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Hednesford Town - Coventry United

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Hednesford Town
vs
Coventry United
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.45%
Win
Hednesford Town
31.44%
Draw
33.11%
Win
Coventry United
2.33
Expected xG
1.86

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.96%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 31%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hednesford Town a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Coventry United. Expected goals are 2.3 for Hednesford Town and 1.9 for Coventry United (total 4.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.96% probability.

Season Stats

Hednesford Town
2W 1D 1L
Coventry United
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
25%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Hednesford Town
1W 1D 0L · at home
Coventry United
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hednesford Town Coventry United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.6% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
L Billericay Town 2–0
D Billericay Town 0–0
W Coleshill Town 0–7
W Basford United 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Coventry United Coventry United
W Bedworth United 2–1
L Abbey Hulton 4–3
W Shifnal Town FC 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
Attack
38
Defence
57
Form
49
Coventry United Coventry United
Attack
40
Defence
53
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Coventry United?
The model gives Hednesford Town a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Coventry United win.
How many goals are expected in Hednesford Town vs Coventry United?
Expected goals: Hednesford Town 2.3, Coventry United 1.9 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hednesford Town vs Coventry United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.96%.