✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
56'
(ast. P. Dybala)
D. Malen
90'+3
(ast. P. Dybala)
S. El Shaarawy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Hellas Verona 15%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
7
0.77
Actual xG
3.45
5
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
6
27
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
N. Valentini
35'
S. Lovric
45'+1
46'
J. Ziolkowski
/
D. Ghilardi
46'
N. El Aynaoui
/
N. Pisilli
N. Valentini
50'
N. Valentini
50'
56'
(missed pen.)
D. Malen⚽
56'
ast. P. Dybala ·
D. Malen⚽
S. Lovric
/ Al Musrati
58'
T. Suslov
/ A. Bella-Kotchap
58'
A. Harroui
/ A. Sarr
70'
M. Frese
/ D. Bradaric
70'
71'
J. Ziolkowski
72'
S. El Shaarawy
/
M. Soule
73'
M. Kone
/
J. Ziolkowski
84'
R. Vaz
/
D. Malen
R. Belghali
/ I. Vermesan
86'
90'+3
ast. P. Dybala ·
S. El Shaarawy⚽
Pre-match prediction
15.03%
Hellas
22.72%
X
62.25%
AS ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
62.25%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.62
0.77
+0.15
1.56
3.45
+1.89
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.45 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lorenzo Montipò
G
Lorenzo Montipò
G
6
Nicolás Valentini
50'
D
Nicolás Valentini
50'
D
5
Andrias Edmundsson
D
Andrias Edmundsson
D
15
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
3
M. Frese
70'
M
M. Frese
70'
M
21
Abdou Harroui
70'
M
Abdou Harroui
70'
M
4
Sandi Lovrić
58'
M
Sandi Lovrić
58'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
M
J. Akpa Akpro
M
7
Rafik Belghali
86'
M
Rafik Belghali
86'
M
18
K. Bowie
F
K. Bowie
F
10
Tomáš Suslov
58'
F
Bench
9
Amin Sarr
25'
F
Amin Sarr
25'
F
24
Antoine Bernede
M
Antoine Bernede
M
37
Armel Bella-Kotchap
37'
D
Armel Bella-Kotchap
37'
D
36
Cheikh Niasse
M
Cheikh Niasse
M
12
Domagoj Bradarić
25'
D
Domagoj Bradarić
25'
D
70
Fallou Cham
D
Fallou Cham
D
94
Giacomo Toniolo
G
Giacomo Toniolo
G
90
Ioan Vermesan
9'
F
Ioan Vermesan
9'
F
41
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
72
Junior Ajayi
F
Junior Ajayi
F
30
Luca Szimionas
M
Luca Szimionas
M
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
37'
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
37'
M
14
Pol Lirola
D
Pol Lirola
D
34
Simone Perilli
G
Simone Perilli
G
19
Tobias Slotsager
D
Tobias Slotsager
D
99
Mile Svilar
G
Mile Svilar
G
22
Hermoso
D
Hermoso
D
87
Daniele Ghilardi
45'
D
Daniele Ghilardi
45'
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
2
Devyne Rensch
M
Devyne Rensch
M
61
Niccolò Pisilli
45'
M
Niccolò Pisilli
45'
M
4
Bryan Cristante
M
Bryan Cristante
M
19
Z. Çelik
M
Z. Çelik
M
21
P. Dybala
2 👟
F
P. Dybala
2 👟
F
18
M. Soulé
72'
F
M. Soulé
72'
F
14
D. Malen
1 ⚽
84'
F
D. Malen
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
3
Angeliño
D
Angeliño
D
9
Artem Dovbyk
F
Artem Dovbyk
F
70
Giorgio De Marzi
G
Giorgio De Marzi
G
24
Jan Ziółkowski
27'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
27'
D
20
Lorenzo Venturino
F
Lorenzo Venturino
F
17
Manu Koné
23'
M
Manu Koné
23'
M
74
Mohamed Seck
D
Mohamed Seck
D
8
Neil El Aynaoui
50'
M
Neil El Aynaoui
50'
M
95
Pierluigi Gollini
G
Pierluigi Gollini
G
91
Radosław Żelezny
G
Radosław Żelezny
G
78
Robinio Vaz
11'
F
Robinio Vaz
11'
F
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
1 ⚽
23'
F
Stephan El Shaarawy
1 ⚽
23'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.90
2 👟
3 shots
· 54 pass
Lorenzo Montipò
G · Hellas
8.30
· 32 pass
Daniele Ghilardi
D · AS
7.70
1 shots
· 46 pass
Stephan El Shaarawy
F · AS
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Bryan Cristante
M · AS
7.30
2 shots
· 76 pass
Mile Svilar
G · AS
7.30
· 25 pass
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Montipò | G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Frese | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Abdou Harroui | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Suslov | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Amin Sarr | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ioan Vermesan | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mile Svilar | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Cristante | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Dybala | F | 95 | 8.90 | — | 2 | 3 | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 84 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Manu Koné | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Robinio Vaz | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 23 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 22% to a draw, and 62% to an AS Roma win.