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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 05, 2026 14:30 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen
#12 · 5 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Heracles
✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen
J. Trenskow (ast. J. van Overeem) 35'
L. Nordas 45' (pen.)
R. Pasveer 47' (og)
M. Rivera 51'
21' M. Engels
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 72% win probability (draw 17%, Heracles 10%). The final result was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
14
Shots on target
4
3.55
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
11
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
1
11
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
21'
M. Engels⚽
⚽J. Trenskow · ast. J. van Overeem
35'
45'+3
Mimeirhel Benita
⚽L. Nordas (pen.)
45'
46'
T. van Gilst / L. Zeefuik ↕
⚽R. Pasveer (og)
47'
⚽M. Rivera
51'
58'
S. Cestic / M. Engels ↕
58'
D. van der Kust / I. Mesik ↕
58'
J. Wieckhoff / W. Ould Chikh ↕
↕ J. van Overeem / L. Brouwers
64'
↕ M. Willemsen / H. Petrov
77'
↕ V. Zagaritis / M. Egbring
77'
77'
L. Kulenovic / T. Bruns ↕
↕ J. Trenskow / E. Gurbuz
85'
↕ L. Nordas / L. Oyen
85'
Pre-match prediction
72.25%
Heerenveen ←
17.64%
X
10.11%
Heracles
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 72.25% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heerenveen
2.28
3.55
+1.27
Heracles
0.74
1.33
+0.59
Heerenveen dominated by xG (3.55 vs 1.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
22 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 6.60
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis 77' D 6.00
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen 77' D 7.20
4
D 6.90
45 O. Braude O. Braude D 8.90
16 Marcus Linday Marcus Linday M 7.70
6 Joris van Overeem Joris van Overeem 1 👟 64' M 7.70
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 1 ⚽ M 7.20
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld M 7.30
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
18 L. Nordås L. Nordås 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 5' F
8
Luuk Brouwers 26' M 6.90
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer 1 ⚽ G 10.00
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 58' D 5.90
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.20
4
D 5.90
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita D 6.00
32 S. Scheperman S. Scheperman M 6.60
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 58' M 6.90
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 1 ⚽ 58' M 6.90
10 T. Bruns T. Bruns 77' M 6.30
14
M 6.50
25 L. Zeefuik L. Zeefuik 45' F 6.50
Bench
5 D. van der Kust D. van der Kust 32' D 7.20
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff 32' D 7.30
9 N. Ünüvar N. Ünüvar F
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić 32' D 6.90
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 45' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
R. Pasveer
R. Pasveer
G · Heracles
10.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
O. Braude
O. Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.90
1 shots · 57 pass
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday
M · Heerenveen
7.70
· 77 pass
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem
M · Heerenveen
7.70
1 👟
· 49 pass
R. Meerveld
R. Meerveld
M · Heerenveen
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 90 6.60 — — — 51 40% — — —
V. Zagaritis D 77 6.00 — — — 32 27% — — —
M. Willemsen D 77 7.20 — — — 65 60% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 57% 2 — —
O. Braude D 90 8.90 — — 1 57 50% 1 — —
Marcus Linday M 90 7.70 — — — 77 73% 1 — —
Joris van Overeem M 64 7.70 — 1 — 49 42% — — —
M. Rivera M 90 7.20 1 — 6 37 33% 3 — —
R. Meerveld M 90 7.30 — — 2 40 34% — — —
J. Trenskow M 85 8.20 1 — 3 35 27% 1 — —
L. Nordås F 85 7.20 1 — 4 27 18% — — —
L. Oyen F 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Luuk Brouwers M 26 6.90 — — — 22 21% 2 — —
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Pasveer G 90 10.00 1 — — 42 23% — — —
I. Mesík D 58 5.90 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.20 — — — 35 32% — — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 23 23% 1 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 90 6.00 — — — 30 25% 2 1 —
S. Scheperman M 90 6.60 — — 1 20 18% 3 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 58 6.90 — — — 16 11% 3 — —
Mario Engels M 58 6.90 1 — 2 6 6% — — —
T. Bruns M 77 6.30 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 21 16% 3 — —
L. Zeefuik F 45 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. van der Kust D 32 7.20 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
Jannes Wieckhoff D 32 7.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
Sava Arangel Čestić D 32 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
T. van Gilst F 45 6.70 — — 3 14 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The final score was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Heerenveen win, 17% to a draw, and 10% to an Heracles win.