Cymru Premier · Regular Season - 13 October 09, 2026 20:45

Haverfordwest County AFC

#11 · 13 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Caernarfon Town

#4 · 29 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Caernarfon Town

B. Ahmun 83'

(pen.) 12' Z. Clarke

85' S. Bradley

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caernarfon Town a 61% win probability (draw 17%, Haverfordwest County AFC 20%). The final result was Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town. In 2 previous meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Caernarfon Town.

Match statistics

Match Events

12'

(pen.) Z. Clarke⚽

C. Twose

35'

J. Owen

38'

52'

G. Walters

54'

↕ R. Abbruzzese / L. Rees

67'

↕ H. Thomas / B. Ahmun

67'

71'

80'

P. Mendes / J. Canavan ↕

80'

S. Bradley / Z. Clarke ↕

L. Rees

80'

⚽B. Ahmun

83'

85'

S. Bradley⚽

↕ C. Twose / O. Jones

88'

90'+1

D. Smith / A. Cieslewicz ↕

Pre-match prediction

20.34%

Haverfordwest

17.81%

X

61.85%

Caernarfon ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Caernarfon Town) 61.85% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Haverfordwest

1.09

—

—

Caernarfon

2.49

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	The New Saints	14	40
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	14	34
3	Penybont	13	30
4	Caernarfon Town	14	29
5	Colwyn Bay	14	26
6	Barry Town	14	25
7	Airbus UK	14	24
8	Cardiff MET	14	22
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	18
10	Llandudno	14	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	14	13
12	Briton Ferry	14	12
13	Flint Town United	14	11
14	Ammanford AFC	14	9
15	Trefelin	14	6
16	Holywell	13	2