B. Jatta
(ast. A. Gronbaek)
14'
L. Vuskovic
64'
F. Balde
(ast. N. Remberg)
67'
16'
(ast. L. Kubler)
I. Matanovic
87'
(ast. V. Grifo)
I. Matanovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 42% win probability (draw 22%, Hamburger SV 34%). The final result was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.02
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽B. Jatta
· ast. A. Gronbaek
14'
16'
ast. L. Kubler ·
I. Matanovic⚽
20'
L. Kubler
59'
N. Hofler
/
J. Manzambi
59'
J. Makengo
/
J. Beste
⚽L. Vuskovic
64'
L. Vuskovic
65'
B. Jatta
/ F. Balde
66'
O. Stange
/ R. Philippe
66'
⚽F. Balde
· ast. N. Remberg
67'
70'
P. Lienhart
/
B. Ogbus
70'
D. Scherhant
/
L. Kubler
71'
A. Jung
/
M. Ginter
A. S. Lokonga
/ Y. Poulsen
80'
86'
L. Holer
N. Capaldo
86'
87'
ast. V. Grifo ·
I. Matanovic⚽
F. Vieira
/ L. Lemke
90'+6
L. Vuskovic
/ S. Nandja
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.82%
Hamburger ←
22.83%
X
42.35%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV)
34.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.02
+0.52
1.70
0.51
-1.19
Hamburger SV dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Daniel Fernandes
G
Daniel Fernandes
G
17
Warmed Omari
D
Warmed Omari
D
44
Luka Vušković
1 ⚽
89'
D
Luka Vušković
1 ⚽
89'
D
24
N. Capaldo
D
N. Capaldo
D
23
Albert Grønbæk
1 👟
M
Albert Grønbæk
1 👟
M
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga
80'
M
Albert Sambi Lokonga
80'
M
21
N. Remberg
1 👟
M
N. Remberg
1 👟
M
18
Bakery Jatta
1 ⚽
65'
M
Bakery Jatta
1 ⚽
65'
M
11
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
F
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
F
20
Fábio Vieira
89'
F
Fábio Vieira
89'
F
49
Otto Stange
65'
F
Otto Stange
65'
F
Bench
8
Daniel Elfadli
M
Daniel Elfadli
M
45
Fabio Baldé
1 ⚽
25'
F
Fabio Baldé
1 ⚽
25'
F
25
J. Torunarigha
D
J. Torunarigha
D
37
Louis Lemke
1'
D
Louis Lemke
1'
D
27
P. Otele
F
P. Otele
F
14
Rayan Philippe
25'
F
Rayan Philippe
25'
F
12
Sander Tangvik
G
Sander Tangvik
G
43
Shafiq Nandja
1'
D
Shafiq Nandja
1'
D
15
Yussuf Poulsen
10'
F
Yussuf Poulsen
10'
F
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
43
Bruno Ogbus
68'
D
Bruno Ogbus
68'
D
28
Matthias Ginter
71'
D
Matthias Ginter
71'
D
17
Lukas Kübler
1 👟
68'
D
Lukas Kübler
1 👟
68'
D
44
J. Manzambi
58'
M
J. Manzambi
58'
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
1 👟
M
V. Grifo
1 👟
M
9
L. Höler
M
L. Höler
M
19
J. Beste
59'
M
J. Beste
59'
M
31
Igor Matanović
2 ⚽
F
Igor Matanović
2 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Anthony Jung
19'
D
Anthony Jung
19'
D
30
Christian Günter
D
Christian Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
F
7
Derry Scherhant
22'
F
Derry Scherhant
22'
F
21
Florian Müller
G
Florian Müller
G
33
Jordy Makengo
31'
D
Jordy Makengo
31'
D
26
Maximilian Philipp
F
Maximilian Philipp
F
27
Nicolas Höfler
32'
M
Nicolas Höfler
32'
M
3
Philipp Lienhart
22'
D
Philipp Lienhart
22'
D
Best on the pitch
Igor Matanović
F · SC
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Luka Vušković
D · Hamburger
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
N. Remberg
M · Hamburger
8.00
1 👟
· 62 pass
Albert Grønbæk
M · Hamburger
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
Fabio Baldé
F · Hamburger
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Philipp Lienhart
D · SC
7.30
· 21 pass
Hamburger SV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Fernandes | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Warmed Omari | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Luka Vušković | D | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 57 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Capaldo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Albert Grønbæk | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Remberg | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 62 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Bakery Jatta | M | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Vieira | F | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Otto Stange | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabio Baldé | F | 25 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Louis Lemke | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Philippe | F | 25 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Shafiq Nandja | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yussuf Poulsen | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 68 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 68 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | — | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| L. Höler | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Beste | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 22 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an SC Freiburg win.