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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 05, 2026 14:30 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen
#7 · 15 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Heracles
✓Model correct — prediction Heerenveen
J. Trenskow (ast. J. van Overeem) 35'
L. Nordas 45' (pen.)
R. Pasveer 47' (og)
M. Rivera 51'
21' M. Engels
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heerenveen a 72% win probability (draw 17%, Heracles 10%). The final result was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
14
Shots on target
4
3.55
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
11
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
1
11
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
15'
21'
M. Engels⚽
⚽J. Trenskow · ast. J. van Overeem
35'
45'+3
Mimeirhel Benita
⚽L. Nordas (pen.)
45'
46'
T. van Gilst / L. Zeefuik ↕
⚽R. Pasveer (og)
47'
⚽M. Rivera
51'
58'
S. Cestic / M. Engels ↕
58'
D. van der Kust / I. Mesik ↕
58'
J. Wieckhoff / W. Ould Chikh ↕
↕ J. van Overeem / L. Brouwers
64'
↕ M. Willemsen / H. Petrov
77'
↕ V. Zagaritis / M. Egbring
77'
77'
L. Kulenovic / T. Bruns ↕
↕ J. Trenskow / E. Gurbuz
85'
↕ L. Nordas / L. Oyen
85'
Pre-match prediction
72.25%
Heerenveen ←
17.64%
X
10.11%
Heracles
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 72.25% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heerenveen
2.28
3.55
+1.27
Heracles
0.74
1.33
+0.59
Heerenveen dominated by xG (3.55 vs 1.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
22 Bernt Klaverboer Bernt Klaverboer G 6.60
19 Vasilios Zagaritis Vasilios Zagaritis 77' D 6.00
3 Maas Willemsen Maas Willemsen 77' D 7.20
4
D 6.90
45 Oliver Braude Oliver Braude D 8.90
16 Marcus Linday Marcus Linday M 7.70
6 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem 1 👟 64' M 7.70
7 Maxence Rivera Maxence Rivera 1 ⚽ M 7.20
10 Ringo Meerveld Ringo Meerveld M 7.30
20 Jacob Trenskow Jacob Trenskow 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
18 L. Nordås L. Nordås 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
8
L. Brouwers 26' M 6.90
11 Luca Oyen Luca Oyen 5' F
Heracles Heracles 4-2-3-1
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer 1 ⚽ G 10.00
24 I. Mesík I. Mesík 58' D 5.90
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.20
4
D 5.90
2 Mimeirhel Benita Mimeirhel Benita D 6.00
32 S. Scheperman S. Scheperman M 6.60
73 Walid Ould-Chikh Walid Ould-Chikh 58' M 6.90
8 Mario Engels Mario Engels 1 ⚽ 58' M 6.90
10 T. Bruns T. Bruns 77' M 6.30
14
M 6.50
25 Lequincio Zeefuik Lequincio Zeefuik 45' F 6.50
Bench
5 D. van der Kust D. van der Kust 32' D 7.20
3 Jannes Wieckhoff Jannes Wieckhoff 32' D 7.30
9 N. Ünüvar N. Ünüvar F
6 S. Čestić S. Čestić 32' D 6.90
17 T. van Gilst T. van Gilst 45' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
R. Pasveer
R. Pasveer
G · Heracles
10.00
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude
D · Heerenveen
8.90
1 shots · 57 pass
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 35 pass
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday
M · Heerenveen
7.70
· 77 pass
J. van Overeem
J. van Overeem
M · Heerenveen
7.70
1 👟
· 49 pass
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld
M · Heerenveen
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bernt Klaverboer G 90 6.60 — — — 51 40% — — —
Vasilios Zagaritis D 77 6.00 — — — 32 27% — — —
Maas Willemsen D 77 7.20 — — — 65 60% 1 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 63 57% 2 — —
Oliver Braude D 90 8.90 — — 1 57 50% 1 — —
Marcus Linday M 90 7.70 — — — 77 73% 1 — —
J. van Overeem M 64 7.70 — 1 — 49 42% — — —
Maxence Rivera M 90 7.20 1 — 6 37 33% 3 — —
Ringo Meerveld M 90 7.30 — — 2 40 34% — — —
Jacob Trenskow M 85 8.20 1 — 3 35 27% 1 — —
L. Nordås F 85 7.20 1 — 4 27 18% — — —
L. Brouwers M 26 6.90 — — — 22 21% 2 — —
Luca Oyen F 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Heracles Heracles — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Pasveer G 90 10.00 1 — — 42 23% — — —
I. Mesík D 58 5.90 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.20 — — — 35 32% — — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 23 23% 1 — —
Mimeirhel Benita D 90 6.00 — — — 30 25% 2 1 —
S. Scheperman M 90 6.60 — — 1 20 18% 3 — —
Walid Ould-Chikh M 58 6.90 — — — 16 11% 3 — —
Mario Engels M 58 6.90 1 — 2 6 6% — — —
T. Bruns M 77 6.30 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
M 90 6.50 — — — 21 16% 3 — —
Lequincio Zeefuik F 45 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
D. van der Kust D 32 7.20 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
Jannes Wieckhoff D 32 7.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
S. Čestić D 32 6.90 — — — 9 9% — — —
T. van Gilst F 45 6.70 — — 3 14 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The final score was Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Heracles?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Heerenveen win, 17% to a draw, and 10% to an Heracles win.