The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Ajax 36%). The final result was Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax. In 2 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Ajax.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
6
1.61
Actual xG
1.84
6
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
6
20
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
J. Mokio
58'
L. Rosa
69'
Y. Regeer
/
D. Klaassen
69'
R. Bounida
/
S. Berghuis
70'
Y. Regeer
V. Zagaritis
/ H. Petrov
75'
79'
K. Dolberg
/
S. Steur
D. Vente
/ L. Nordas
84'
L. Oyen
/ E. Gurbuz
84'
85'
M. Carrizo
/
M. Godts
R. Meerveld
/ L. Brouwers
87'
Pre-match prediction
39.68%
Heerenveen
23.86%
X ←
36.45%
Ajax
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.61
+0.03
1.46
1.84
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.61 – 1.84).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
B. Klaverboer
G
B. Klaverboer
G
19
V. Zagaritis
75'
D
V. Zagaritis
75'
D
3
M. Willemsen
D
M. Willemsen
D
4
S. Kersten
D
S. Kersten
D
45
O. Braude
D
O. Braude
D
6
Joris van Overeem
M
Joris van Overeem
M
16
Marcus Linday
M
Marcus Linday
M
11
L. Oyen
84'
M
L. Oyen
84'
M
10
R. Meerveld
84'
M
R. Meerveld
84'
M
20
J. Trenskow
M
J. Trenskow
M
9
D. Vente
84'
F
D. Vente
84'
F
Bench
44
A. Noppert
G
A. Noppert
G
40
Clayton Bonevacia
F
Clayton Bonevacia
F
50
E. Gürbüz
13'
F
E. Gürbüz
13'
F
28
H. Petrov
15'
D
H. Petrov
15'
D
38
Ingmar Mulder
D
Ingmar Mulder
D
35
Isaiah Ahmed
M
Isaiah Ahmed
M
18
L. Nordås
13'
F
L. Nordås
13'
F
8
Luuk Brouwers
13'
M
15
Mats Egbring
D
Mats Egbring
D
31
N. Bakker
G
N. Bakker
G
36
N. Courtens
M
N. Courtens
M
17
N. Hopland
D
N. Hopland
D
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
15
Y. Baas
D
Y. Baas
D
4
K. Itakura
D
K. Itakura
D
3
A. Gaaei
D
A. Gaaei
D
18
D. Klaassen
69'
M
D. Klaassen
69'
M
24
J. Mokio
M
J. Mokio
M
48
Sean Steur
79'
M
Sean Steur
79'
M
11
M. Godts
85'
F
M. Godts
85'
F
25
W. Weghorst
F
W. Weghorst
F
23
S. Berghuis
69'
F
S. Berghuis
69'
F
Bench
30
A. Bouwman
D
A. Bouwman
D
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
F
9
K. Dolberg
11'
F
K. Dolberg
11'
F
7
M. Carrizo
12'
F
M. Carrizo
12'
F
50
M. Muzungu
D
M. Muzungu
D
10
O. Gloukh
M
O. Gloukh
M
52
Paul Reverson
G
Paul Reverson
G
43
Rayane Bounida
21'
F
Rayane Bounida
21'
F
45
Ryan van de Pavert
D
Ryan van de Pavert
D
32
T. Tomiyasu
D
T. Tomiyasu
D
58
Valentijn van der Velde
G
Valentijn van der Velde
G
6
Y. Regeer
21'
M
Y. Regeer
21'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Klaverboer
G · Heerenveen
9.00
· 46 pass
Joris van Overeem
M · Heerenveen
8.90
· 70 pass
K. Itakura
D · Ajax
8.20
· 56 pass
S. Kersten
D · Heerenveen
8.20
· 56 pass
S. Berghuis
F · Ajax
8.00
2 shots
· 43 pass
Sean Steur
M · Ajax
7.90
4 shots
· 48 pass
Heerenveen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Klaverboer | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | — | — | — |
| V. Zagaritis | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Willemsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | — | — | — |
| S. Kersten | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Braude | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | 6 | — | — |
| Joris van Overeem | M | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcus Linday | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Oyen | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Meerveld | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Trenskow | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vente | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Petrov | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Nordås | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luuk Brouwers | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 69 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| W. Weghorst | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 69 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Carrizo | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | 21 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The final score was Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Ajax?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Heerenveen win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Ajax win.