Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 18:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV

#11 · 9 pts

1 – 2

Final score

1899 Hoffenheim

#10 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim

R. Glatzel 34' (pen.)

18' (ast. V. Coufal) F. Asllani

45' (ast. A. Hajdari) T. Lemperle

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 58% win probability (draw 18%, Hamburger SV 22%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim. In 2 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

11

4

Shots on target

6

1.35

Actual xG

1.45

4

Saves

3

41%

Possession

59%

4

Corners

9

21

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

8'

R. Hranac

18'

ast. V. Coufal · F. Asllani⚽

32'

O. Baumann

⚽R. Glatzel (pen.)

34'

45'

ast. A. Hajdari · T. Lemperle⚽

46'

Bernardo / R. Hranac ↕

N. Remberg

49'

64'

G. Promel / F. Asllani ↕

↕ R. Glatzel / O. Stange

64'

68'

G. Promel

71'

W. Burger

75'

A. Prass / A. Kramaric ↕

↕ W. Mikelbrencis / A. S. Lokonga

75'

↕ B. Jatta / G. Gocholeishvili

75'

85'

C. Campbell / B. Toure ↕

85'

M. Moerstedt / T. Lemperle ↕

↕ A. Gronbaek / D. Downs

88'

↕ W. Omari / R. Philippe

88'

A. S. Lokonga

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

22.17%

Hamburger

18.94%

X

58.89%

1899 ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 58.89% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hamburger

1.25

1.35

+0.1

1899

2.44

1.45

-0.99

xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3

Lineups

Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2

1

G 7.50

17 W. Omari 88' D 6.70

25 J. Torunarigha D 7.20

24 N. Capaldo D 6.90

2 W. Mikelbrencis 75' M 7.00

23 A. Grønbæk 88' M 6.90

21 N. Remberg M 6.30

18 B. Jatta 75' M 6.30

20 Fábio Vieira F 7.30

11 R. Königsdörffer F 7.00

9 R. Glatzel 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00

Bench

6 A. Sambi Lokonga 15' M 6.60

8 Daniel Elfadli M

14 R. Philippe 2' F

1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1

1 O. Baumann G 6.50

21 A. Hajdari 1 👟 D 7.30

5 O. Kabak D 7.50

2 R. Hranáč 45' D 6.50

29 B. Touré 85' M 6.50

18 W. Burger M 6.70

7

M 7.50

34 V. Coufal 1 👟 M 7.90

27 A. Kramarić 75' F 6.20

11 F. Asllani 1 ⚽ 64' F 6.70

19 T. Lemperle 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20

Bench

22 A. Prass 15' D 6.20

13 Bernardo 45' D 6.90

6 G. Prömel 26' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

R. Glatzel

F · Hamburger

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

V. Coufal

M · 1899

7.90

1 👟

· 39 pass

M · 1899

7.50

· 78 pass

O. Kabak

D · 1899

7.50

2 shots · 55 pass

G · Hamburger

7.50

· 49 pass

Fábio Vieira

F · Hamburger

7.30

· 29 pass

Hamburger SV — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	49	23%	—	—	—
W. Omari	D	88	6.70	—	—	—	38	34%	3	—	—
J. Torunarigha	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	3	—	—
N. Capaldo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	21%	4	—	—
W. Mikelbrencis	M	75	7.00	—	—	—	17	14%	1	—	—
A. Grønbæk	M	88	6.90	—	—	1	27	19%	3	—	—
N. Remberg	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	37	30%	1	1	—
B. Jatta	M	75	6.30	—	—	3	17	14%	1	—	—
Fábio Vieira	F	90	7.30	—	—	—	29	23%	3	—	—
R. Königsdörffer	F	90	7.00	—	—	1	18	11%	2	—	—
R. Glatzel	F	64	8.00	1	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
A. Sambi Lokonga	M	15	6.60	—	—	—	8	7%	—	1	—
R. Philippe	F	2	—	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—

1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Baumann	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	24	18%	—	1	—
A. Hajdari	D	90	7.30	—	1	—	45	37%	1	—	—
O. Kabak	D	90	7.50	—	—	2	55	45%	2	—	—
R. Hranáč	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	30	23%	—	1	—
B. Touré	M	85	6.50	—	—	2	19	18%	2	—	—
W. Burger	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	48	36%	4	1	—
	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	78	74%	—	—	—
V. Coufal	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	39	26%	2	—	—
A. Kramarić	F	75	6.20	—	—	—	32	25%	—	—	—
F. Asllani	F	64	6.70	1	—	2	20	17%	1	—	—
T. Lemperle	F	85	7.20	1	—	2	20	17%	—	—	—
A. Prass	D	15	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bernardo	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
G. Prömel	M	26	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	1	1	—