USL Championship · Group Stage September 26, 2026 01:00

Hartford Athletic

#6 · 43 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Hartford Athletic, result Draw

A. Williams 11' (pen.)

M. Ngalina 73' (pen.)

48' (ast. T. Davila) J. Morris

(pen.) 53' Q. Huerman

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hartford Athletic a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Louisville City 18%). The final result was Hartford Athletic 2–2 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Hartford Athletic have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Williams (pen.)

11'

37'

A. Dia

42'

B. Niang

45'+3

S. Bird

46'

J. Morris / A. Dia ↕

46'

Z. Duncan / B. Niang ↕

48'

ast. T. Davila · J. Morris⚽

B. Fischer

50'

B. Fischer

51'

B. Fischer

51'

53'

(pen.) Q. Huerman⚽

↕ B. Coffey / B. Njie

56'

B. Njie

59'

↕ B. Makangila / M. Adedokun

70'

↕ A. Williams / M. Ngalina

70'

↕ S. Anaku / A. Obalola

70'

⚽M. Ngalina (pen.)

73'

74'

J. Wilson / Q. Huerman ↕

79'

K. Adams

J. Moreira

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

65.96%

Hartford

15.87%

X ←

18.18%

Louisville

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.87% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Hartford

2.86

—

—

Louisville

1.26

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14