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Harrogate Town - AFC Fylde

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.93%
Win
Harrogate Town
22.26%
Draw
18.82%
Win
AFC Fylde
1.74
Expected xG
0.81
Most likely outcome
Harrogate Town
58.93%
Probability
87.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.16%)
1X2 Result
1 59%
X 22%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 41%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Harrogate Town a 58% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 18% for AFC Fylde. Expected goals are 1.7 for Harrogate Town and 0.8 for AFC Fylde (total 2.5), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.16% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Harrogate Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AFC Fylde.

Season Stats

Harrogate Town
1W 1D 1L
AFC Fylde
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
1.7
Conceded
1.5
5.0
Shots OT
—
6.5
Corners
—
56%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Harrogate Town AFC Fylde →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 13.6% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 11.8% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 6.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Bury 3–1
D Bury 1–1
L Mansfield Town 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
W Atherton Collieries 5–0
L Darlington 1883 3–1
D Darlington 1883 2–2
W Bamber Bridge 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
Attack
53
Defence
72
Form
75
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
Attack
39
Defence
62
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Harrogate Town
0
Draw
1
AFC Fylde
15 Sep 2026 National League 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
The model gives Harrogate Town a 58% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 18% for an AFC Fylde win.
How many goals are expected in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
Expected goals: Harrogate Town 1.7, AFC Fylde 0.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.16%.