✓Model correct — prediction Heart Of Midlothian
F. Kent
(ast. A. Kyziridis)
29'
C. Devlin
34'
B. Spittal
(ast. M. Steinwender)
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Falkirk 12%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk. In 4 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Spittal
16'
⚽F. Kent
· ast. A. Kyziridis
29'
⚽C. Devlin
34'
H. Milne
/ S. Kingsley
46'
46'
R. MacIver
/
D. Tait
46'
B. Parkinson
/
K. Wilson
52'
C. Miller
56'
E. Ross
/
C. Miller
C. Devlin
/ J. Altena
67'
75'
H. Cartwright
/
F. Yeats
76'
B. Spencer
82'
L. Henderson
A. Kyziridis
/ S. Kerjota
83'
C. Braga
/ P. Kabore
83'
⚽B. Spittal
· ast. M. Steinwender
86'
B. Spittal
/ A. Forrest
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
73.36%
Heart ←
14.06%
X
12.57%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
73.36%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.15
0.59
-2.56
1.13
0.30
-0.83
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Alexander Schwolow
G
Alexander Schwolow
G
18
Harry Milne
45'
D
19
S. Findlay
D
S. Findlay
D
2
Frankie Kent
1 ⚽
D
Frankie Kent
1 ⚽
D
15
Michael Steinwender
1 👟
D
Michael Steinwender
1 👟
D
16
Blair Spittal
1 ⚽
M
Blair Spittal
1 ⚽
M
14
Cameron Devlin
1 ⚽
67'
M
Cameron Devlin
1 ⚽
67'
M
6
Beni Baningime
M
Beni Baningime
M
89
Alexandros Kyziridis
1 👟
83'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
83'
F
Cláudio Braga
83'
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
F
Lawrence Shankland
F
Bench
17
Alan Forrest
F
Alan Forrest
F
12
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
99
I. Chesnokov
M
I. Chesnokov
M
23
J. Altena
25'
D
J. Altena
25'
D
5
Jamie McCart
D
Jamie McCart
D
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
9'
F
Pierre Landry Kaboré
9'
F
30
Ryan Fulton
G
Ryan Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
9'
F
S. Kerjota
9'
F
3
Stephen Kingsley
47'
D
Stephen Kingsley
47'
D
1
Nicky Hogarth
G
Nicky Hogarth
G
42
Sam Hart
D
Sam Hart
D
5
Liam Henderson
D
Liam Henderson
D
6
Coll Donaldson
D
Coll Donaldson
D
20
Connor Allan
D
Connor Allan
D
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
29
Calvin Miller
56'
M
Calvin Miller
56'
M
21
Dylan Tait
45'
M
Dylan Tait
45'
M
14
F. Yeats
75'
M
F. Yeats
75'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
45'
M
Kyrell Wilson
45'
M
11
Ben Broggio
F
Ben Broggio
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
47'
F
Ben Parkinson
47'
F
7
Brian Graham
F
Brian Graham
F
23
Ethan Ross
36'
F
Ethan Ross
36'
F
18
Gary Oliver
F
Gary Oliver
F
17
Henry Cartwright
17'
M
Henry Cartwright
17'
M
12
Jamie Sneddon
G
Jamie Sneddon
G
36
Kai Brown
F
Kai Brown
F
9
Ross Maclver
47'
F
Ross Maclver
47'
F
Best on the pitch
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 60 pass
Blair Spittal
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Cameron Devlin
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Alexandros Kyziridis
M · Heart
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Michael Steinwender
D · Heart
7.50
1 👟
· 32 pass
Beni Baningime
M · Heart
7.20
· 33 pass
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Harry Milne | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 92 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Michael Steinwender | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Devlin | M | 67 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | M | 83 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Altena | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Kerjota | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | 47 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Hogarth | G | 92 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hart | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Henderson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Coll Donaldson | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Connor Allan | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Calvin Miller | M | 56 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dylan Tait | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben Broggio | F | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Ross | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Maclver | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Falkirk win.