Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 18:45 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Heerenveen

#10 · 9 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Fortuna Sittard

#6 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen

R. Meerveld (ast. J. Trenskow) 16'

M. Linday (ast. J. van Overeem) 74'

12' (ast. D. Limnios) P. Brittijn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 19%). The final result was Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

7

2.49

Actual xG

0.85

6

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

7

Corners

0

17

Tackles

28

2

🟨 Yellow cards

0

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

12'

ast. D. Limnios · P. Brittijn⚽

⚽R. Meerveld · ast. J. Trenskow

16'

↕ M. Rivera / L. Oyen

43'

↕ L. Nordas / D. Vente

69'

70'

Y. Oukili / P. Brittijn ↕

70'

P. Gladon / K. Sierhuis ↕

70'

I. Pinto / M. Ihattaren ↕

⚽M. Linday · ast. J. van Overeem

74'

79'

K. Peterson / J. Dahlhaus ↕

↕ R. Meerveld / L. Brouwers

84'

87'

O. Johnson / I. Marquez ↕

O. Braude

88'

B. Klaverboer

90'+5

90'

I. Pinto

Pre-match prediction

59.84%

Heerenveen ←

20.41%

X

19.75%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 59.84% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heerenveen

2.21

2.49

+0.28

Fortuna

1.24

0.85

-0.39

Heerenveen dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.85). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	19
2	Feyenoord	7	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	16
4	Twente	7	16
5	Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	Excelsior	7	11
8	Groningen	7	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar	7	5
14	Cambuur	7	5
15	Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II	7	2

Lineups

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

22 B. Klaverboer G 7.00

19 V. Zagaritis D 7.20

3 M. Willemsen D 7.00

4

D 6.90

45 O. Braude D 6.90

6 J. van Overeem 1 👟 M 8.20

16 M. Linday 1 ⚽ M 9.00

7 M. Rivera 43' M 6.70

10 R. Meerveld 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30

20 J. Trenskow 1 👟 M 7.20

18 L. Nordås 69' F 6.20

Bench

9 D. Vente 21' F 6.20

11 L. Oyen 47' F 6.30

8

Luuk Brouwers 13' M 6.60

Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.00

28

D 6.30

44

I. Marquez 87' D 6.30

4 S. Adewoye D 8.70

8 J. Dahlhaus 79' M 6.90

23 P. Brittijn 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.60

6 S. van Ottele M 7.30

18

Dimitris Limnios 1 👟 M 7.20

70 L. Duijvestijn F 6.70

52 M. Ihattaren 70' F 6.70

9 K. Sierhuis 70' F 6.70

Bench

12 Ivo Pinto 20' D 5.70

7 K. Peterson 11' F 6.70

19 P. Gladon 20' F 6.50

5 Y. Oukili 20' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

M. Linday

M · Heerenveen

9.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 61 pass

S. Adewoye

D · Fortuna

8.70

· 43 pass

J. van Overeem

M · Heerenveen

8.20

1 👟

· 72 pass

P. Brittijn

M · Fortuna

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

S. van Ottele

M · Fortuna

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

R. Meerveld

M · Heerenveen

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 31 pass

Heerenveen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Klaverboer	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	28	20%	—	1	—
V. Zagaritis	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	37%	3	—	—
M. Willemsen	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	77	73%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	68%	1	—	—
O. Braude	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	59	50%	2	1	—
J. van Overeem	M	90	8.20	—	1	—	72	58%	3	—	—
M. Linday	M	90	9.00	1	—	2	61	51%	4	—	—
M. Rivera	M	43	6.70	—	—	1	15	10%	—	—	—
R. Meerveld	M	84	7.30	1	—	2	31	24%	1	—	—
J. Trenskow	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	2	—	—
L. Nordås	F	69	6.20	—	—	3	15	9%	—	—	—
D. Vente	F	21	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
L. Oyen	F	47	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
Luuk Brouwers	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	16%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	27%	—	—	—
I. Marquez	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—
S. Adewoye	D	90	8.70	—	—	—	43	35%	3	—	—
J. Dahlhaus	M	79	6.90	—	—	—	13	11%	5	—	—
P. Brittijn	M	70	7.60	1	—	2	38	32%	—	—	—
S. van Ottele	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	35%	4	—	—
Dimitris Limnios	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	29	27%	4	—	—
L. Duijvestijn	F	90	6.70	—	—	3	37	31%	2	—	—
M. Ihattaren	F	70	6.70	—	—	3	24	19%	2	—	—
K. Sierhuis	F	70	6.70	—	—	4	18	12%	2	—	—
Ivo Pinto	D	20	5.70	—	—	—	12	10%	2	—	1
K. Peterson	F	11	6.70	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
P. Gladon	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Y. Oukili	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	2	—	—