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Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva

Ligat Ha'al May 15, 2026 15:00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
#4 · 49 pts
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#1 · 73 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 22.6°C 💨 13 km/h · Tel-Aviv
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.4%
Win
Hapoel Tel Aviv
30.52%
Draw
47.09%
Win
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.58
Expected xG
1.13

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hapoel Beer Sheva a 47% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Expected goals are 0.6 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (total 1.7), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 20.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Score Matrix
↕ Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Beer Sheva →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.1% 20.4% 11.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
W Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–0
D Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1
L Beitar Jerusalem 0–1
L Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–0
W Maccabi Haifa 4–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
D Beitar Jerusalem 1–1
W Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–4
W Maccabi Haifa 0–1
W Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0
L Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack
25
Defence
80
Form
55
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack
55
Defence
77
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
Draw
2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
L 2 May 2026 Ligat Ha'al 0–2
W 19 Jan 2026 Ligat Ha'al 2–1
L 4 Oct 2025 Ligat Ha'al 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 32 45
1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 33 73
1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 26 59
2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ironi Kiryat Shmona 32 40
2 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 33 71
2 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 26 57
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 26 49
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 33 65
3 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 32 34
4 Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias 32 33
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 26 49
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 33 59
5 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 33 48
5 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 26 42
5 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 32 31
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 33 37
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 26 37
6 Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 32 31
7 Ashdod Ashdod 32 25
7 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 26 35
8 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 26 32
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 32 22
9 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ironi Kiryat Shmona 26 27
10 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 26 25
11 Ashdod Ashdod 25 23
12 Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 26 21
13 Ironi Tiberias Ironi Tiberias 25 18
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 26 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 22% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 47% for an Hapoel Beer Sheva win.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Expected goals: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.6, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.4%.