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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2 August 16, 2026 13:30 Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Hannover 96
#14 · 4 pts
0 – 1
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#5 · 8 pts
(pen.) 87' F. Reese
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Wolfsburg a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Hannover 96 32%). The final result was Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
1.25
Actual xG
1.71
6
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
6
18
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
R. Glatzel / F. Hornby ↕
↕ L. Gindorf / B. Kallman
62'
↕ M. Bundu / B. Pichler
62'
↕ B. Tomiak / I. Okon
62'
66'
J. Adjetey / M. Svanberg ↕
69'
J. Adjetey
74'
K. Shiogai / M. Damar ↕
74'
M. Arnold / Y. Gerhardt ↕
81'
Vini Souza
J. Hugonet
86'
87'
(pen.) F. Reese⚽
↕ K. Oudenne / H. Matsuda
89'
89'
K. Fischer / J. Maehle ↕
↕ B. Allgeier / T. Etcibasi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
32.65%
Hannover
31.67%
X
35.68%
VfL ←
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Wolfsburg) 35.68% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hannover
0.81
1.25
+0.44
VfL
2.55
1.71
-0.84
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-3-1-3
30 L. Weinkauf L. Weinkauf G 7.60
4 J. Hugonet J. Hugonet D 6.70
3 B. Tomiak B. Tomiak 62' D 6.90
17 B. Allgeier B. Allgeier 89' D 6.90
10 M. Hartel M. Hartel M 6.50
23 S. Þórðarson S. Þórðarson M 7.00
33 M. Neubauer M. Neubauer M 7.20
8 W. Taïbi W. Taïbi M 6.70
29 K. Oudenne K. Oudenne 89' F 7.00
25 L. Gindorf L. Gindorf 62' F 6.70
7 M. Bundu M. Bundu 62' F 7.30
Bench
9 B. Källman B. Källman 28' F 6.60
11 B. Pichler B. Pichler 28' F 6.50
13 F. Roggow F. Roggow M
14 H. Chakroun H. Chakroun F
27 H. Matsuda H. Matsuda 1' D
20 I. Okon I. Okon 28' D 6.30
1 P. Loretz P. Loretz G
28 Taycan Macid Etcibasi Taycan Macid Etcibasi 1' F
19 W. Kokolo W. Kokolo D
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 5-4-1
30 J. Zieliński J. Zieliński G 7.50
26 Saël Kumbedi Saël Kumbedi D 6.20
37 E. Rexhbeçaj E. Rexhbeçaj D 7.00
6 H. Wahl H. Wahl D 7.70
32 M. Svanberg M. Svanberg 66' D 7.00
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle 89' D 7.30
11 F. Reese F. Reese 1 ⚽ M 6.60
20 M. Damar M. Damar 74' M 6.70
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza M 7.20
31 Y. Gerhardt Y. Gerhardt 74' M 6.90
10 Fraser Hornby Fraser Hornby 45' F 6.30
Bench
23 A. Besio A. Besio F
8 Bence Dárdai Bence Dárdai M
18 J. Adjetey J. Adjetey 24' D 6.60
2 K. Fischer K. Fischer 1' D
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai 16' F 6.60
22 M. Angely M. Angely D
27 M. Arnold M. Arnold 16' M 6.60
12 P. Pervan P. Pervan G
19 R. Glatzel R. Glatzel 45' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
H. Wahl
H. Wahl
D · VfL
7.70
· 72 pass
L. Weinkauf
L. Weinkauf
G · Hannover
7.60
· 60 pass
J. Zieliński
J. Zieliński
G · VfL
7.50
· 54 pass
J. Mæhle
J. Mæhle
D · VfL
7.30
2 shots · 27 pass
M. Bundu
M. Bundu
F · Hannover
7.30
3 shots · 23 pass
Vinicius Souza
Vinicius Souza
M · VfL
7.20
· 40 pass
Hannover 96 Hannover 96 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Weinkauf G 90 7.60 — — — 60 41% — — —
J. Hugonet D 90 6.70 — — 1 58 55% 3 1 —
B. Tomiak D 62 6.90 — — — 44 39% 1 — —
B. Allgeier D 89 6.90 — — — 45 38% 3 — —
M. Hartel M 90 6.50 — — — 38 25% 2 — —
S. Þórðarson M 90 7.00 — — 2 39 35% 2 — —
M. Neubauer M 90 7.20 — — 1 41 32% 1 — —
W. Taïbi M 90 6.70 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
K. Oudenne F 89 7.00 — — 2 35 27% 1 — —
L. Gindorf F 62 6.70 — — — 17 10% 1 — —
M. Bundu F 62 7.30 — — 3 23 17% — — —
B. Källman F 28 6.60 — — — 8 4% 1 — —
B. Pichler F 28 6.50 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
H. Matsuda D 1 — — — — — — — — —
I. Okon D 28 6.30 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
Taycan Macid Etcibasi F 1 — — — — — — — — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Zieliński G 90 7.50 — — — 54 37% — — —
Saël Kumbedi D 90 6.20 — — — 34 26% — — —
E. Rexhbeçaj D 90 7.00 — — — 56 43% 2 — —
H. Wahl D 90 7.70 — — — 72 65% 2 — —
M. Svanberg D 66 7.00 — — — 26 19% 2 — —
J. Mæhle D 89 7.30 — — 2 27 22% 2 — —
F. Reese M 90 6.60 1 — 3 33 22% 3 — —
M. Damar M 74 6.70 — — 1 39 28% — — —
Vinicius Souza M 90 7.20 — — — 40 36% 5 1 —
Y. Gerhardt M 74 6.90 — — 2 16 14% 1 — —
Fraser Hornby F 45 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
J. Adjetey D 24 6.60 — — 1 10 8% — 1 —
K. Fischer D 1 — — — — — — 1 — —
K. Shiogai F 16 6.60 — — 1 5 2% — — —
M. Arnold M 16 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
R. Glatzel F 45 6.90 — — 2 12 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Hannover 96 win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.