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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 October 17, 2026 20:30 Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena , Hannover
Hannover 96
#16 · 8 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC St. Pauli
#7 · 12 pts
Husseyn Chakroun 48'
45'+1 (ast. Louis Oppie) Abdoulie Ceesay
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC St. Pauli a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Hannover 96 33%). The final result was Hannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
6
1.35
Actual xG
1.00
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
3
25
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Husseyn Chakroun
8'
9'
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
17'
45'+1
ast. Louis Oppie · Abdoulie Ceesay⚽
⚽Husseyn Chakroun
48'
62'
Martijn Kaars / Youssoupha Niang ↕
62'
Samuel Klein / Mathias Rasmussen ↕
↕ Kolja Oudenne / Benedikt Pichler
68'
↕ Husseyn Chakroun / Hayate Matsuda
75'
↕ Marcel Hartel / Bastian Allgeier
78'
85'
Ricky-Jade Jones / Abdoulie Ceesay ↕
86'
Branimir Hrgota / Connor Metcalfe ↕
90'+2
Joel Chima Fujita
90'+4
Taichi Hara / Ricky-Jade Jones ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.41%
Hannover
32.13%
X ←
34.46%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hannover
0.79
1.35
+0.56
FC
0.96
1.00
+0.05
Hannover 96 dominated by xG (1.35 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
Hannover 96 Hannover 96 4-4-2
30 L. Weinkauf L. Weinkauf G 7.42
33 M. Neubauer M. Neubauer D 6.10
4 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet D 7.27
3 B. Tomiak B. Tomiak D 7.23
5 V. Ghiță V. Ghiță D 6.53
29 K. Oudenne K. Oudenne 68' M 6.67
23 S. Þórðarson S. Þórðarson M 6.25
8 W. Taïbi W. Taïbi M 6.25
14 H. Chakroun H. Chakroun 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.18
10 M. Hartel M. Hartel 78' F 6.42
9 B. Källman B. Källman F 6.46
Bench
17 B. Allgeier B. Allgeier 12' D 6.37
11 B. Pichler B. Pichler 22' F 6.63
44 E. Sahiti E. Sahiti F 0.00
13 F. Roggow F. Roggow M 0.00
27 H. Matsuda H. Matsuda 15' D 6.27
20 I. Okon I. Okon D 0.00
1 P. Loretz P. Loretz G 0.00
28 Taycan Macid Etcibasi Taycan Macid Etcibasi F 0.00
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
1 B. Voll B. Voll G 6.95
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka D 6.93
8 E. Smith E. Smith D 7.06
4 D. Nemeth D. Nemeth D 7.28
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie 1 👟 M 7.31
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita M 6.74
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 62' M 6.40
11 A. Pyrka A. Pyrka M 6.67
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 86' M 6.25
7 Y. Niang Y. Niang 62' M 6.21
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.80
Bench
25 A. Dźwigała A. Dźwigała D 0.00
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota 4' F 6.47
33 D. Mitov D. Mitov G 0.00
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand M 0.00
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 28' F 6.59
26 R. Jones R. Jones 4' F 6.49
22 Samuel Klein Samuel Klein 28' M 7.20
15 T. Ando T. Ando D 0.00
18 T. Hara T. Hara 1' F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Abdoulie Ceesay
Abdoulie Ceesay
F · FC
7.80
1 ⚽
5 shots · 10 pass
L. Weinkauf
L. Weinkauf
G · Hannover
7.42
· 45 pass
L. Oppie
L. Oppie
M · FC
7.31
1 👟
· 44 pass
D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth
D · FC
7.28
· 81 pass
J. Hugonet
J. Hugonet
D · Hannover
7.27
· 56 pass
B. Tomiak
B. Tomiak
D · Hannover
7.23
1 shots · 40 pass
Hannover 96 Hannover 96 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Weinkauf G 90 7.42 — — 0 45 29% 0 — —
M. Neubauer D 90 6.10 — — 0 43 28% 1 — —
J. Hugonet D 90 7.27 — — 0 56 49% 3 — —
B. Tomiak D 90 7.23 — — 1 40 37% 6 — —
V. Ghiță D 90 6.53 — — 2 43 34% 2 — —
K. Oudenne M 68 6.67 — — 0 19 17% 3 — —
S. Þórðarson M 90 6.25 — — 2 44 34% 3 1 —
W. Taïbi M 90 6.25 — — 0 44 37% 5 — —
H. Chakroun M 75 7.18 1 — 2 25 18% 0 1 —
M. Hartel F 78 6.42 — — 1 30 21% 0 — —
B. Källman F 90 6.46 — — 4 21 15% 1 — —
B. Allgeier D 12 6.37 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
B. Pichler F 22 6.63 — — 1 4 1% 0 — —
H. Matsuda D 15 6.27 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Voll G 90 6.95 — — 0 29 20% 0 — —
L. Ritzka D 90 6.93 — — 1 79 67% 3 — —
E. Smith D 90 7.06 — — 1 106 101% 3 — —
D. Nemeth D 90 7.28 — — 0 81 74% 4 — —
L. Oppie M 90 7.31 — 1 0 44 32% 0 — —
J. Fujita M 90 6.74 — — 1 45 35% 1 1 —
M. Rasmussen M 62 6.40 — — 0 45 39% 0 — —
A. Pyrka M 90 6.67 — — 2 47 41% 3 — —
C. Metcalfe M 86 6.25 — — 3 21 18% 0 — —
Y. Niang M 62 6.21 — — 0 9 4% 0 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 85 7.80 1 — 5 10 5% 1 — —
B. Hrgota F 4 6.47 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
M. Kaars F 28 6.59 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
R. Jones F 4 6.49 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
Samuel Klein M 28 7.20 — — 1 26 23% 0 — —
T. Hara F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was Hannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hannover 96 win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an FC St. Pauli win.