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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6 October 17, 2026 15:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Hamburger SV
#11 · 9 pts
1 – 0
Final score
VfB Stuttgart
#15 · 6 pts
Miro Muheim (ast. Zakaria El Ouahdi) 88'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Hamburger SV 34%). The final result was Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart. In 2 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfB Stuttgart.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
24
3
Shots on target
5
1.46
Actual xG
1.71
5
Saves
2
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
9
19
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Warmed Omari
54'
↕ Yussuf Poulsen / Otto Emerson Stange
61'
67'
Chris Führich / Bilal El Khannouss ↕
67'
Grischa Prömel / Atakan Karazor ↕
77'
Leo Sauer / Jamie Leweling ↕
77'
Dženan Pejčinović / Ermedin Demirović ↕
↕ Louis Pepe Lemke / Zakaria El Ouahdi
78'
↕ Fábio Vieira / Terem Moffi
78'
↕ Martin Adeline / Albert Grönbaek
78'
Nicolás Capaldo
82'
↕ Bilal Nadir / Kofi Jeremy Amoako
84'
Otto Emerson Stange
85'
⚽Miro Muheim · ast. Zakaria El Ouahdi
88'
89'
Lorenz Assignon / Ramon Hendriks ↕
Pre-match prediction
34.2%
Hamburger ←
28.51%
X
37.29%
VfB
we assigned to the actual result (Hamburger SV) 34.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.95
1.46
-0.49
VfB
1.80
1.71
-0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-5-2
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 7.39
17 W. Omari W. Omari D 7.51
33 S. Bornauw S. Bornauw D 7.70
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo D 6.41
37 L. Lemke L. Lemke 78' M 6.59
28 M. Muheim M. Muheim 1 ⚽ M 8.20
4 B. Nadir B. Nadir 84' M 7.20
5 M. Adeline M. Adeline 78' M 6.95
3 D. Møller Wolfe D. Møller Wolfe M 6.65
15 Y. Poulsen Y. Poulsen 61' F 6.34
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira 78' F 6.39
Bench
11 A. Grønbæk A. Grønbæk 12' M 6.82
38 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit F 0.00
23 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 0.00
22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako Kofi Jeremy Amoako 6' M 6.83
19 Otto Emerson Stange Otto Emerson Stange 29' F 6.23
43 S. Nandja S. Nandja D 0.00
12 S. Tangvik S. Tangvik G 0.00
9 T. Moffi T. Moffi 12' F 6.48
7 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi 1 👟 12' D 7.03
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
41 D. Seimen D. Seimen G 6.66
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks 89' D 7.47
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 7.42
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D 7.61
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman D 7.19
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller M 7.20
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor 67' M 6.77
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 77' M 6.62
26 D. Undav D. Undav M 6.11
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 67' M 7.10
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 77' F 5.46
Bench
10 C. Führich C. Führich 23' M 7.05
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović 13' F 6.34
1 F. Bredlow F. Bredlow G 0.00
21 G. Prömel G. Prömel 23' M 6.73
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 1' D 6.37
14 L. Jaquez L. Jaquez D 0.00
44 L. Sauer L. Sauer 13' F 6.59
20 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou D 0.00
47 Y. Spalt Y. Spalt D 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Muheim
M. Muheim
M · Hamburger
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
S. Bornauw
S. Bornauw
D · Hamburger
7.70
2 shots · 22 pass
Finn Jeltsch
Finn Jeltsch
D · VfB
7.61
3 shots · 74 pass
W. Omari
W. Omari
D · Hamburger
7.51
· 51 pass
R. Hendriks
R. Hendriks
D · VfB
7.47
· 71 pass
J. Chabot
J. Chabot
D · VfB
7.42
· 82 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 90 7.39 — — 0 40 22% 0 — —
W. Omari D 90 7.51 — — 0 51 48% 2 1 —
S. Bornauw D 90 7.70 — — 2 22 17% 0 — —
N. Capaldo D 90 6.41 — — 2 29 17% 1 1 —
L. Lemke M 78 6.59 — — 1 17 9% 2 — —
M. Muheim M 90 8.20 1 — 1 28 22% 1 — —
B. Nadir M 84 7.20 — — 2 32 31% 3 — —
M. Adeline M 78 6.95 — — 0 33 28% 5 — —
D. Møller Wolfe M 90 6.65 — — 0 24 16% 1 — —
Y. Poulsen F 61 6.34 — — 3 9 6% 2 — —
Fábio Vieira F 78 6.39 — — 3 13 10% 0 — —
A. Grønbæk M 12 6.82 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Kofi Jeremy Amoako M 6 6.83 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Otto Emerson Stange F 29 6.23 — — 0 4 2% 0 1 —
T. Moffi F 12 6.48 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Z. El Ouahdi D 12 7.03 — 1 0 7 6% 0 — —
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Seimen G 90 6.66 — — 0 22 21% 0 — —
R. Hendriks D 89 7.47 — — 0 71 66% 1 — —
J. Chabot D 90 7.42 — — 0 82 77% 3 — —
Finn Jeltsch D 90 7.61 — — 3 74 69% 0 — —
J. Vagnoman D 90 7.19 — — 3 60 57% 1 — —
A. Stiller M 90 7.20 — — 2 94 87% 0 — —
A. Karazor M 67 6.77 — — 0 52 47% 2 — —
J. Leweling M 77 6.62 — — 0 36 31% 0 — —
D. Undav M 90 6.11 — — 7 20 16% 0 — —
B. El Khannouss M 67 7.10 — — 1 46 41% 2 — —
E. Demirović F 77 5.46 — — 4 12 9% 0 — —
C. Führich M 23 7.05 — — 1 19 16% 0 — —
D. Pejčinović F 13 6.34 — — 3 7 7% 0 — —
G. Prömel M 23 6.73 — — 0 19 18% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 1 6.37 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
L. Sauer F 13 6.59 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
The final score was Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart.
What did the model predict before Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Hamburger SV win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an VfB Stuttgart win.