Skip to main content
← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9 October 16, 2026 20:00 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen
#7 · 15 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Excelsior
#13 · 11 pts
Dylan Vente 11' (pen.)
Oliver Johansen Braude (ast. Jacob Trenskow) 54'
Luca Oyen (ast. Ringo Meerveld) 84'
Jacob Trenskow 88'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Excelsior 29%). The final result was Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
2.33
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
1
9
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Dylan Vente (pen.)
11'
43'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
45'
Mario Domínguez Franco / David Garden ↕
⚽Oliver Johansen Braude · ast. Jacob Trenskow
54'
66'
Ilano Silva Timas / Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ↕
66'
Valentin Sulzbacher / Aymen sliti ↕
66'
Osman Turay / Simon Janssen ↕
↕ Maxence Rivera / Marko Farji
73'
77'
Noah Naujoks / Eric da Silva Moreira ↕
↕ Nolhan courtens / Luca Oyen
82'
↕ Levi Smans / Ringo Meerveld
82'
↕ Dylan Vente / Roberts Uldriķis
82'
⚽Luca Oyen · ast. Ringo Meerveld
84'
↕ Maas Willemsen / Hristiyan Petrov
86'
⚽Jacob Trenskow
88'
Pre-match prediction
40.33%
Heerenveen ←
29.74%
X
29.93%
Excelsior
we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 40.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heerenveen
1.09
2.33
+1.24
Excelsior
1.02
0.73
-0.29
Heerenveen dominated by xG (2.33 vs 0.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
1 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 6.74
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis D 7.26
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen 86' D 7.72
4 S. Kersten S. Kersten D 7.36
45 O. Braude O. Braude 1 ⚽ D 8.64
8 N. Courtens N. Courtens 82' M 6.25
16 M. Linday M. Linday M 7.00
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 73' M 6.53
14 L. Smans L. Smans 82' M 7.13
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
9 D. Vente D. Vente 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.80
Bench
49 Anass Bouziane Anass Bouziane M 0.00
44 A. Noppert A. Noppert G 0.00
23 D. Bladi D. Bladi D 0.00
28 H. Petrov H. Petrov 4' D 7.03
29 L. Machine L. Machine F 0.00
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.37
15 M. Egbring M. Egbring D 0.00
21 M. Farji M. Farji 17' F 6.63
2 M. Hilgers M. Hilgers D 0.00
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld 1 👟 8' M 7.08
17 R. Uldriķis R. Uldriķis 8' F 6.65
30 T. Schreuder T. Schreuder G 0.00
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel G 5.59
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen 66' D 6.14
14 J. Plug J. Plug D 6.34
4 C. Widell C. Widell D 5.98
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira 77' D 5.71
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes M 6.45
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen M 5.87
8 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian M 6.22
30 Á. Þorsteinsson Á. Þorsteinsson 66' F 6.05
19 D. Garden D. Garden 45' F 6.44
7 A. Sliti A. Sliti 66' F 6.33
Bench
11 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh F 0.00
16 Celton Biai Celton Biai G 0.00
6 D. van Vianen D. van Vianen M 0.00
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M 0.00
21 I. Silva Timas I. Silva Timas 24' F 6.20
9 Mario Domínguez Mario Domínguez 45' F 6.46
28 N. Groen N. Groen F 0.00
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks 13' M 5.77
22 O. Turay O. Turay 24' D 5.69
18 V. Sulzbacher V. Sulzbacher 24' M 5.85
Best on the pitch
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 21 pass
O. Braude
O. Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.64
1 ⚽
1 shots · 66 pass
M. Willemsen
M. Willemsen
D · Heerenveen
7.72
· 89 pass
L. Oyen
L. Oyen
F · Heerenveen
7.37
1 ⚽
1 shots
S. Kersten
S. Kersten
D · Heerenveen
7.36
· 75 pass
V. Zagaritis
V. Zagaritis
D · Heerenveen
7.26
· 38 pass
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 90 6.74 — — 0 48 39% 0 — —
V. Zagaritis D 90 7.26 — — 0 38 30% 1 — —
M. Willemsen D 86 7.72 — — 0 89 81% 1 — —
S. Kersten D 90 7.36 — — 0 75 68% 0 — —
O. Braude D 90 8.64 1 — 1 66 57% 0 — —
N. Courtens M 82 6.25 — — 0 29 25% 2 — —
M. Linday M 90 7.00 — — 0 62 55% 3 — —
M. Rivera M 73 6.53 — — 1 22 16% 0 — —
L. Smans M 82 7.13 — — 1 39 31% 0 — —
J. Trenskow M 90 9.00 1 1 5 21 19% 1 — —
D. Vente F 82 6.80 1 — 4 13 9% 0 — —
H. Petrov D 4 7.03 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
L. Oyen F 8 7.37 1 — 1 0 0% 0 — —
M. Farji F 17 6.63 — — 0 5 3% 1 — —
R. Meerveld M 8 7.08 — 1 0 4 4% 0 — —
R. Uldriķis F 8 6.65 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 90 5.59 — — 0 60 31% 0 — —
S. Janssen D 66 6.14 — — 0 32 29% 0 — —
J. Plug D 90 6.34 — — 0 63 61% 3 — —
C. Widell D 90 5.98 — — 1 67 51% 0 — —
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira D 77 5.71 — — 0 37 31% 2 — —
L. Hartjes M 90 6.45 — — 1 47 42% 2 — —
R. Meissen M 90 5.87 — — 0 52 43% 2 — —
I. Yegoian M 90 6.22 — — 1 35 31% 4 — —
Á. Þorsteinsson F 66 6.05 — — 0 20 18% 0 1 —
D. Garden F 45 6.44 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
A. Sliti F 66 6.33 — — 0 17 10% 0 — —
I. Silva Timas F 24 6.20 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Mario Domínguez F 45 6.46 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
N. Naujoks M 13 5.77 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
O. Turay D 24 5.69 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
V. Sulzbacher M 24 5.85 — — 0 18 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
The final score was Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Excelsior?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Heerenveen win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Excelsior win.