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Hammarby FF - Sirius

Allsvenskan October 29, 2026 18:30 3Arena, Stockholm
#2 · 49 pts
vs
#1 · 55 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 9.4°C 💨 13 km/h · Stockholm
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.51%
Win
Hammarby FF
29.13%
Draw
17.36%
Win
Sirius
1.21
Expected xG
0.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (21.92%)
1X2 Result
1 54%
X 29%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 47%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hammarby FF a 53% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Sirius. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hammarby FF and 0.5 for Sirius (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.92% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Hammarby FF have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sirius.

Season Stats

Hammarby FF
10W 2D 3L
Sirius
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.9
0.7
Conceded
1.5
8.0
Shots OT
5.4
7.7
Corners
6.6
63%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
60%
53%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Allsvenskan. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Hammarby FF
7W 1D 2L · at home
Sirius
8W 1D 1L · away
2.3
gls/g
2.2
0.6
Conceded
1.1
70%
Win %
80%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hammarby FF Sirius →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.7% 9.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 21.4% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 12.9% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 5.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% — —
4 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% — — —
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Mjallby AIF 0–2
W Halmstad 0–1
L Djurgardens IF 0–1
W Degerfors IF 0–1
W IF Brommapojkarna 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
L AIK Stockholm 1–2
D IF Elfsborg 2–2
W Gais 0–1
W Orgryte IS 1–2
W Degerfors IF 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
Attack
54
Defence
81
Form
63
Sirius Sirius
Attack
37
Defence
65
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Sirius Sirius 25 55
2 Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 25 49
3 Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF 25 48
4 BK Hacken BK Hacken 25 45
5 IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 26 43
6 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 25 38
7 AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm 26 38
8 Malmo FF Malmo FF 25 37
9 IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg 25 37
10 IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna 25 33
11 Gais Gais 25 31
12 Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF 25 23
13 Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 25 22
14 Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 25 20
15 Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 25 19
16 Halmstad Halmstad 25 17
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
The model gives Hammarby FF a 53% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 17% for an Sirius win.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Expected goals: Hammarby FF 1.2, Sirius 0.5 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.92%.