Guinea - Kenya
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
October 01, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.72%
Win
Guinea
29.9%
Draw
40.38%
Win
Kenya
1.24
1.93
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.53%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
30%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
70%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kenya a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Guinea. Expected goals are 1.2 for Guinea and 1.9 for Kenya (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.53% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Guinea
Kenya →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Guinea
Attack
28
Defence
64
Form
39
Kenya
Attack
58
Defence
88
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Guinea vs Kenya?
The model gives Guinea a 29% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an Kenya win.
How many goals are expected in Guinea vs Kenya?
Expected goals: Guinea 1.2, Kenya 1.9 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Guinea vs Kenya?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.53%.