38% to an Kenya win.