The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 36%). The final result was Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ajax.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
6
1.61
Actual xG
1.84
6
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
6
20
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
J. Mokio
58'
L. Rosa
69'
Y. Regeer
/
D. Klaassen
69'
R. Bounida
/
S. Berghuis
70'
Y. Regeer
V. Zagaritis
/ H. Petrov
75'
79'
K. Dolberg
/
S. Steur
D. Vente
/ L. Nordas
84'
L. Oyen
/ E. Gurbuz
84'
85'
M. Carrizo
/
M. Godts
R. Meerveld
/ L. Brouwers
87'
Pre-match prediction
39.68%
Heerenveen
23.86%
X ←
36.45%
Ajax
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.61
+0.03
1.46
1.84
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.84).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Bernt Klaverboer
G
Bernt Klaverboer
G
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
75'
D
Vasilios Zagaritis
75'
D
3
Maas Willemsen
D
Maas Willemsen
D
4
Sam Kersten
D
Sam Kersten
D
45
O. Braude
D
O. Braude
D
6
J. van Overeem
M
J. van Overeem
M
16
M. Linday
M
M. Linday
M
11
Luca Oyen
84'
M
Luca Oyen
84'
M
10
Ringo Meerveld
84'
M
Ringo Meerveld
84'
M
20
J. Trenskow
M
J. Trenskow
M
9
Dylan Vente
84'
F
Dylan Vente
84'
F
Bench
44
Andries Noppert
G
Andries Noppert
G
40
Clayton Bonevacia
F
Clayton Bonevacia
F
50
Eser Gürbüz
13'
F
Eser Gürbüz
13'
F
28
Hristiyan Petrov
15'
D
38
Ingmar Mulder
D
Ingmar Mulder
D
35
Isaiah Ahmed
M
Isaiah Ahmed
M
18
Lasse Selvåg Nordås
13'
F
Lasse Selvåg Nordås
13'
F
8
Luuk Brouwers
13'
M
Luuk Brouwers
13'
M
15
Mats Egbring
D
Mats Egbring
D
17
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
D
Nikolai Soyset Hopland
D
36
Nolhan Courtens
M
Nolhan Courtens
M
31
Nordin Bakker
G
Nordin Bakker
G
26
Maarten Paes
G
Maarten Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Youri Baas
D
Youri Baas
D
4
Ko Itakura
D
Ko Itakura
D
3
Anton Gaaei
D
Anton Gaaei
D
18
Davy Klaassen
69'
M
Davy Klaassen
69'
M
24
Jorthy Mokio
M
Jorthy Mokio
M
48
Sean Steur
79'
M
Sean Steur
79'
M
11
Mika Godts
85'
F
Mika Godts
85'
F
25
W. Weghorst
F
W. Weghorst
F
23
Steven Berghuis
69'
F
Steven Berghuis
69'
F
Bench
30
Aaron Bouwman
D
Aaron Bouwman
D
19
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Konadu
F
9
Kasper Dolberg
11'
F
Kasper Dolberg
11'
F
7
Maher Carrizo
12'
F
Maher Carrizo
12'
F
50
Marvyn Muzungu
D
Marvyn Muzungu
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
Oscar Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
21'
F
Rayane Bounida
21'
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu
D
Takehiro Tomiyasu
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
6
Youri Regeer
21'
M
Youri Regeer
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Bernt Klaverboer
G · Heerenveen
9.00
· 46 pass
J. van Overeem
M · Heerenveen
8.90
· 70 pass
Ko Itakura
D · Ajax
8.20
· 56 pass
Sam Kersten
D · Heerenveen
8.20
· 56 pass
Steven Berghuis
F · Ajax
8.00
2 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.90
4 shots
· 48 pass
Heerenveen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Maas Willemsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Sam Kersten | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Braude | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | 6 | — | — |
| J. van Overeem | M | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Linday | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Luca Oyen | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ringo Meerveld | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Trenskow | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Vente | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eser Gürbüz | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luuk Brouwers | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Youri Baas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen | M | 69 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Mika Godts | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 69 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | 21 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The final score was Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Heerenveen win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Ajax win.