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0 – 2
Final score
#1 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
56' (ast. P. Dybala) D. Malen
90'+3 (ast. P. Dybala) S. El Shaarawy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Hellas Verona 15%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
7
0.77
Actual xG
3.45
5
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
6
27
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
N. Valentini
35'
S. Lovric
45'+1
46'
J. Ziolkowski / D. Ghilardi ↕
46'
N. El Aynaoui / N. Pisilli ↕
N. Valentini
50'
N. Valentini
50'
56'
(missed pen.) D. Malen⚽
56'
ast. P. Dybala · D. Malen⚽
↕ S. Lovric / Al Musrati
58'
↕ T. Suslov / A. Bella-Kotchap
58'
↕ A. Harroui / A. Sarr
70'
↕ M. Frese / D. Bradaric
70'
71'
J. Ziolkowski
72'
S. El Shaarawy / M. Soule ↕
73'
M. Kone / J. Ziolkowski ↕
84'
R. Vaz / D. Malen ↕
↕ R. Belghali / I. Vermesan
86'
90'+3
ast. P. Dybala · S. El Shaarawy⚽
Pre-match prediction
15.03%
Hellas
22.72%
X
62.25%
AS ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 62.25% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hellas
0.62
0.77
+0.15
AS
1.56
3.45
+1.89
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.45 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
1 Lorenzo Montipò Lorenzo Montipò G 8.30
6 N. Valentini N. Valentini 50' D 5.90
5 A. Edmundsson A. Edmundsson D 6.70
15 V. Nelsson V. Nelsson D 6.00
3 M. Frese M. Frese 70' M 7.20
21 A. Harroui A. Harroui 70' M 7.00
4 S. Lovrić S. Lovrić 58' M 6.60
11 J. Akpa Akpro J. Akpa Akpro M 6.60
7 Rafik Belghali Rafik Belghali 86' M 6.60
18 K. Bowie K. Bowie F 7.20
10 T. Suslov T. Suslov 58' F 6.90
Bench
37 A. Bella-Kotchap A. Bella-Kotchap 37' D 6.60
24 A. Bernede A. Bernede M
9 A. Sarr A. Sarr 25' F 6.30
36 Cheikh Niasse Cheikh Niasse M
12 D. Bradarić D. Bradarić 25' D 6.30
70 Fallou Cham Fallou Cham D
94 G. Toniolo G. Toniolo G
90 Ioan Vermeșan Ioan Vermeșan 9' F 6.70
41 Isaac Isaac F
72 Junior Ajayi Junior Ajayi F
30 Luca Szimionas Luca Szimionas M
73 Moatasem Al-Musrati Moatasem Al-Musrati 37' M 6.70
14 Pol Lirola Pol Lirola D
34 S. Perilli S. Perilli G
19 T. Slotsager T. Slotsager D
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar G 7.30
22 Hermoso Hermoso D 6.90
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 45' D 7.70
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini D 6.90
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch M 7.00
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 45' M 6.30
4 Bryan Cristante Bryan Cristante M 7.30
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik M 6.30
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 2 👟 F 8.90
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 72' F 6.30
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 ⚽ 84' F 6.20
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk F
3 Angeliño Angeliño D
70 Giorgio De Marzi Giorgio De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski 27' D 6.50
20 Lorenzo Venturino Lorenzo Venturino F
17 M. Koné M. Koné 23' M 6.30
74 Mohamed Seck Mohamed Seck D
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 50' M 7.20
95 Pierluigi Gollini Pierluigi Gollini G
91 Radosław Żelezny Radosław Żelezny G
78 R. Vaz R. Vaz 11' F 6.30
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.50
Best on the pitch
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.90
2 👟
3 shots · 54 pass
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò
G · Hellas
8.30
· 32 pass
D. Ghilardi
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
7.70
1 shots · 46 pass
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy
F · AS
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante
M · AS
7.30
2 shots · 76 pass
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar
G · AS
7.30
· 25 pass
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lorenzo Montipò G 95 8.30 — — — 32 18% 1 — —
N. Valentini D 50 5.90 — — — 17 11% 2 2 1
A. Edmundsson D 95 6.70 — — — 22 14% 3 — —
V. Nelsson D 95 6.00 — — — 21 13% — — —
M. Frese M 70 7.20 — — — 15 11% 4 — —
A. Harroui M 70 7.00 — — — 16 15% 3 — —
S. Lovrić M 58 6.60 — — — 25 21% 5 1 —
J. Akpa Akpro M 95 6.60 — — — 28 22% 5 — —
Rafik Belghali M 86 6.60 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
K. Bowie F 95 7.20 — — 3 11 8% — — —
T. Suslov F 58 6.90 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
A. Bella-Kotchap D 37 6.60 — — — 19 17% 1 — —
A. Sarr F 25 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
D. Bradarić D 25 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Ioan Vermeșan F 9 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Moatasem Al-Musrati M 37 6.70 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 95 7.30 — — — 25 21% — — —
Hermoso D 95 6.90 — — — 85 75% — — —
D. Ghilardi D 45 7.70 — — 1 46 46% 4 — —
G. Mancini D 95 6.90 — — — 50 46% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch M 95 7.00 — — — 45 38% 1 — —
N. Pisilli M 45 6.30 — — 1 51 44% — — —
Bryan Cristante M 95 7.30 — — 2 76 68% 1 — —
Z. Çelik M 95 6.30 — — — 38 32% 2 — —
P. Dybala F 95 8.90 — 2 3 54 46% — — —
M. Soulé F 72 6.30 — — 2 36 31% 1 — —
D. Malen F 84 6.20 1 — 3 15 9% 2 — —
Jan Ziółkowski D 27 6.50 — — 1 9 9% — 1 —
M. Koné M 23 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 50 7.20 — — — 31 27% 2 — —
R. Vaz F 11 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 23 7.50 1 — 1 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 22% to a draw, and 62% to an AS Roma win.