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USL Championship · Group Stage October 25, 2026 01:00
#6 · 43 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#7 · 42 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Hartford Athletic
S. Anaku (ast. E. Samadia) 68'
E. Samadia (ast. S. Careaga) 78'
25' (ast. J. Kwizera) K. Yao
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hartford Athletic a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Rhode Island 19%). The final result was Hartford Athletic 2–1 Rhode Island. In 2 previous meetings, Hartford Athletic have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Rhode Island.

Match statistics
Match Events
20'
K. Yao
25'
ast. J. Kwizera · K. Yao⚽
S. Anaku
45'+1
B. Burke
45'
B. Coffey
45'
46'
A. Sanchez
53'
F. Nodarse
↕ A. Diz / T. Presthus
58'
↕ B. Coffey / M. Adedokun
58'
↕ J. Moreira / S. Careaga
66'
⚽S. Anaku · ast. E. Samadia
68'
B. Makangila
72'
75'
Leo Afonso / Z. Herivaux ↕
⚽E. Samadia · ast. S. Careaga
78'
↕ S. Anaku / A. Obalola
80'
81'
J. Kwizera
82'
D. Atkinson / A. Shapiro-Thompson ↕
82'
Y. Tsukada / S. Korzeniowski ↕
82'
N. Fuson / A. Sanchez ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.44%
Hartford ←
19.62%
X
19.94%
Rhode
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hartford Athletic) 60.44% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hartford
2.22
—
—
Rhode
1.07
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 30 61
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 30 53
3 Detroit City Detroit City 30 51
4 Louisville City Louisville City 30 47
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 45
6 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 30 43
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 30 42
8 Miami FC Miami FC 30 36
9 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 30 34
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 30 31
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 30 30
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 30 21
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 30 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?
The final score was Hartford Athletic 2–1 Rhode Island.
What did the model predict before Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Hartford Athletic win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an Rhode Island win.