← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 05, 2026 16:30
Heerenveen
#8 · 50 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Heracles
#18 · 19 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen
J. Trenskow (ast. J. van Overeem) 35'
L. Nordas 45' (pen.)
R. Pasveer 47' (og)
M. Rivera 51'
21' M. Engels

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 72% win probability (draw 17%, Heracles 10%). The final result was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
14
Shots on target
4
3.55
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
11
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
1
11
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
21'
M. Engels⚽
⚽J. Trenskow · ast. J. van Overeem
35'
45'+3
Mimeirhel Benita
⚽L. Nordas (pen.)
45'
46'
T. van Gilst / L. Zeefuik ↕
⚽R. Pasveer (og)
47'
⚽M. Rivera
51'
58'
S. Cestic / M. Engels ↕
58'
D. van der Kust / I. Mesik ↕
58'
J. Wieckhoff / W. Ould Chikh ↕
↕ J. van Overeem / L. Brouwers
64'
↕ M. Willemsen / H. Petrov
77'
↕ V. Zagaritis / M. Egbring
77'
77'
L. Kulenovic / T. Bruns ↕
↕ J. Trenskow / E. Gurbuz
85'
↕ L. Nordas / L. Oyen
85'
Pre-match prediction
72.25%
Heerenveen ←
17.64%
X
10.11%
Heracles
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 72.25% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heerenveen
2.28
3.55
+1.27
Heracles
0.74
1.33
+0.59
Heerenveen dominated by xG (3.55 vs 1.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
22 Bernt Klaverboer Bernt Klaverboer G 6.60
19 Vasilios Zagaritis Vasilios Zagaritis 77' D 6.00
3 Maas Willemsen Maas Willemsen 77' D 7.20
4
D 6.90
45 O. Braude O. Braude D 8.90
16 Marcus Linday Marcus Linday M 7.70
6 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem 1 👟 64' M 7.70
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 1 ⚽ M 7.20
10 Ringo Meerveld Ringo Meerveld M 7.30
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
18 Lasse Selvåg Nordås Lasse Selvåg Nordås 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
11 Luca Oyen Luca Oyen 5' F
8 Luuk Brouwers Luuk Brouwers 26' M 6.90
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 Remko Pasveer Remko Pasveer 1 ⚽ G 10.00
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 58' D 5.90
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.20
4
D 5.90
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita D 6.00
32
S. Scheperman M 6.60
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 58' M 6.90
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 1 ⚽ 58' M 6.90
10 Thomas Bruns Thomas Bruns 77' M 6.30
14
M 6.50
25 Lequincio Zeefuik Lequincio Zeefuik 45' F 6.50
Bench
5 Djevencio van der Kust Djevencio van der Kust 32' D 7.20
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff 32' D 7.30
9
N. Unuvar F
6 Sava Arangel Čestić Sava Arangel Čestić 32' D 6.90
17 Tristan van Gilst Tristan van Gilst 45' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Remko Pasveer
Remko Pasveer
G · Heracles
10.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
O. Braude
O. Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.90
1 shots · 57 pass
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday
M · Heerenveen
7.70
· 77 pass
J. van Overeem
J. van Overeem
M · Heerenveen
7.70
1 👟
· 49 pass
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld
M · Heerenveen
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bernt Klaverboer G 90 6.60 — — — 51 40% — — —
Vasilios Zagaritis D 77 6.00 — — — 32 27% — — —
Maas Willemsen D 77 7.20 — — — 65 60% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 57% 2 — —
O. Braude D 90 8.90 — — 1 57 50% 1 — —
Marcus Linday M 90 7.70 — — — 77 73% 1 — —
J. van Overeem M 64 7.70 — 1 — 49 42% — — —
M. Rivera M 90 7.20 1 — 6 37 33% 3 — —
Ringo Meerveld M 90 7.30 — — 2 40 34% — — —
J. Trenskow M 85 8.20 1 — 3 35 27% 1 — —
Lasse Selvåg Nordås F 85 7.20 1 — 4 27 18% — — —
Luca Oyen F 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Luuk Brouwers M 26 6.90 — — — 22 21% 2 — —
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Remko Pasveer G 90 10.00 1 — — 42 23% — — —
I. Mesík D 58 5.90 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.20 — — — 35 32% — — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 23 23% 1 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 90 6.00 — — — 30 25% 2 1 —
S. Scheperman M 90 6.60 — — 1 20 18% 3 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 58 6.90 — — — 16 11% 3 — —
Mario Engels M 58 6.90 1 — 2 6 6% — — —
Thomas Bruns M 77 6.30 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 21 16% 3 — —
Lequincio Zeefuik F 45 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Djevencio van der Kust D 32 7.20 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
Jannes Wieckhoff D 32 7.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
Sava Arangel Čestić D 32 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
Tristan van Gilst F 45 6.70 — — 3 14 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The final score was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Heerenveen win, 17% to a draw, and 10% to an Heracles win.