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Hamburger SV - Lille

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 15:00
Hamburger SV
vs
Lille
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.05%
Win
Hamburger SV
30.2%
Draw
36.75%
Win
Lille
2.11
Expected xG
2.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.05%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 67%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lille a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV. Expected goals are 2.1 for Hamburger SV and 2.8 for Lille (total 4.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.05% probability.

Season Stats

Hamburger SV
1W 0D 2L
Lille
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.3
2.0
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Hamburger SV
0W 0D 1L · at home
Lille
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
3.5
2.0
Conceded
2.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hamburger SV Lille →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 1.8% 1.0%
1 1.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.1%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%

Recent form

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
L Everton 1–2
W 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3
L Rapid Vienna 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Lille Lille
W OH Leuven 3–6
L Union St. Gilloise 2–1
W RAAL La Louvière 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 42%

Playing profile

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Attack
50
Defence
50
Form
53
Lille Lille
Attack
67
Defence
57
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Lille?
The model gives Hamburger SV a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 36% for an Lille win.
How many goals are expected in Hamburger SV vs Lille?
Expected goals: Hamburger SV 2.1, Lille 2.8 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Hamburger SV vs Lille?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.05%.