28'
J. McGinn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Scotland a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Haiti 31%). The final result was Haiti 0–1 Scotland.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
1.07
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
J. McGinn⚽
J. Bellegarde
39'
46'
A. Hickey
L. Deedson
/ J. Casimir
61'
75'
R. Christie
/
B. Gannon-Doak
75'
N. Patterson
/
A. Hickey
75'
L. Dykes
/
C. Adams
W. Isidor
/ L. Joseph
76'
83'
F. Curtis
/
J. McGinn
83'
K. McLean
/
L. Shankland
R. Providence
/ Y. Fortune
85'
90'+1
F. Curtis
90'+5
K. McLean
Pre-match prediction
31.3%
Haiti
26.94%
X
41.76%
Scotland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Scotland)
41.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.21
-0.03
1.44
1.07
-0.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Johny Placide
G
Johny Placide
G
8
Martin Expérience
D
Martin Expérience
D
5
H. Delcroix
D
H. Delcroix
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
2
C. Arcus
D
C. Arcus
D
15
R. Providence
85'
M
R. Providence
85'
M
10
J. Bellegarde
M
J. Bellegarde
M
17
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
11
L. Deedson
61'
M
L. Deedson
61'
M
18
W. Isidor
76'
F
W. Isidor
76'
F
20
F. Pierrot
F
F. Pierrot
F
Bench
12
A. Pierre
G
A. Pierre
G
6
Carl Fred Sainté
M
Carl Fred Sainté
M
7
D. Etienne
F
D. Etienne
F
9
D. Nazon
F
D. Nazon
F
25
D. Simon
M
D. Simon
M
13
Duke Lacroix
D
Duke Lacroix
D
14
Garven-Michee Metusala
D
Garven-Michee Metusala
D
21
J. Casimir
29'
F
J. Casimir
29'
F
22
Jean-Kévin Duverne
D
23
Josué Duverger
G
Josué Duverger
G
3
Keeto Thermoncy
D
Keeto Thermoncy
D
16
Lenny Joseph
14'
F
Lenny Joseph
14'
F
24
Wilguens Paugain
D
Wilguens Paugain
D
26
Woodensky Pierre
M
Woodensky Pierre
M
19
Y. Fortuné
13'
F
1
A. Gunn
G
A. Gunn
G
3
A. Robertson
D
A. Robertson
D
13
J. Hendry
D
J. Hendry
D
5
G. Hanley
D
G. Hanley
D
2
A. Hickey
75'
D
A. Hickey
75'
D
7
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
83'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
4
S. McTominay
M
S. McTominay
M
17
B. Doak
75'
M
B. Doak
75'
M
10
C. Adams
75'
F
C. Adams
75'
F
20
L. Shankland
83'
F
L. Shankland
83'
F
Bench
24
A. Ralston
D
A. Ralston
D
21
Craig Gordon
G
Craig Gordon
G
16
D. Hyam
D
D. Hyam
D
25
Findlay Curtis
15'
F
Findlay Curtis
15'
F
18
G. Hirst
F
G. Hirst
F
15
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
23
K. McLean
15'
M
K. McLean
15'
M
6
K. Tierney
D
K. Tierney
D
9
L. Dykes
15'
F
L. Dykes
15'
F
12
L. Kelly
G
L. Kelly
G
22
N. Patterson
15'
D
N. Patterson
15'
D
11
R. Christie
15'
M
R. Christie
15'
M
14
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
26
S. McKenna
D
S. McKenna
D
8
T. Fletcher
M
T. Fletcher
M
Best on the pitch
L. Ferguson
M · Scotland
7.70
· 43 pass
G. Hanley
D · Scotland
7.70
· 50 pass
J. McGinn
M · Scotland
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
J. Bellegarde
M · Haiti
7.50
2 shots
· 66 pass
A. Gunn
G · Scotland
7.50
· 37 pass
B. Doak
M · Scotland
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Haiti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johny Placide | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Martin Expérience | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Delcroix | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | — | — | — |
| C. Arcus | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. Providence | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellegarde | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Deedson | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Lenny Joseph | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Y. Fortuné | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Scotland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gunn | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Robertson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. Doak | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| K. McLean | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Dykes | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Patterson | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Haiti vs Scotland?
The final score was Haiti 0–1 Scotland.
What did the model predict before Haiti vs Scotland?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Haiti win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Scotland win.