Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 18:45 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Heerenveen

#8 · 51 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Fortuna Sittard

#11 · 39 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen

R. Meerveld (ast. J. Trenskow) 16'

M. Linday (ast. J. van Overeem) 74'

12' (ast. D. Limnios) P. Brittijn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Fortuna Sittard 19%). The final result was Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

7

2.49

Actual xG

0.85

6

Saves

2

59%

Possession

41%

7

Corners

0

17

Tackles

28

2

🟨 Yellow cards

0

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

12'

ast. D. Limnios · P. Brittijn⚽

⚽R. Meerveld · ast. J. Trenskow

16'

↕ M. Rivera / L. Oyen

43'

↕ L. Nordas / D. Vente

69'

70'

Y. Oukili / P. Brittijn ↕

70'

P. Gladon / K. Sierhuis ↕

70'

I. Pinto / M. Ihattaren ↕

⚽M. Linday · ast. J. van Overeem

74'

79'

K. Peterson / J. Dahlhaus ↕

↕ R. Meerveld / L. Brouwers

84'

87'

O. Johnson / I. Marquez ↕

O. Braude

88'

B. Klaverboer

90'+5

90'

I. Pinto

Pre-match prediction

59.84%

Heerenveen ←

20.41%

X

19.75%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 59.84% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heerenveen

2.21

2.49

+0.28

Fortuna

1.24

0.85

-0.39

Heerenveen dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.85). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	84
2	Feyenoord	34	65
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	59
4	Twente	34	58
5	Ajax	34	56
6	Utrecht	34	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	52
8	Heerenveen	34	51
9	Groningen	34	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	38
13	Excelsior	34	38
14	Telstar	34	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	37
16	FC Volendam	34	32
17	NAC Breda	34	29
18	Heracles	34	19

Lineups

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

22 Bernt Klaverboer G 7.00

19 Vasilios Zagaritis D 7.20

3 Maas Willemsen D 7.00

4

D 6.90

45 O. Braude D 6.90

6 J. van Overeem 1 👟 M 8.20

16 M. Linday 1 ⚽ M 9.00

7 M. Rivera 43' M 6.70

10 Ringo Meerveld 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30

20 J. Trenskow 1 👟 M 7.20

18 Lasse Selvåg Nordås 69' F 6.20

Bench

9 Dylan Vente 21' F 6.20

11 Luca Oyen 47' F 6.30

8 Luuk Brouwers 13' M 6.60

Fortuna Sittard 3-4-2-1

1

G 7.00

28

D 6.30

44

I. Marquez 87' D 6.30

4

S. Adewoye D 8.70

8 Jasper Dahlhaus 79' M 6.90

23 P. Brittijn 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.60

6 Syb Van Ottele M 7.30

18 Dimitris Limnios 1 👟 M 7.20

70 Lance Duijvestijn F 6.70

52 M. Ihattaren 70' F 6.70

9 K. Sierhuis 70' F 6.70

Bench

12 Ivo Pinto 20' D 5.70

7 Kristoffer Peterson 11' F 6.70

19 P. Gladon 20' F 6.50

5 Yassin Oukili 20' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

M. Linday

M · Heerenveen

9.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 61 pass

S. Adewoye

D · Fortuna

8.70

· 43 pass

J. van Overeem

M · Heerenveen

8.20

1 👟

· 72 pass

P. Brittijn

M · Fortuna

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

Syb Van Ottele

M · Fortuna

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

Ringo Meerveld

M · Heerenveen

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 31 pass

Heerenveen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Bernt Klaverboer	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	28	20%	—	1	—
Vasilios Zagaritis	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	47	37%	3	—	—
Maas Willemsen	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	77	73%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	73	68%	1	—	—
O. Braude	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	59	50%	2	1	—
J. van Overeem	M	90	8.20	—	1	—	72	58%	3	—	—
M. Linday	M	90	9.00	1	—	2	61	51%	4	—	—
M. Rivera	M	43	6.70	—	—	1	15	10%	—	—	—
Ringo Meerveld	M	84	7.30	1	—	2	31	24%	1	—	—
J. Trenskow	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	42	31%	2	—	—
Lasse Selvåg Nordås	F	69	6.20	—	—	3	15	9%	—	—	—
Dylan Vente	F	21	6.20	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
Luca Oyen	F	47	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
Luuk Brouwers	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	43	16%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	27%	—	—	—
I. Marquez	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	30	29%	2	—	—
S. Adewoye	D	90	8.70	—	—	—	43	35%	3	—	—
Jasper Dahlhaus	M	79	6.90	—	—	—	13	11%	5	—	—
P. Brittijn	M	70	7.60	1	—	2	38	32%	—	—	—
Syb Van Ottele	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	35%	4	—	—
Dimitris Limnios	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	29	27%	4	—	—
Lance Duijvestijn	F	90	6.70	—	—	3	37	31%	2	—	—
M. Ihattaren	F	70	6.70	—	—	3	24	19%	2	—	—
K. Sierhuis	F	70	6.70	—	—	4	18	12%	2	—	—
Ivo Pinto	D	20	5.70	—	—	—	12	10%	2	—	1
Kristoffer Peterson	F	11	6.70	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
P. Gladon	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
Yassin Oukili	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	2	—	—