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Hartlepool - Fleetwood Town

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.59%
Win
Hartlepool
29.9%
Draw
36.51%
Win
Fleetwood Town
1.53
Expected xG
2.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.7%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fleetwood Town a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Hartlepool. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hartlepool and 2.1 for Fleetwood Town (total 3.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.7% probability.

Season Stats

Hartlepool
3W 0D 1L
Fleetwood Town
4W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.2
2.0
Conceded
0.4
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
75%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Hartlepool
0W 0D 1L · at home
Fleetwood Town
2W 0D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
3.0
3.0
Conceded
0.0
0%
Win %
100%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hartlepool Fleetwood Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 5.7% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.2% 8.7% 9.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.3% 6.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Grimsby 0–3
W Hebburn Town 2–3
W Spennymoor Town 1–2
W Redcar Athletic 2–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
D Bolton 1–1
W Huddersfield 2–1
W Southport 0–1
W Chester 2–0
W Bamber Bridge 0–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Hartlepool Hartlepool
Attack
55
Defence
50
Form
53
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
Attack
49
Defence
90
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town?
The model gives Hartlepool a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Fleetwood Town win.
How many goals are expected in Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town?
Expected goals: Hartlepool 1.5, Fleetwood Town 2.1 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.