✓Model correct — prediction Heart Of Midlothian
F. Kent
(ast. A. Kyziridis)
29'
C. Devlin
34'
B. Spittal
(ast. M. Steinwender)
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Falkirk 12%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk. In 5 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Falkirk.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Spittal
16'
⚽F. Kent
· ast. A. Kyziridis
29'
⚽C. Devlin
34'
H. Milne
/ S. Kingsley
46'
46'
R. MacIver
/
D. Tait
46'
B. Parkinson
/
K. Wilson
52'
C. Miller
56'
E. Ross
/
C. Miller
C. Devlin
/ J. Altena
67'
75'
H. Cartwright
/
F. Yeats
76'
B. Spencer
82'
L. Henderson
A. Kyziridis
/ S. Kerjota
83'
C. Braga
/ P. Kabore
83'
⚽B. Spittal
· ast. M. Steinwender
86'
B. Spittal
/ A. Forrest
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
73.36%
Heart ←
14.06%
X
12.57%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
73.36%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.15
0.59
-2.56
1.13
0.30
-0.83
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
A. Schwolow
G
A. Schwolow
G
18
H. Milne
45'
D
H. Milne
45'
D
19
S. Findlay
D
S. Findlay
D
2
Frankie Kent
1 ⚽
D
Frankie Kent
1 ⚽
D
15
M. Steinwender
1 👟
D
M. Steinwender
1 👟
D
16
B. Spittal
1 ⚽
M
B. Spittal
1 ⚽
M
14
C. Devlin
1 ⚽
67'
M
C. Devlin
1 ⚽
67'
M
6
Beni Baningime
M
Beni Baningime
M
89
Alexandros Kyziridis
1 👟
83'
M
Alexandros Kyziridis
1 👟
83'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
83'
F
Cláudio Braga
83'
F
9
L. Shankland
F
L. Shankland
F
Bench
17
A. Forrest
F
A. Forrest
F
12
C. Borchgrevink
D
C. Borchgrevink
D
99
I. Chesnokov
M
I. Chesnokov
M
23
J. Altena
25'
D
J. Altena
25'
D
5
J. McCart
D
J. McCart
D
11
P. Kabore
9'
F
P. Kabore
9'
F
30
R. Fulton
G
R. Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
9'
F
S. Kerjota
9'
F
3
S. Kingsley
47'
D
S. Kingsley
47'
D
1
N. Hogarth
G
N. Hogarth
G
42
Sam Hart
D
Sam Hart
D
5
L. Henderson
D
L. Henderson
D
6
C. Donaldson
D
C. Donaldson
D
20
C. Allan
D
C. Allan
D
8
B. Spencer
M
B. Spencer
M
29
C. Miller
56'
M
C. Miller
56'
M
21
D. Tait
45'
M
D. Tait
45'
M
14
F. Yeats
75'
M
F. Yeats
75'
M
22
Kyrell Wilson
45'
M
Kyrell Wilson
45'
M
11
B. Broggio
F
B. Broggio
F
Bench
27
Ben Parkinson
47'
F
Ben Parkinson
47'
F
7
Brian Graham
F
Brian Graham
F
23
E. Ross
36'
F
E. Ross
36'
F
18
Gary Oliver
F
Gary Oliver
F
17
Henry Cartwright
17'
M
Henry Cartwright
17'
M
12
Jamie Sneddon
G
Jamie Sneddon
G
36
Kai Brown
F
Kai Brown
F
9
R. MacIver
47'
F
R. MacIver
47'
F
Best on the pitch
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 60 pass
B. Spittal
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
C. Devlin
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Alexandros Kyziridis
M · Heart
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
M. Steinwender
D · Heart
7.50
1 👟
· 32 pass
Beni Baningime
M · Heart
7.20
· 33 pass
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schwolow | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Milne | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 92 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M. Steinwender | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Spittal | M | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Devlin | M | 67 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | M | 83 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Altena | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Kerjota | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Kingsley | D | 47 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Falkirk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hogarth | G | 92 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hart | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Donaldson | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Allan | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | 5 | 1 | — |
| C. Miller | M | 56 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Tait | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyrell Wilson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Broggio | F | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Ross | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Henry Cartwright | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. MacIver | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Falkirk win.