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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 September 19, 2026 15:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
#11 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
1. FC Köln
#15 · 9 pts
Nicolás Capaldo (ast. Albert Grönbaek) 44'
Yussuf Poulsen (ast. Albert Grönbaek) 49'
90' (ast. Ellyes Skhiri) Ragnar Ache
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Hamburger SV 33%). The final result was Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln. In 2 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Köln.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
18
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
5
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Albert Grönbaek
10'
⚽Nicolás Capaldo · ast. Albert Grönbaek
44'
↕ Terem Moffi / Yussuf Poulsen
45'
⚽Yussuf Poulsen · ast. Albert Grönbaek
49'
54'
Gideon Mensah
64'
Borna Sosa / Gideon Mensah ↕
64'
Ragnar Ache / Thijs Dallinga ↕
↕ Albert Grönbaek / Patson Daka
67'
67'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson / Alessio Castro-Montes ↕
↕ David Moller Wolfe / Louis Pepe Lemke
77'
↕ Zakaria El Ouahdi / Bakery Jatta
77'
77'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
81'
Luca Waldschmidt / Tom Krauß ↕
81'
Marius Bülter / Linton Maina ↕
84'
Ellyes Skhiri
↕ Albert Sambi Lokonga / Martin Adeline
90'
90'
ast. Ellyes Skhiri · Ragnar Ache⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.92%
Hamburger ←
30.56%
X
35.52%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 33.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.66
—
—
1.
1.91
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 9 16
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 9 12
12 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 6.63
17 W. Omari W. Omari D 6.72
23 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.78
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo 1 ⚽ D 7.18
3 D. Møller Wolfe D. Møller Wolfe 77' M 6.96
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg M 6.32
6 A. Sambi Lokonga A. Sambi Lokonga 89' M 6.49
7 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi 77' M 6.36
11 A. Grønbæk A. Grønbæk 2 👟 67' M 8.32
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira M 7.20
9 T. Moffi T. Moffi 45' F 6.40
Bench
18 B. Jatta B. Jatta 13' M 6.47
4 B. Nadir B. Nadir M 0.00
37 L. Lemke L. Lemke 13' D 6.61
5 M. Adeline M. Adeline 1' M 0.00
19 Otto Emerson Stange Otto Emerson Stange F 0.00
27 P. Daka P. Daka 23' F 6.78
43 S. Nandja S. Nandja D 0.00
12 S. Tangvik S. Tangvik G 0.00
15 Y. Poulsen Y. Poulsen 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.44
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 7.47
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah 64' D 6.82
24 L. Lochoshvili L. Lochoshvili D 6.88
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 6.74
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes 67' D 6.29
6 E. Skhiri E. Skhiri 1 👟 M 7.44
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß 81' M 6.13
10 S. El Mala S. El Mala M 6.51
47 M. Moore M. Moore M 5.78
37 L. Maina L. Maina 81' M 6.66
27 T. Dallinga T. Dallinga 64' F 6.46
Bench
3 B. Sosa B. Sosa 26' D 6.14
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 23' M 5.93
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied D 0.00
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann M 0.00
7 L. Waldschmidt L. Waldschmidt 9' F 6.30
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter 9' F 6.38
9 R. Ache R. Ache 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.27
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G 0.00
28 S. Sebulonsen S. Sebulonsen D 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Grønbæk
A. Grønbæk
M · Hamburger
8.32
2 👟
· 6 pass
M. Schwäbe
M. Schwäbe
G · 1.
7.47
· 33 pass
Y. Poulsen
Y. Poulsen
F · Hamburger
7.44
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
E. Skhiri
E. Skhiri
M · 1.
7.44
1 👟
· 68 pass
R. Ache
R. Ache
F · 1.
7.27
1 ⚽
3 shots · 4 pass
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira
M · Hamburger
7.20
4 shots · 19 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 90 6.63 — — 0 29 17% 0 — —
W. Omari D 90 6.72 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.78 — — 0 25 20% 1 — —
N. Capaldo D 90 7.18 1 — 1 28 17% 4 — —
D. Møller Wolfe M 77 6.96 — — 0 15 7% 0 — —
N. Remberg M 90 6.32 — — 2 27 25% 1 — —
A. Sambi Lokonga M 89 6.49 — — 0 28 25% 2 — —
Z. El Ouahdi M 77 6.36 — — 0 24 19% 5 — —
A. Grønbæk M 67 8.32 — 2 0 6 5% 0 1 —
Fábio Vieira M 90 7.20 — — 4 19 16% 1 — —
T. Moffi F 45 6.40 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
B. Jatta M 13 6.47 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
L. Lemke D 13 6.61 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
M. Adeline M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
P. Daka F 23 6.78 — — 2 6 6% 1 — —
Y. Poulsen F 45 7.44 1 — 3 11 10% 1 — —
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 7.47 — — 0 33 28% 0 — —
G. Mensah D 64 6.82 — — 0 66 60% 2 1 —
L. Lochoshvili D 90 6.88 — — 2 99 94% 0 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 6.74 — — 0 91 82% 0 — —
A. Castro-Montes D 67 6.29 — — 0 25 20% 2 — —
E. Skhiri M 90 7.44 — 1 0 68 63% 2 1 —
T. Krauß M 81 6.13 — — 0 46 37% 0 — —
S. El Mala M 90 6.51 — — 4 27 23% 1 — —
M. Moore M 90 5.78 — — 3 31 23% 1 — —
L. Maina M 81 6.66 — — 2 22 22% 0 — —
T. Dallinga F 64 6.46 — — 3 10 9% 0 — —
B. Sosa D 26 6.14 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 23 5.93 — — 1 19 16% 1 1 —
L. Waldschmidt F 9 6.30 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
M. Bülter F 9 6.38 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
R. Ache F 26 7.27 1 — 3 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an 1. FC Köln win.