28'
J. McGinn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Scotland a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Haiti 31%). The final result was Haiti 0–1 Scotland.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
1.07
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
J. McGinn⚽
J. Bellegarde
39'
46'
A. Hickey
L. Deedson
/ J. Casimir
61'
75'
R. Christie
/
B. Gannon-Doak
75'
N. Patterson
/
A. Hickey
75'
L. Dykes
/
C. Adams
W. Isidor
/ L. Joseph
76'
83'
F. Curtis
/
J. McGinn
83'
K. McLean
/
L. Shankland
R. Providence
/ Y. Fortune
85'
90'+1
F. Curtis
90'+5
K. McLean
Pre-match prediction
31.3%
Haiti
26.94%
X
41.76%
Scotland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Scotland)
41.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.21
-0.03
1.44
1.07
-0.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.21 – 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Johny Placide
G
Johny Placide
G
8
Martin Expérience
D
Martin Expérience
D
5
Hannes Delcroix
D
Hannes Delcroix
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
2
C. Arcus
D
C. Arcus
D
15
R. Providence
85'
M
R. Providence
85'
M
10
J. Bellegarde
M
J. Bellegarde
M
17
D. Jean-Jacques
M
D. Jean-Jacques
M
11
L. Deedson
61'
M
L. Deedson
61'
M
18
Wilson Isidor
76'
F
Wilson Isidor
76'
F
20
F. Pierrot
F
F. Pierrot
F
Bench
12
Alexandre Pierre
G
Alexandre Pierre
G
6
Carl Fred Sainté
M
Carl Fred Sainté
M
7
Derrick Etienne
F
Derrick Etienne
F
9
D. Nazon
F
D. Nazon
F
25
Dominique Simon
M
Dominique Simon
M
13
Duke Lacroix
D
Duke Lacroix
D
14
Garven-Michee Metusala
D
Garven-Michee Metusala
D
21
J. Casimir
29'
F
J. Casimir
29'
F
22
J. Duverne
D
J. Duverne
D
23
Josué Duverger
G
Josué Duverger
G
3
Keeto Thermoncy
D
Keeto Thermoncy
D
16
Lenny Joseph
14'
F
24
Wilguens Paugain
D
Wilguens Paugain
D
26
Woodensky Pierre
M
Woodensky Pierre
M
19
Yassin Fortune
13'
F
Yassin Fortune
13'
F
1
Angus Gunn
G
Angus Gunn
G
3
Andy Robertson
D
Andy Robertson
D
13
J. Hendry
D
J. Hendry
D
5
Grant Hanley
D
2
Aaron Hickey
75'
D
Aaron Hickey
75'
D
7
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
83'
M
J. McGinn
1 ⚽
83'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
4
S. McTominay
M
S. McTominay
M
17
Ben Gannon-Doak
75'
M
Ben Gannon-Doak
75'
M
10
C. Adams
75'
F
C. Adams
75'
F
20
L. Shankland
83'
F
L. Shankland
83'
F
Bench
21
Craig Gordon
G
Craig Gordon
G
16
Dominic Hyam
D
Dominic Hyam
D
25
Findlay Curtis
15'
F
Findlay Curtis
15'
F
18
George Hirst
F
George Hirst
F
15
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
6
Kieran Tierney
D
Kieran Tierney
D
23
K. McLean
15'
M
K. McLean
15'
M
12
Liam Kelly
G
Liam Kelly
G
9
Lyndon Dykes
15'
F
Lyndon Dykes
15'
F
22
Nathan Patterson
15'
D
Nathan Patterson
15'
D
11
R. Christie
15'
M
R. Christie
15'
M
14
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
26
Scott McKenna
D
Scott McKenna
D
24
Tony Ralston
D
Tony Ralston
D
8
Tyler Fletcher
M
Tyler Fletcher
M
Best on the pitch
L. Ferguson
M · Scotland
7.70
· 43 pass
Grant Hanley
D · Scotland
7.70
· 50 pass
J. McGinn
M · Scotland
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
J. Bellegarde
M · Haiti
7.50
2 shots
· 66 pass
Angus Gunn
G · Scotland
7.50
· 37 pass
Ben Gannon-Doak
M · Scotland
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Haiti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johny Placide | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Martin Expérience | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Hannes Delcroix | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | — | — | — |
| C. Arcus | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. Providence | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellegarde | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Deedson | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Lenny Joseph | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yassin Fortune | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Scotland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Gunn | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Andy Robertson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Hickey | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| K. McLean | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lyndon Dykes | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Haiti vs Scotland?
The final score was Haiti 0–1 Scotland.
What did the model predict before Haiti vs Scotland?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Haiti win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Scotland win.