Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 19, 2026 17:00
41'
(ast. R. Leao)
A. Rabiot
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Hellas Verona 23%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
0.48
Actual xG
0.85
1
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
D. Oyegoke
/ P. Lirola
21'
J. Akpa Akpro
24'
41'
ast. R. Leao ·
A. Rabiot⚽
D. Bradaric
/ I. Vermesan
46'
63'
S. Gimenez
/
R. Leao
63'
A. Saelemaekers
/
Z. Athekame
64'
S. Ricci
/
Y. Fofana
J. Akpa Akpro
/ Al Musrati
64'
80'
C. Nkunku
/
C. Pulisic
A. Bernede
/ Isaac
82'
R. Gagliardini
/ S. Lovric
83'
Al Musrati
85'
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Hellas
30.33%
X
46.39%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
46.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
0.48
-0.31
1.11
0.85
-0.26
AC Milan dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
Nicolás Valentini
D
Nicolás Valentini
D
5
Andrias Edmundsson
D
Andrias Edmundsson
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
12
Domagoj Bradarić
45'
M
Domagoj Bradarić
45'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
2
D. Oyegoke
21'
M
24
Antoine Bernede
82'
F
Antoine Bernede
82'
F
7
Rafik Belghali
F
Rafik Belghali
F
16
G. Orban
F
Bench
21
Abdou Harroui
M
Abdou Harroui
M
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
3
Martin Frese
D
Martin Frese
D
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
16
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
46
D
23
F. Tomori
D
33
Davide Bartesaghi
M
Davide Bartesaghi
M
12
A. Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
A. Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
14
L. Modric
M
19
Youssouf Fofana
64'
M
Youssouf Fofana
64'
M
24
Zachary Athekame
63'
M
Zachary Athekame
63'
M
11
C. Pulišić
80'
F
C. Pulišić
80'
F
10
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
30
Ardon Jashari
M
Ardon Jashari
M
56
A. Saelemaekers
29'
F
A. Saelemaekers
29'
F
18
Christopher Nkunku
12'
F
Christopher Nkunku
12'
F
5
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
9
N. Füllkrug
F
N. Füllkrug
F
2
Pervis Estupiñán
D
Pervis Estupiñán
D
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
M
4
Samuele Ricci
28'
M
Samuele Ricci
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Nicolás Valentini
D · Hellas
7.90
· 50 pass
A. Rabiot
M · AC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
L. Modric
M · AC
7.70
· 77 pass
D · AC
7.70
· 50 pass
Victor Nelsson
D · Hellas
7.30
· 46 pass
R. Gagliardini
M · Hellas
7.30
· 60 pass
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Oyegoke | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Bernede | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Orban | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| S. Pavlović | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Tomori | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Modric | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Youssouf Fofana | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Zachary Athekame | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Christopher Nkunku | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 30% to a draw, and 46% to an AC Milan win.