← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 37 May 13, 2026 21:00
Heart Of Midlothian
#1 · 70 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Falkirk
#6 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Heart Of Midlothian
F. Kent (ast. A. Kyziridis) 29'
C. Devlin 34'
B. Spittal (ast. M. Steinwender) 86'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Falkirk 12%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk. In 4 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Falkirk.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Spittal
16'
⚽F. Kent · ast. A. Kyziridis
29'
⚽C. Devlin
34'
↕ H. Milne / S. Kingsley
46'
46'
R. MacIver / D. Tait ↕
46'
B. Parkinson / K. Wilson ↕
52'
C. Miller
56'
E. Ross / C. Miller ↕
↕ C. Devlin / J. Altena
67'
75'
H. Cartwright / F. Yeats ↕
76'
B. Spencer
82'
L. Henderson
↕ A. Kyziridis / S. Kerjota
83'
↕ C. Braga / P. Kabore
83'
⚽B. Spittal · ast. M. Steinwender
86'
↕ B. Spittal / A. Forrest
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
73.36%
Heart ←
14.06%
X
12.57%
Falkirk
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 73.36% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heart
3.15
0.59
-2.56
Falkirk
1.13
0.30
-0.83
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2
25 Alexander Schwolow Alexander Schwolow G 6.90
18 Harry Milne Harry Milne 45' D 6.70
19 Stuart Findlay Stuart Findlay D 6.30
2 Frankie Kent Frankie Kent 1 ⚽ D 8.90
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender 1 👟 D 7.50
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 1 ⚽ M 8.20
14 Cameron Devlin Cameron Devlin 1 ⚽ 67' M 8.20
6 Beni Baningime Beni Baningime M 7.20
89 Alexandros Kyziridis Alexandros Kyziridis 1 👟 83' M 7.90
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 83' F 6.60
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland F 6.30
Bench
17 Alan Forrest Alan Forrest F
12 Christian Borchgrevink Christian Borchgrevink D
99 Islam Chesnokov Islam Chesnokov M
5 Jamie McCart Jamie McCart D
23 Jordi Altena Jordi Altena 25' D 6.30
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 9' F 6.50
30 Ryan Fulton Ryan Fulton G
29 Sabah Kerjota Sabah Kerjota 9' F 6.30
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 47' D 7.00
Falkirk Falkirk 4-1-4-1
1 Nicky Hogarth Nicky Hogarth G 5.30
42 Sam Hart Sam Hart D 5.90
5 Liam Henderson Liam Henderson D 6.30
6 Coll Donaldson Coll Donaldson D 7.20
20 Connor Allan Connor Allan D 6.20
8 Brad Spencer Brad Spencer M 6.60
29 Calvin Miller Calvin Miller 56' M 6.00
21 Dylan Tait Dylan Tait 45' M 6.90
14 Finn Yeats Finn Yeats 75' M 6.30
22 Kyrell Wilson Kyrell Wilson 45' M 6.30
11 Ben Broggio Ben Broggio F 6.70
Bench
27 Ben Parkinson Ben Parkinson 47' F 6.30
7 Brian Graham Brian Graham F
23 Ethan Ross Ethan Ross 36' F 6.20
18 Gary Oliver Gary Oliver F
17 Henry Cartwright Henry Cartwright 17' M 6.50
12 Jamie Sneddon Jamie Sneddon G
36 Kai Brown Kai Brown F
9 Ross Maclver Ross Maclver 47' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Frankie Kent
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
Cameron Devlin
Cameron Devlin
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
Alexandros Kyziridis
Alexandros Kyziridis
M · Heart
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Michael Steinwender
Michael Steinwender
D · Heart
7.50
1 👟
· 32 pass
Beni Baningime
Beni Baningime
M · Heart
7.20
· 33 pass
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Schwolow G 92 6.90 — — — 23 9% — — —
Harry Milne D 45 6.70 — — 1 17 13% — — —
Stuart Findlay D 92 6.30 — — 1 64 45% — — —
Frankie Kent D 92 8.90 1 — 1 60 48% — — —
Michael Steinwender D 92 7.50 — 1 — 32 20% 5 — —
Blair Spittal M 92 8.20 1 — 1 54 38% 1 1 —
Cameron Devlin M 67 8.20 1 — 1 45 38% 4 — —
Beni Baningime M 92 7.20 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
Alexandros Kyziridis M 83 7.90 — 1 1 41 33% — — —
Cláudio Braga F 83 6.60 — — — 22 20% — — —
Lawrence Shankland F 92 6.30 — — 1 33 25% 3 — —
Jordi Altena D 25 6.30 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 9 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Sabah Kerjota F 9 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Stephen Kingsley D 47 7.00 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Falkirk Falkirk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicky Hogarth G 92 5.30 — — — 33 13% — — —
Sam Hart D 92 5.90 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Liam Henderson D 92 6.30 — — — 23 18% — 1 —
Coll Donaldson D 92 7.20 — — — 29 20% 4 — —
Connor Allan D 92 6.20 — — — 17 9% 4 — —
Brad Spencer M 92 6.60 — — — 27 14% 5 1 —
Calvin Miller M 56 6.00 — — 1 7 4% 1 1 —
Dylan Tait M 45 6.90 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Finn Yeats M 75 6.30 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
Kyrell Wilson M 45 6.30 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Ben Broggio F 92 6.70 — — 1 17 12% — — —
Ben Parkinson F 47 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
Ethan Ross F 36 6.20 — — — 5 1% — — —
Henry Cartwright M 17 6.50 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Ross Maclver F 47 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Falkirk win.