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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9 October 16, 2026 20:00 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Guingamp
#11 · 11 pts
1 – 2
Final score
PAU
#5 · 17 pts
Teddy Andami Averlant 75'
6' (ast. Lorenzo Rajot) Cheikh Fall
33' (ast. Anthony Briançon) Bilal Brahimi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guingamp a 36% win probability (draw 28%, PAU 34%). The final result was Guingamp 1–2 PAU. In 2 previous meetings, Guingamp have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for PAU.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
2
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. Lorenzo Rajot · Cheikh Fall⚽
13'
Anthony Briançon
25'
Gaëtan Paquiez
33'
ast. Anthony Briançon · Bilal Brahimi⚽
↕ Tanguy Ahile / Brandon Bokangu
45'
45'
Rony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng / Anthony Briançon ↕
↕ Tom Ducrocq / Florent Sanchez Da Silva
57'
↕ Tuomas Ollila / Amadou Samoura
57'
62'
Jeremy Sebas / Bilal Brahimi ↕
66'
Jeremy Sebas
66'
Luan Gadegbeku / Hacene Benali ↕
↕ Stanislas Kielt / Dylan Louiserre
67'
Nathan Fondja
74'
↕ Nathan Fondja / Ibrahim Fomba
74'
⚽Teddy Andami Averlant
75'
80'
Abdoulaye Mbaye / Babacar Leye ↕
80'
Abdel Hakim Abdallah / Tom Pouilly ↕
Jeovanni Dianganga
83'
Pre-match prediction
36.75%
Guingamp
28.75%
X
34.5%
PAU ←
we assigned to the actual result (PAU) 34.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guingamp
1.31
1.26
-0.05
PAU
1.38
0.63
-0.75
Guingamp dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Guingamp Guingamp 4-4-2
16 Adrián Ortolá Adrián Ortolá G 6.11
5 T. Ollila T. Ollila 57' D 5.68
35 N. Fondja N. Fondja 74' D 5.82
24 J. Dianganga J. Dianganga D 6.08
2 E. Koffi E. Koffi D 6.71
20 S. Ben Brahim S. Ben Brahim M 6.53
21 T. Ahile T. Ahile 45' M 6.81
25 T. Ducrocq T. Ducrocq 57' M 5.90
11 T. Averlant T. Averlant 1 ⚽ M 7.74
18 S. Kielt S. Kielt 67' F 6.36
10 A. Hemia A. Hemia F 6.56
Bench
17 A. Samoura A. Samoura 33' F 6.45
22 B. Bokangu B. Bokangu 45' M 6.00
4 D. Louiserre D. Louiserre 23' M 6.83
38 E. Aucan E. Aucan M 0.00
8 F. Da Silva F. Da Silva 33' M 6.15
31 J. Matondo J. Matondo M 0.00
3 J. Matumona J. Matumona D 0.00
1 T. Bartouche T. Bartouche G 0.00
PAU PAU 5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu B. Maubleu G 6.95
39 M. Tourraine M. Tourraine D 6.75
88 A. Bamba A. Bamba D 6.90
23 A. Briançon A. Briançon 1 👟 45' D 6.72
29 G. Paquiez G. Paquiez D 6.27
2 T. Pouilly T. Pouilly 80' D 6.83
6 C. Fall C. Fall 1 ⚽ M 8.20
5 L. Rajot L. Rajot 1 👟 M 7.29
10 B. Brahimi B. Brahimi 1 ⚽ 62' M 7.53
7 H. Benali H. Benali 66' F 6.30
9 B. Leye B. Leye 80' F 6.44
Bench
97 A. Abdallah A. Abdallah 10' D 6.49
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye Abdoulaye Mbaye 10' F 6.19
4 A. Dodote A. Dodote D 0.00
30 E. Salles E. Salles G 0.00
18 J. Sebas J. Sebas 28' F 6.46
27 L. Gadegbeku L. Gadegbeku 24' M 6.39
25 Q. Daubin Q. Daubin M 0.00
22 R. Baheng R. Baheng 45' D 6.75
8 S. Basse S. Basse D 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Fall
C. Fall
M · PAU
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
T. Averlant
T. Averlant
M · Guingamp
7.74
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
B. Brahimi
B. Brahimi
M · PAU
7.53
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
L. Rajot
L. Rajot
M · PAU
7.29
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
B. Maubleu
B. Maubleu
G · PAU
6.95
· 25 pass
A. Bamba
A. Bamba
D · PAU
6.90
· 31 pass
Guingamp Guingamp — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Adrián Ortolá G 90 6.11 — — 0 42 41% 0 — —
T. Ollila D 57 5.68 — — 0 37 31% 2 — —
N. Fondja D 74 5.82 — — 0 79 67% 1 1 —
J. Dianganga D 90 6.08 — — 0 87 80% 2 1 —
E. Koffi D 90 6.71 — — 0 49 42% 2 — —
S. Ben Brahim M 90 6.53 — — 0 38 31% 0 — —
T. Ahile M 45 6.81 — — 2 32 30% 0 — —
T. Ducrocq M 57 5.90 — — 1 42 35% 0 — —
T. Averlant M 90 7.74 1 — 5 16 11% 0 — —
S. Kielt F 67 6.36 — — 4 15 15% 0 — —
A. Hemia F 90 6.56 — — 4 78 67% 2 — —
A. Samoura F 33 6.45 — — 1 10 7% 0 — —
B. Bokangu M 45 6.00 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
D. Louiserre M 23 6.83 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
F. Da Silva M 33 6.15 — — 0 28 23% 0 — —
PAU PAU — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Maubleu G 90 6.95 — — 0 25 14% 0 — —
M. Tourraine D 90 6.75 — — 0 18 9% 1 — —
A. Bamba D 90 6.90 — — 0 31 24% 0 — —
A. Briançon D 45 6.72 — 1 0 26 24% 0 1 —
G. Paquiez D 90 6.27 — — 1 54 40% 1 1 —
T. Pouilly D 80 6.83 — — 0 34 28% 3 — —
C. Fall M 90 8.20 1 — 2 21 18% 1 — —
L. Rajot M 90 7.29 — 1 1 58 44% 2 — —
B. Brahimi M 62 7.53 1 — 1 33 27% 0 — —
H. Benali F 66 6.30 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
B. Leye F 80 6.44 — — 1 16 12% 0 — —
A. Abdallah D 10 6.49 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Abdoulaye Mbaye F 10 6.19 — — 1 2 1% 1 — —
J. Sebas F 28 6.46 — — 0 6 6% 0 1 —
L. Gadegbeku M 24 6.39 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
R. Baheng D 45 6.75 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Guingamp vs PAU?
The final score was Guingamp 1–2 PAU.
What did the model predict before Guingamp vs PAU?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Guingamp win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an PAU win.