Haiti - USA
CONCACAF Nations League
November 14, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.64%
Win
Haiti
31.39%
Draw
35.97%
Win
USA
0.86
0.95
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.26%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
33%
X
31%
2
36%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
64%
X2
67%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
27%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives USA a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Haiti. Expected goals are 0.9 for Haiti and 1.0 for USA (total 1.8), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.26% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Haiti have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for USA.
Score Matrix
↕ Haiti
USA →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.4% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Haiti
Attack
41
Defence
52
Form
53
USA
Attack
46
Defence
73
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
23 Jun 2025
1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Haiti vs USA?
The model gives Haiti a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an USA win.
How many goals are expected in Haiti vs USA?
Expected goals: Haiti 0.9, USA 1.0 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Haiti vs USA?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.26%.