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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 15:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
#17 · 0 pts
3 – 2
Final score
SC Freiburg
#1 · 9 pts
B. Jatta (ast. A. Gronbaek) 14'
L. Vuskovic 64'
F. Balde (ast. N. Remberg) 67'
16' (ast. L. Kubler) I. Matanovic
87' (ast. V. Grifo) I. Matanovic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 42% win probability (draw 22%, Hamburger SV 34%). The final result was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg. In 1 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Freiburg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.02
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽B. Jatta · ast. A. Gronbaek
14'
16'
ast. L. Kubler · I. Matanovic⚽
20'
L. Kubler
59'
N. Hofler / J. Manzambi ↕
59'
J. Makengo / J. Beste ↕
⚽L. Vuskovic
64'
L. Vuskovic
65'
↕ B. Jatta / F. Balde
66'
↕ O. Stange / R. Philippe
66'
⚽F. Balde · ast. N. Remberg
67'
70'
P. Lienhart / B. Ogbus ↕
70'
D. Scherhant / L. Kubler ↕
71'
A. Jung / M. Ginter ↕
↕ A. S. Lokonga / Y. Poulsen
80'
86'
L. Holer
N. Capaldo
86'
87'
ast. V. Grifo · I. Matanovic⚽
↕ F. Vieira / L. Lemke
90'+6
↕ L. Vuskovic / S. Nandja
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
34.82%
Hamburger ←
22.83%
X
42.35%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 34.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.50
2.02
+0.52
SC
1.70
0.51
-1.19
Hamburger SV dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 7.20
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 6.60
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković 1 ⚽ 89' D 8.00
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo D 6.30
23 A. Grønbæk A. Grønbæk 1 👟 M 7.90
6 A. Sambi Lokonga A. Sambi Lokonga 80' M 6.60
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg 1 👟 M 8.00
18 B. Jatta B. Jatta 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.20
11 R. Königsdörffer R. Königsdörffer F 6.70
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira 89' F 7.20
49 Otto Emerson Stange Otto Emerson Stange 65' F 6.90
Bench
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.60
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D
37 L. Lemke L. Lemke 1' D
27 P. Otele P. Otele F
14 R. Philippe R. Philippe 25' F 6.00
43 S. Nandja S. Nandja 1' D
12 S. Tangvik S. Tangvik G
15 Y. Poulsen Y. Poulsen 10' F 6.90
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu N. Atubolu G 5.90
29 P. Treu P. Treu D 6.30
43 I. Ogbus I. Ogbus 68' D 5.60
28 M. Ginter M. Ginter 71' D 6.70
17 L. Kübler L. Kübler 1 👟 68' D 6.60
44 J. Manzambi J. Manzambi 58' M 6.90
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein M 6.20
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 1 👟 M 6.30
9 L. Höler L. Höler M 5.90
19 J. Beste J. Beste 59' M 6.20
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 2 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
5 Anthony Jung Anthony Jung 19' D 7.00
30 C. Günter C. Günter D
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié Cyriaque Kalou Irié F
7 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant 22' F 6.70
21 F. Müller F. Müller G
33 J. Makengo J. Makengo 31' D 6.00
26 Maximilian Philipp Maximilian Philipp F
27 Nicolas Höfler Nicolas Höfler 32' M 6.20
3 P. Lienhart P. Lienhart 22' D 7.30
Best on the pitch
I. Matanović
I. Matanović
F · SC
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
L. Vušković
L. Vušković
D · Hamburger
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
N. Remberg
N. Remberg
M · Hamburger
8.00
1 👟
· 62 pass
A. Grønbæk
A. Grønbæk
M · Hamburger
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
Fabio Baldé
Fabio Baldé
F · Hamburger
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
D · SC
7.30
· 21 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 90 7.20 — — — 60 47% — — —
Warmed Omari D 90 6.60 — — — 54 48% 3 — —
L. Vušković D 89 8.00 1 — 2 57 45% — 1 —
N. Capaldo D 90 6.30 — — — 33 28% 3 1 —
A. Grønbæk M 90 7.90 — 1 — 29 23% 5 — —
A. Sambi Lokonga M 80 6.60 — — — 32 29% 1 — —
N. Remberg M 90 8.00 — 1 — 62 55% 2 — —
B. Jatta M 65 7.20 1 — 1 23 19% 2 — —
R. Königsdörffer F 90 6.70 — — 1 15 10% — — —
Fábio Vieira F 89 7.20 — — 2 37 28% 1 — —
Otto Emerson Stange F 65 6.90 — — 1 7 7% 2 — —
Fabio Baldé F 25 7.60 1 — 1 8 6% — — —
L. Lemke D 1 — — — — — — — — —
R. Philippe F 25 6.00 — — 1 5 4% — — —
S. Nandja D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Y. Poulsen F 10 6.90 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Atubolu G 90 5.90 — — — 46 27% — — —
P. Treu D 90 6.30 — — — 44 37% 2 — —
I. Ogbus D 68 5.60 — — — 40 38% 1 — —
M. Ginter D 71 6.70 — — — 44 42% — — —
L. Kübler D 68 6.60 — 1 1 30 26% — 1 —
J. Manzambi M 58 6.90 — — — 34 26% 3 — —
M. Eggestein M 90 6.20 — — — 58 49% — — —
V. Grifo M 90 6.30 — 1 — 43 30% — — —
L. Höler M 90 5.90 — — 1 23 17% 1 1 —
J. Beste M 59 6.20 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
I. Matanović F 90 8.50 2 — 3 14 8% — — —
Anthony Jung D 19 7.00 — — — 14 14% 2 — —
D. Scherhant F 22 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
J. Makengo D 31 6.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Nicolas Höfler M 32 6.20 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
P. Lienhart D 22 7.30 — — — 21 18% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The final score was Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 22% to a draw, and 42% to an SC Freiburg win.