Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 20:45

Heerenveen

#8 · 50 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Fortuna Sittard

#11 · 39 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen

R. Meerveld (ast. J. Trenskow) 16'

M. Linday (ast. J. van Overeem) 74'

12' (ast. D. Limnios) P. Brittijn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 19%). The final result was Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

7

2.49

Actual xG

0.85

6

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

7

Corners

0

17

Tackles

28

2

🟨 Yellow cards

0

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

12'

ast. D. Limnios · P. Brittijn⚽

⚽R. Meerveld · ast. J. Trenskow

16'

↕ M. Rivera / L. Oyen

43'

↕ L. Nordas / D. Vente

69'

70'

Y. Oukili / P. Brittijn ↕

70'

P. Gladon / K. Sierhuis ↕

70'

I. Pinto / M. Ihattaren ↕

⚽M. Linday · ast. J. van Overeem

74'

79'

K. Peterson / J. Dahlhaus ↕

↕ R. Meerveld / L. Brouwers

84'

87'

O. Johnson / I. Marquez ↕

O. Braude

88'

B. Klaverboer

90'+5

90'

I. Pinto

Pre-match prediction

59.84%

Heerenveen ←

20.41%

X

19.75%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 59.84% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heerenveen

2.21

2.49

+0.28

Fortuna

1.24

0.85

-0.39

Heerenveen dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.85). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19

Lineups

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

22 Bernt Klaverboer G 7.00

19 Vasilios Zagaritis D 7.20

3 Maas Willemsen D 7.00

4

D 6.90

45 O. Braude D 6.90

6 J. van Overeem 1 👟 M 8.20

16 Marcus Linday 1 ⚽ M 9.00

7 M. Rivera 43' M 6.70

10 Ringo Meerveld 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30

20 J. Trenskow 1 👟 M 7.20

18 Lasse Selvåg Nordås 69' F 6.20

Bench

9 Dylan Vente 21' F 6.20

11 Luca Oyen 47' F 6.30

8 Luuk Brouwers 13' M 6.60

Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.00

28

D 6.30

44

I. Marquez 87' D 6.30

4

S. Adewoye D 8.70

8

J. Dahlhaus 79' M 6.90

23 P. Brittijn 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.60

6 Syb Van Ottele M 7.30

18 Dimitris Limnios 1 👟 M 7.20

70 Lance Duijvestijn F 6.70

52 M. Ihattaren 70' F 6.70

9 K. Sierhuis 70' F 6.70

Bench

12

I. Pinto 20' D 5.70

7 Kristoffer Peterson 11' F 6.70

19

P. Gladon 20' F 6.50

5 Yassin Oukili 20' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

Marcus Linday

M · Heerenveen

9.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 61 pass

S. Adewoye

D · Fortuna

8.70

· 43 pass

J. van Overeem

M · Heerenveen

8.20

1 👟

· 72 pass

P. Brittijn

M · Fortuna

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

Syb Van Ottele

M · Fortuna

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

Ringo Meerveld

M · Heerenveen

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 31 pass

Heerenveen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Bernt Klaverboer	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	28	20%	—	1	—
Vasilios Zagaritis	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	37%	3	—	—
Maas Willemsen	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	77	73%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	68%	1	—	—
O. Braude	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	59	50%	2	1	—
J. van Overeem	M	90	8.20	—	1	—	72	58%	3	—	—
Marcus Linday	M	90	9.00	1	—	2	61	51%	4	—	—
M. Rivera	M	43	6.70	—	—	1	15	10%	—	—	—
Ringo Meerveld	M	84	7.30	1	—	2	31	24%	1	—	—
J. Trenskow	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	2	—	—
Lasse Selvåg Nordås	F	69	6.20	—	—	3	15	9%	—	—	—
Dylan Vente	F	21	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
Luca Oyen	F	47	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
Luuk Brouwers	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	16%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	27%	—	—	—
I. Marquez	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—
S. Adewoye	D	90	8.70	—	—	—	43	35%	3	—	—
J. Dahlhaus	M	79	6.90	—	—	—	13	11%	5	—	—
P. Brittijn	M	70	7.60	1	—	2	38	32%	—	—	—
Syb Van Ottele	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	35%	4	—	—
Dimitris Limnios	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	29	27%	4	—	—
Lance Duijvestijn	F	90	6.70	—	—	3	37	31%	2	—	—
M. Ihattaren	F	70	6.70	—	—	3	24	19%	2	—	—
K. Sierhuis	F	70	6.70	—	—	4	18	12%	2	—	—
I. Pinto	D	20	5.70	—	—	—	12	10%	2	—	1
Kristoffer Peterson	F	11	6.70	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
P. Gladon	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Yassin Oukili	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	2	—	—