41'
(ast. R. Leao)
A. Rabiot
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Hellas Verona 23%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
0.48
Actual xG
0.85
1
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
D. Oyegoke
/ P. Lirola
21'
J. Akpa Akpro
24'
41'
ast. R. Leao ·
A. Rabiot⚽
D. Bradaric
/ I. Vermesan
46'
63'
S. Gimenez
/
R. Leao
63'
A. Saelemaekers
/
Z. Athekame
64'
S. Ricci
/
Y. Fofana
J. Akpa Akpro
/ Al Musrati
64'
80'
C. Nkunku
/
C. Pulisic
A. Bernede
/ Isaac
82'
R. Gagliardini
/ S. Lovric
83'
Al Musrati
85'
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Hellas
30.33%
X
46.39%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
46.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
0.48
-0.31
1.11
0.85
-0.26
AC Milan dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
N. Valentini
D
N. Valentini
D
5
A. Edmundsson
D
A. Edmundsson
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
12
D. Bradarić
45'
M
D. Bradarić
45'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
2
D. Oyegoke
21'
M
D. Oyegoke
21'
M
24
A. Bernede
82'
F
A. Bernede
82'
F
7
R. Belghali
F
R. Belghali
F
16
Gift Orban
F
Gift Orban
F
Bench
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
21
A. Harroui
M
A. Harroui
M
3
M. Frese
D
M. Frese
D
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
16
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
46
D
23
F. Tomori
D
F. Tomori
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
M
D. Bartesaghi
M
12
A. Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
A. Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
14
L. Modrić
M
L. Modrić
M
19
Y. Fofana
64'
M
Y. Fofana
64'
M
24
Z. Athekame
63'
M
Z. Athekame
63'
M
11
C. Pulišić
80'
F
C. Pulišić
80'
F
10
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
30
A. Jashari
M
A. Jashari
M
56
A. Saelemaekers
29'
F
A. Saelemaekers
29'
F
18
C. Nkunku
12'
F
C. Nkunku
12'
F
5
K. De Winter
D
K. De Winter
D
9
N. Füllkrug
F
N. Füllkrug
F
2
P. Estupiñán
D
P. Estupiñán
D
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
R. Loftus-Cheek
M
4
S. Ricci
28'
M
S. Ricci
28'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Valentini
D · Hellas
7.90
· 50 pass
A. Rabiot
M · AC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
L. Modrić
M · AC
7.70
· 77 pass
D · AC
7.70
· 50 pass
Victor Nelsson
D · Hellas
7.30
· 46 pass
R. Gagliardini
M · Hellas
7.30
· 60 pass
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| N. Valentini | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Edmundsson | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Bradarić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Oyegoke | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernede | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Belghali | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gift Orban | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| S. Pavlović | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Tomori | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Bartesaghi | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nkunku | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Ricci | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 30% to a draw, and 46% to an AC Milan win.