Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 18:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV

#13 · 38 pts

1 – 2

Final score

1899 Hoffenheim

#5 · 61 pts

✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim

R. Glatzel 34' (pen.)

18' (ast. V. Coufal) F. Asllani

45' (ast. A. Hajdari) T. Lemperle

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Hamburger SV 22%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

11

4

Shots on target

6

1.35

Actual xG

1.45

4

Saves

3

41%

Possession

59%

4

Corners

9

21

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

8'

R. Hranac

18'

ast. V. Coufal · F. Asllani⚽

32'

O. Baumann

⚽R. Glatzel (pen.)

34'

45'

ast. A. Hajdari · T. Lemperle⚽

46'

Bernardo / R. Hranac ↕

N. Remberg

49'

64'

G. Promel / F. Asllani ↕

↕ R. Glatzel / O. Stange

64'

68'

G. Promel

71'

W. Burger

75'

A. Prass / A. Kramaric ↕

↕ W. Mikelbrencis / A. S. Lokonga

75'

↕ B. Jatta / G. Gocholeishvili

75'

85'

C. Campbell / B. Toure ↕

85'

M. Moerstedt / T. Lemperle ↕

↕ A. Gronbaek / D. Downs

88'

↕ W. Omari / R. Philippe

88'

A. S. Lokonga

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

22.17%

Hamburger

18.94%

X

58.89%

1899 ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 58.89% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hamburger

1.25

1.35

+0.1

1899

2.44

1.45

-0.99

xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26

Lineups

Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2

1

G 7.50

17 Warmed Omari 88' D 6.70

25 J. Torunarigha D 7.20

24 N. Capaldo D 6.90

2 William Mikelbrencis 75' M 7.00

23 Albert Grønbæk 88' M 6.90

21 N. Remberg M 6.30

18 Bakery Jatta 75' M 6.30

20 Fábio Vieira F 7.30

11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 7.00

9

R. Glatzel 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00

Bench

6 Albert Sambi Lokonga 15' M 6.60

8 Daniel Elfadli M

14 Rayan Philippe 2' F

1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1

1 O. Baumann G 6.50

21 A. Hajdari 1 👟 D 7.30

5 O. Kabak D 7.50

2 Robin Hranáč 45' D 6.50

29 B. Touré 85' M 6.50

18 W. Burger M 6.70

7

M 7.50

34 V. Coufal 1 👟 M 7.90

27 A. Kramarić 75' F 6.20

11 F. Asllani 1 ⚽ 64' F 6.70

19 Tim Lemperle 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20

Bench

22 Alexander Prass 15' D 6.20

13 Bernardo 45' D 6.90

6 Grischa Prömel 26' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

R. Glatzel

F · Hamburger

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

V. Coufal

M · 1899

7.90

1 👟

· 39 pass

M · 1899

7.50

· 78 pass

O. Kabak

D · 1899

7.50

2 shots · 55 pass

G · Hamburger

7.50

· 49 pass

Fábio Vieira

F · Hamburger

7.30

· 29 pass

Hamburger SV — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	49	23%	—	—	—
Warmed Omari	D	88	6.70	—	—	—	38	34%	3	—	—
J. Torunarigha	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	3	—	—
N. Capaldo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	21%	4	—	—
William Mikelbrencis	M	75	7.00	—	—	—	17	14%	1	—	—
Albert Grønbæk	M	88	6.90	—	—	1	27	19%	3	—	—
N. Remberg	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	37	30%	1	1	—
Bakery Jatta	M	75	6.30	—	—	3	17	14%	1	—	—
Fábio Vieira	F	90	7.30	—	—	—	29	23%	3	—	—
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer	F	90	7.00	—	—	1	18	11%	2	—	—
R. Glatzel	F	64	8.00	1	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
Albert Sambi Lokonga	M	15	6.60	—	—	—	8	7%	—	1	—
Rayan Philippe	F	2	—	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—

1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Baumann	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	24	18%	—	1	—
A. Hajdari	D	90	7.30	—	1	—	45	37%	1	—	—
O. Kabak	D	90	7.50	—	—	2	55	45%	2	—	—
Robin Hranáč	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	30	23%	—	1	—
B. Touré	M	85	6.50	—	—	2	19	18%	2	—	—
W. Burger	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	48	36%	4	1	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	78	74%	—	—	—
V. Coufal	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	39	26%	2	—	—
A. Kramarić	F	75	6.20	—	—	—	32	25%	—	—	—
F. Asllani	F	64	6.70	1	—	2	20	17%	1	—	—
Tim Lemperle	F	85	7.20	1	—	2	20	17%	—	—	—
Alexander Prass	D	15	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bernardo	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
Grischa Prömel	M	26	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	1	1	—