41'
(ast. R. Leao)
A. Rabiot
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Hellas Verona 23%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
0.48
Actual xG
0.85
1
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
D. Oyegoke
/ P. Lirola
21'
J. Akpa Akpro
24'
41'
ast. R. Leao ·
A. Rabiot⚽
D. Bradaric
/ I. Vermesan
46'
63'
S. Gimenez
/
R. Leao
63'
A. Saelemaekers
/
Z. Athekame
64'
S. Ricci
/
Y. Fofana
J. Akpa Akpro
/ Al Musrati
64'
80'
C. Nkunku
/
C. Pulisic
A. Bernede
/ Isaac
82'
R. Gagliardini
/ S. Lovric
83'
Al Musrati
85'
Pre-match prediction
23.28%
Hellas
30.33%
X
46.39%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
46.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
0.48
-0.31
1.11
0.85
-0.26
AC Milan dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
N. Valentini
D
N. Valentini
D
5
A. Edmundsson
D
A. Edmundsson
D
15
V. Nelsson
D
V. Nelsson
D
12
D. Bradarić
45'
M
D. Bradarić
45'
M
63
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
R. Gagliardini
83'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
J. Akpa Akpro
64'
M
2
D. Oyegoke
21'
M
D. Oyegoke
21'
M
24
A. Bernede
82'
F
A. Bernede
82'
F
7
R. Belghali
F
R. Belghali
F
16
G. Orban
F
G. Orban
F
Bench
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
A. Bella-Kotchap
D
21
A. Harroui
M
A. Harroui
M
3
M. Frese
D
M. Frese
D
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
28'
M
16
G
31
Strahinja Pavlović
D
Strahinja Pavlović
D
46
D
23
Fikayo Tomori
D
Fikayo Tomori
D
33
Davide Bartesaghi
M
Davide Bartesaghi
M
12
Adrien Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
Adrien Rabiot
1 ⚽
M
14
Luka Modrić
M
Luka Modrić
M
19
Y. Fofana
64'
M
Y. Fofana
64'
M
24
Z. Athekame
63'
M
Z. Athekame
63'
M
11
Christian Pulišić
80'
F
Christian Pulišić
80'
F
10
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Rafael Leão
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
29'
F
Alexis Saelemaekers
29'
F
30
Ardon Jashari
M
Ardon Jashari
M
18
C. Nkunku
12'
F
C. Nkunku
12'
F
5
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
9
N. Füllkrug
F
N. Füllkrug
F
2
Pervis Estupiñán
D
Pervis Estupiñán
D
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
M
4
S. Ricci
28'
M
S. Ricci
28'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Valentini
D · Hellas
7.90
· 50 pass
Adrien Rabiot
M · AC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
Luka Modrić
M · AC
7.70
· 77 pass
D · AC
7.70
· 50 pass
V. Nelsson
D · Hellas
7.30
· 46 pass
R. Gagliardini
M · Hellas
7.30
· 60 pass
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| N. Valentini | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Edmundsson | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — |
| V. Nelsson | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Bradarić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Oyegoke | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernede | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Belghali | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Orban | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Strahinja Pavlović | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fikayo Tomori | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Christian Pulišić | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nkunku | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Ricci | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–1 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 30% to a draw, and 46% to an AC Milan win.