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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1 August 09, 2026 16:45 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen
#12 · 5 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Twente
#3 · 13 pts
L. Oyen (ast. J. Trenskow) 52'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Heerenveen 33%). The final result was Heerenveen 1–0 Twente. In 2 previous meetings, Heerenveen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Twente.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
3
0.39
Actual xG
1.73
3
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
8
10
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ L. Machine / L. Oyen
46'
⚽L. Oyen · ast. J. Trenskow
52'
↕ R. Meerveld / N. Courtens
55'
57'
Y. Taha / S. Orjasaeter ↕
↕ M. Egbring / H. Petrov
68'
68'
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink / M. Pjaca ↕
68'
M. Kjolo / T. van den Belt ↕
D. Proper
75'
77'
K. Hlynsson / R. Zerrouki ↕
77'
S. Lammers / A. Adelgaard ↕
↕ S. Kersten / D. Bladi
83'
↕ J. Trenskow / N. Hopland
83'
L. Oyen
90'+1
90'+6
D. Rots
Pre-match prediction
33.16%
Heerenveen ←
32.25%
X
34.6%
Twente
we assigned to the actual result (Heerenveen) 33.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heerenveen
1.57
0.39
-1.18
Twente
1.54
1.73
+0.19
Twente dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-1-4-1
22 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 7.50
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis D 7.30
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen D 7.90
4 S. Kersten S. Kersten 83' D 7.20
15 Mats Egbring Mats Egbring 68' D 7.00
6 D. Proper D. Proper M 6.70
29 L. Machine L. Machine 45' M 6.60
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld 55' M 6.90
16 Marcus Linday Marcus Linday M 7.00
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow 1 👟 83' M 7.50
9 D. Vente D. Vente F 6.50
Bench
44 A. Noppert A. Noppert G
23 D. Bladi D. Bladi 13' D 6.90
28 H. Petrov H. Petrov 28' D 6.60
41 J. Scholten J. Scholten D
47 Kirayno Schaken Kirayno Schaken F
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 1 ⚽ 51' F 7.90
14 L. Smans L. Smans M
8
Luuk Brouwers M
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera M
36 N. Courtens N. Courtens 41' M 6.50
17 N. Hopland N. Hopland 13' D 6.60
30 T. Schreuder T. Schreuder G
Twente Twente 4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall L. Unnerstall G 7.20
29 A. Adelgaard A. Adelgaard 77' D 6.90
3 R. Pröpper R. Pröpper D 6.30
38 M. Bruns M. Bruns D 6.70
28 B. van Rooij B. van Rooij D 7.20
20 T. van den Belt T. van den Belt 68' M 6.30
6 R. Zerrouki R. Zerrouki 77' M 6.60
27 S. Ørjasæter S. Ørjasæter 57' M 6.30
11 D. Rots D. Rots M 6.60
7 M. Pjaca M. Pjaca 68' M 6.70
9 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst F 6.20
Bench
12 Guilherme Peixoto Guilherme Peixoto D
16 J. Drommel J. Drommel G
24 K. Kurowski K. Kurowski D
14 Kristian Hlynsson Kristian Hlynsson 19' M 6.90
25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink 28' F 6.70
4 M. Kjølø M. Kjølø 28' M 7.20
37 N. Ünüvar N. Ünüvar F
43 R. Nijstad R. Nijstad D
22 R. Pasveer R. Pasveer G
10 Sam Lammers Sam Lammers 19' F 6.70
19 Y. Taha Y. Taha 39' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
M. Willemsen
M. Willemsen
D · Heerenveen
7.90
· 76 pass
L. Oyen
L. Oyen
F · Heerenveen
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
B. Klaverboer
B. Klaverboer
G · Heerenveen
7.50
· 51 pass
J. Trenskow
J. Trenskow
M · Heerenveen
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
V. Zagaritis
V. Zagaritis
D · Heerenveen
7.30
· 23 pass
Y. Taha
Y. Taha
F · Twente
7.20
· 13 pass
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 96 7.50 — — — 51 27% — — —
V. Zagaritis D 96 7.30 — — — 23 21% 2 — —
M. Willemsen D 96 7.90 — — — 76 72% — — —
S. Kersten D 83 7.20 — — — 52 47% 2 — —
Mats Egbring D 68 7.00 — — — 31 29% 3 — —
D. Proper M 96 6.70 — — 1 59 46% 1 1 —
L. Machine M 45 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
R. Meerveld M 55 6.90 — — 1 13 11% — — —
Marcus Linday M 96 7.00 — — 1 71 66% — — —
J. Trenskow M 83 7.50 — 1 1 21 19% — — —
D. Vente F 96 6.50 — — — 25 15% — — —
D. Bladi D 13 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
H. Petrov D 28 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
L. Oyen F 51 7.90 1 — 1 12 8% — 1 —
N. Courtens M 41 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
N. Hopland D 13 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
Twente Twente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Unnerstall G 96 7.20 — — — 32 25% — — —
A. Adelgaard D 77 6.90 — — — 37 35% 1 — —
R. Pröpper D 96 6.30 — — 1 81 65% — — —
M. Bruns D 96 6.70 — — 1 86 81% 2 — —
B. van Rooij D 96 7.20 — — — 70 59% 4 — —
T. van den Belt M 68 6.30 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
R. Zerrouki M 77 6.60 — — — 46 41% 2 — —
S. Ørjasæter M 57 6.30 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
D. Rots M 96 6.60 — — 2 37 29% — 1 —
M. Pjaca M 68 6.70 — — — 24 21% — — —
W. Weghorst F 96 6.20 — — 4 20 16% — — —
Kristian Hlynsson M 19 6.90 — — — 13 13% — — —
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F 28 6.70 — — 2 — — — — —
M. Kjølø M 28 7.20 — — 1 24 22% 2 — —
Sam Lammers F 19 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Y. Taha F 39 7.20 — — — 13 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Twente?
The final score was Heerenveen 1–0 Twente.
What did the model predict before Heerenveen vs Twente?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Heerenveen win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Twente win.