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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 16:00 Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Heart Of Midlothian
#3 · 19 pts
5 – 0
Final score
ST Mirren
#6 · 13 pts
Laurent mendy 20'
Calvin Miller 32' (pen.)
Calvin Miller 50' (pen.)
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga (ast. Calvin Miller) 54'
Josh Mcpake (ast. Malachi Walcott) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 43% win probability (draw 31%, ST Mirren 24%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren. In 3 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for ST Mirren.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
1
3.51
Actual xG
0.74
1
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Laurent mendy
20'
Calvin Miller
23'
30'
Alexander Gogić
⚽Calvin Miller (pen.)
32'
45'
Chris Mochrie
45'
Jake Young / Fraser Taylor ↕
45'
Luke Thomas / Chris Mochrie ↕
45'
Liam Donnelly / Ryan Carr ↕
⚽Calvin Miller (pen.)
50'
⚽Claudio Rafael Soares Braga · ast. Calvin Miller
54'
↕ Calvin Miller / Sabah Kerjota
56'
↕ Eduardo Ageu / Oisin McEntee
56'
Severin Sabri Guendouz
65'
Wouter Vrancken
65'
67'
Eseosa Sule / Ismeal Kabia ↕
↕ James wilson / Jerome Williams
73'
↕ Claudio Rafael Soares Braga / Severin Sabri Guendouz
74'
⚽Josh Mcpake · ast. Malachi Walcott
80'
↕ Josh Mcpake / Stuart Findlay
82'
82'
Marcus Fraser / Calvin Ramsay ↕
90'+1
Killian Phillips
Pre-match prediction
43.37%
Heart ←
31.79%
X
24.84%
ST
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 43.37% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heart
0.87
3.51
+2.64
ST
0.49
0.74
+0.25
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (3.51 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 4-2-3-1
1 B. Reus B. Reus G 6.79
18 H. Milne H. Milne D 6.79
5 J. McCart J. McCart D 6.86
64 M. Fagan-Walcott M. Fagan-Walcott 1 👟 D 7.80
23 J. Altena J. Altena D 7.63
78 L. Mendy L. Mendy 1 ⚽ M 7.60
8 Ageu Ageu 56' M 7.08
15 J. McPake J. McPake 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.20
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 1 ⚽ 74' M 8.09
7 C. Miller C. Miller 2 ⚽ 1 👟 56' M 7.70
21 J. Wilson J. Wilson 73' F 6.47
Bench
2 Christian Borchgrevink Christian Borchgrevink D 0.00
9 J. Williams J. Williams 17' F 6.54
6 O. McEntee O. McEntee 34' M 6.36
30 R. Fulton R. Fulton G 0.00
74 R. Mato R. Mato F 0.00
17 S. Findlay S. Findlay 8' D 6.61
19 S. Guendouz S. Guendouz 16' F 6.32
29 S. Kerjota S. Kerjota 34' F 6.61
22 T. Magnússon T. Magnússon M 0.00
ST Mirren ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
1 J. Chapman J. Chapman G 5.62
3 D. John D. John D 5.90
53 Henry Fieldson Henry Fieldson D 5.41
13 A. Gogić A. Gogić D 5.11
47 C. Ramsay C. Ramsay 82' D 5.03
48 P. Nsio P. Nsio M 5.77
8 R. Carr R. Carr 45' M 5.81
19 Ismeal Kabia Ismeal Kabia 67' M 6.09
30 F. Taylor F. Taylor 45' M 6.03
23 C. Mochrie C. Mochrie 45' M 5.51
88 K. Phillips K. Phillips F 6.10
Bench
37 C. McEvoy C. McEvoy M 0.00
9 Eseosa Sule Eseosa Sule 23' F 6.32
20 J. Young J. Young 45' F 5.72
4 L. Donnelly L. Donnelly 45' M 5.94
6 Louis Jackson Louis Jackson D 0.00
16 L. Thomas L. Thomas 45' M 6.28
22 M. Fraser M. Fraser 8' D 5.50
10 Samu Samu M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. McPake
J. McPake
M · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots · 22 pass
Cláudio Braga
Cláudio Braga
M · Heart
8.09
1 ⚽
2 shots · 33 pass
M. Fagan-Walcott
M. Fagan-Walcott
D · Heart
7.80
1 👟
· 51 pass
C. Miller
C. Miller
M · Heart
7.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 20 pass
J. Altena
J. Altena
D · Heart
7.63
· 56 pass
L. Mendy
L. Mendy
M · Heart
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Reus G 90 6.79 — — 0 33 25% 0 — —
H. Milne D 90 6.79 — — 3 33 24% 3 — —
J. McCart D 90 6.86 — — 0 53 40% 3 — —
M. Fagan-Walcott D 90 7.80 — 1 0 51 44% 1 — —
J. Altena D 90 7.63 — — 0 56 49% 1 — —
L. Mendy M 90 7.60 1 — 2 45 32% 0 — —
Ageu M 56 7.08 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
J. McPake M 82 8.20 1 — 6 22 16% 5 — —
Cláudio Braga M 74 8.09 1 — 2 33 25% 1 — —
C. Miller M 56 7.70 2 1 3 20 17% 0 1 —
J. Wilson F 73 6.47 — — 2 17 9% 2 — —
J. Williams F 17 6.54 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
O. McEntee M 34 6.36 — — 0 16 10% 1 — —
S. Findlay D 8 6.61 — — 0 7 6% 2 — —
S. Guendouz F 16 6.32 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
S. Kerjota F 34 6.61 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Chapman G 90 5.62 — — 0 40 18% 0 — —
D. John D 90 5.90 — — 1 29 25% 1 — —
Henry Fieldson D 90 5.41 — — 0 56 44% 1 — —
A. Gogić D 90 5.11 — — 0 49 41% 2 1 —
C. Ramsay D 82 5.03 — — 1 27 20% 0 — —
P. Nsio M 90 5.77 — — 0 42 32% 2 — —
R. Carr M 45 5.81 — — 0 30 23% 0 — —
Ismeal Kabia M 67 6.09 — — 1 20 17% 1 — —
F. Taylor M 45 6.03 — — 0 26 23% 1 — —
C. Mochrie M 45 5.51 — — 0 9 9% 0 1 —
K. Phillips F 90 6.10 — — 2 41 29% 0 1 —
Eseosa Sule F 23 6.32 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
J. Young F 45 5.72 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
L. Donnelly M 45 5.94 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
L. Thomas M 45 6.28 — — 1 19 16% 3 — —
M. Fraser D 8 5.50 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 31% to a draw, and 24% to an ST Mirren win.