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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 15:30
Hamburger SV
#11 · 37 pts
3 – 2
Final score
SC Freiburg
#7 · 44 pts
B. Jatta (ast. A. Gronbaek) 14'
L. Vuskovic 64'
F. Balde (ast. N. Remberg) 67'
16' (ast. L. Kubler) I. Matanovic
87' (ast. V. Grifo) I. Matanovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 42% win probability (draw 22%, Hamburger SV 34%). The final result was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.02
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽B. Jatta · ast. A. Gronbaek
14'
16'
ast. L. Kubler · I. Matanovic⚽
20'
L. Kubler
59'
N. Hofler / J. Manzambi ↕
59'
J. Makengo / J. Beste ↕
⚽L. Vuskovic
64'
L. Vuskovic
65'
↕ B. Jatta / F. Balde
66'
↕ O. Stange / R. Philippe
66'
⚽F. Balde · ast. N. Remberg
67'
70'
P. Lienhart / B. Ogbus ↕
70'
D. Scherhant / L. Kubler ↕
71'
A. Jung / M. Ginter ↕
↕ A. S. Lokonga / Y. Poulsen
80'
86'
L. Holer
N. Capaldo
86'
87'
ast. V. Grifo · I. Matanovic⚽
↕ F. Vieira / L. Lemke
90'+6
↕ L. Vuskovic / S. Nandja
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.82%
Hamburger ←
22.83%
X
42.35%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 34.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.50
2.02
+0.52
SC
1.70
0.51
-1.19
Hamburger SV dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1 Daniel Fernandes Daniel Fernandes G 7.20
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 6.60
44 Luka Vušković Luka Vušković 1 ⚽ 89' D 8.00
24 Nicolás Capaldo Nicolás Capaldo D 6.30
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 1 👟 M 7.90
6 Albert Sambi Lokonga Albert Sambi Lokonga 80' M 6.60
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg 1 👟 M 8.00
18 Bakery Jatta Bakery Jatta 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.20
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.70
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira 89' F 7.20
49 Otto Stange Otto Stange 65' F 6.90
Bench
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.60
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D
37 Louis Lemke Louis Lemke 1' D
27 Philip Otele Philip Otele F
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 25' F 6.00
12 Sander Tangvik Sander Tangvik G
43 Shafiq Nandja Shafiq Nandja 1' D
15 Yussuf Poulsen Yussuf Poulsen 10' F 6.90
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 Noah Atubolu Noah Atubolu G 5.90
29 Philipp Treu Philipp Treu D 6.30
43 Bruno Ogbus Bruno Ogbus 68' D 5.60
28 Matthias Ginter Matthias Ginter 71' D 6.70
17 Lukas Kübler Lukas Kübler 1 👟 68' D 6.60
44 Johan Manzambi Johan Manzambi 58' M 6.90
8 Maximilian Eggestein Maximilian Eggestein M 6.20
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 1 👟 M 6.30
9 L. Höler L. Höler M 5.90
19 J. Beste J. Beste 59' M 6.20
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 2 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
5 Anthony Jung Anthony Jung 19' D 7.00
30 Christian Günter Christian Günter D
22 Cyriaque Irié Cyriaque Irié F
7 Derry Scherhant Derry Scherhant 22' F 6.70
21 Florian Müller Florian Müller G
33 Jordy Makengo Jordy Makengo 31' D 6.00
26 Maximilian Philipp Maximilian Philipp F
27 Nicolas Höfler Nicolas Höfler 32' M 6.20
3 Philipp Lienhart Philipp Lienhart 22' D 7.30
Best on the pitch
I. Matanović
I. Matanović
F · SC
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
Luka Vušković
Luka Vušković
D · Hamburger
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
N. Remberg
N. Remberg
M · Hamburger
8.00
1 👟
· 62 pass
Albert Grønbæk
Albert Grønbæk
M · Hamburger
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
Fabio Baldé
Fabio Baldé
F · Hamburger
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart
D · SC
7.30
· 21 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Fernandes G 90 7.20 — — — 60 47% — — —
Warmed Omari D 90 6.60 — — — 54 48% 3 — —
Luka Vušković D 89 8.00 1 — 2 57 45% — 1 —
Nicolás Capaldo D 90 6.30 — — — 33 28% 3 1 —
Albert Grønbæk M 90 7.90 — 1 — 29 23% 5 — —
Albert Sambi Lokonga M 80 6.60 — — — 32 29% 1 — —
N. Remberg M 90 8.00 — 1 — 62 55% 2 — —
Bakery Jatta M 65 7.20 1 — 1 23 19% 2 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 6.70 — — 1 15 10% — — —
Fábio Vieira F 89 7.20 — — 2 37 28% 1 — —
Otto Stange F 65 6.90 — — 1 7 7% 2 — —
Fabio Baldé F 25 7.60 1 — 1 8 6% — — —
Louis Lemke D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Rayan Philippe F 25 6.00 — — 1 5 4% — — —
Shafiq Nandja D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Yussuf Poulsen F 10 6.90 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Noah Atubolu G 90 5.90 — — — 46 27% — — —
Philipp Treu D 90 6.30 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
Bruno Ogbus D 68 5.60 — — — 40 38% 1 — —
Matthias Ginter D 71 6.70 — — — 44 42% — — —
Lukas Kübler D 68 6.60 — 1 1 30 26% — 1 —
Johan Manzambi M 58 6.90 — — — 34 26% 3 — —
Maximilian Eggestein M 90 6.20 — — — 58 49% — — —
V. Grifo M 90 6.30 — 1 — 43 30% — — —
L. Höler M 90 5.90 — — 1 23 17% 1 1 —
J. Beste M 59 6.20 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
I. Matanović F 90 8.50 2 — 3 14 8% — — —
Anthony Jung D 19 7.00 — — — 14 14% 2 — —
Derry Scherhant F 22 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Jordy Makengo D 31 6.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Nicolas Höfler M 32 6.20 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Philipp Lienhart D 22 7.30 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an SC Freiburg win.