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Hapoel Beer Sheva - Celta Vigo

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
#30 · 1 pts
vs
#25 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.19%
Win
Hapoel Beer Sheva
26.5%
Draw
24.31%
Win
Celta Vigo
1.78
Expected xG
0.87

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.75%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 49%
X 27%
2 24%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 76%
X2 51%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 60%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hapoel Beer Sheva a 49% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 0.9 for Celta Vigo (total 2.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.75% probability.

Season Stats

Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W 3D 2L
Celta Vigo
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
0.2
Goals
1.4
1.2
Conceded
1.3
3.3
Shots OT
4.0
2.3
Corners
3.9
46%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
40%
O 1.5
87%
40%
O 2.5
67%
20%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
6%
O 3.5
28%
BTTS
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W 2D 0L · at home
Celta Vigo
4W 1D 4L · away
0.0
gls/g
1.4
0.0
Conceded
1.3
0%
Win %
44%
100%
Win or Draw
56%
0%
O 1.5
89%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
11%
0%
BTTS
56%
100%
Clean Sht
22%
100%
Failed to Score
22%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hapoel Beer Sheva Celta Vigo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 12.6% 10.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 6.7% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Union St. Gilloise 4–0
L AZ Alkmaar 2–1
D Dinamo Zagreb 0–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Celtic 1–2
L Juventus 1–2
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack
41
Defence
61
Form
40
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
The model gives Hapoel Beer Sheva a 49% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 24% for an Celta Vigo win.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
Expected goals: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.8, Celta Vigo 0.9 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celta Vigo?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.75%.