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Harborough Town - St Albans City

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.07%
Win
Harborough Town
27.21%
Draw
43.72%
Win
St Albans City
1.23
Expected xG
2.06

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.1%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 27%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 71%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives St Albans City a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Harborough Town. Expected goals are 1.2 for Harborough Town and 2.1 for St Albans City (total 3.3), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.1% probability.

Season Stats

Harborough Town
4W 2D 1L
St Albans City
6W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.4
1.1
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
67%
71%
O 2.5
44%
43%
BTTS
33%
43%
Clean Sht
56%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Harborough Town
3W 1D 1L · at home
St Albans City
5W 1D 1L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.7
1.2
Conceded
1.3
60%
Win %
71%
80%
Win or Draw
86%
60%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
57%
40%
O 3.5
29%
40%
BTTS
43%
40%
Clean Sht
43%
40%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Harborough Town St Albans City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 7.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.6% 9.4% 9.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.8% 5.8% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Rushall Olympic 1–0
L Altrincham 0–3
D Altrincham 2–2
W Peterborough Sports 4–1
W Worksop Town 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
W Witham Town 0–3
W Hashtag United 0–2
D Hashtag United 0–0
L Burton Albion 6–0
W Banbury United 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Harborough Town Harborough Town
Attack
27
Defence
69
Form
54
St Albans City St Albans City
Attack
51
Defence
74
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
The model gives Harborough Town a 29% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 43% for an St Albans City win.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
Expected goals: Harborough Town 1.2, St Albans City 2.1 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.