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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 20:30
Hamburger SV
#11 · 37 pts
1 – 2
Final score
1899 Hoffenheim
#5 · 61 pts
✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim
R. Glatzel 34' (pen.)
18' (ast. V. Coufal) F. Asllani
45' (ast. A. Hajdari) T. Lemperle

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Hamburger SV 22%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
1.35
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
9
21
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
8'
R. Hranac
18'
ast. V. Coufal · F. Asllani⚽
32'
O. Baumann
⚽R. Glatzel (pen.)
34'
45'
ast. A. Hajdari · T. Lemperle⚽
46'
Bernardo / R. Hranac ↕
N. Remberg
49'
64'
G. Promel / F. Asllani ↕
↕ R. Glatzel / O. Stange
64'
68'
G. Promel
71'
W. Burger
75'
A. Prass / A. Kramaric ↕
↕ W. Mikelbrencis / A. S. Lokonga
75'
↕ B. Jatta / G. Gocholeishvili
75'
85'
C. Campbell / B. Toure ↕
85'
M. Moerstedt / T. Lemperle ↕
↕ A. Gronbaek / D. Downs
88'
↕ W. Omari / R. Philippe
88'
A. S. Lokonga
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
22.17%
Hamburger
18.94%
X
58.89%
1899 ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 58.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.25
1.35
+0.1
1899
2.44
1.45
-0.99
xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.50
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari 88' D 6.70
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 7.20
24 Nicolás Capaldo Nicolás Capaldo D 6.90
2
W. Mikelbrencis 75' M 7.00
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 88' M 6.90
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg M 6.30
18 Bakery Jatta Bakery Jatta 75' M 6.30
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.30
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 7.00
9
R. Glatzel 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00
Bench
6 Albert Sambi Lokonga Albert Sambi Lokonga 15' M 6.60
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 2' F
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1
1
O. Baumann G 6.50
21
A. Hajdari 1 👟 D 7.30
5
O. Kabak D 7.50
2
R. Hranac 45' D 6.50
29
B. Toure 85' M 6.50
18
W. Burger M 6.70
7
M 7.50
34
V. Coufal 1 👟 M 7.90
27 A. Kramarić A. Kramarić 75' F 6.20
11
F. Asllani 1 ⚽ 64' F 6.70
19
T. Lemperle 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
22
A. Prass 15' D 6.20
13
Bernardo 45' D 6.90
6
G. Promel 26' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
R. Glatzel
F · Hamburger
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
V. Coufal
M · 1899
7.90
1 👟
· 39 pass
M · 1899
7.50
· 78 pass
O. Kabak
D · 1899
7.50
2 shots · 55 pass
G · Hamburger
7.50
· 49 pass
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira
F · Hamburger
7.30
· 29 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 49 23% — — —
Warmed Omari D 88 6.70 — — — 38 34% 3 — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 7.20 — — — 26 21% 3 — —
Nicolás Capaldo D 90 6.90 — — — 28 21% 4 — —
W. Mikelbrencis M 75 7.00 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Albert Grønbæk M 88 6.90 — — 1 27 19% 3 — —
N. Remberg M 90 6.30 — — 1 37 30% 1 1 —
Bakery Jatta M 75 6.30 — — 3 17 14% 1 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.30 — — — 29 23% 3 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 7.00 — — 1 18 11% 2 — —
R. Glatzel F 64 8.00 1 — 1 13 10% — — —
Albert Sambi Lokonga M 15 6.60 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Rayan Philippe F 2 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Baumann G 90 6.50 — — — 24 18% — 1 —
A. Hajdari D 90 7.30 — 1 — 45 37% 1 — —
O. Kabak D 90 7.50 — — 2 55 45% 2 — —
R. Hranac D 45 6.50 — — — 30 23% — 1 —
B. Toure M 85 6.50 — — 2 19 18% 2 — —
W. Burger M 90 6.70 — — 2 48 36% 4 1 —
M 90 7.50 — — — 78 74% — — —
V. Coufal M 90 7.90 — 1 — 39 26% 2 — —
A. Kramarić F 75 6.20 — — — 32 25% — — —
F. Asllani F 64 6.70 1 — 2 20 17% 1 — —
T. Lemperle F 85 7.20 1 — 2 20 17% — — —
A. Prass D 15 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Bernardo D 45 6.90 — — — 13 8% 1 — —
G. Promel M 26 6.30 — — 1 9 6% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The final score was Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 18% to a draw, and 58% to an 1899 Hoffenheim win.