✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
56'
(ast. P. Dybala)
D. Malen
90'+3
(ast. P. Dybala)
S. El Shaarawy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Hellas Verona 15%). The final result was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Hellas Verona have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
7
0.77
Actual xG
3.45
5
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
6
27
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
N. Valentini
35'
S. Lovric
45'+1
46'
J. Ziolkowski
/
D. Ghilardi
46'
N. El Aynaoui
/
N. Pisilli
N. Valentini
50'
N. Valentini
50'
56'
(missed pen.)
D. Malen⚽
56'
ast. P. Dybala ·
D. Malen⚽
S. Lovric
/ Al Musrati
58'
T. Suslov
/ A. Bella-Kotchap
58'
A. Harroui
/ A. Sarr
70'
M. Frese
/ D. Bradaric
70'
71'
J. Ziolkowski
72'
S. El Shaarawy
/
M. Soule
73'
M. Kone
/
J. Ziolkowski
84'
R. Vaz
/
D. Malen
R. Belghali
/ I. Vermesan
86'
90'+3
ast. P. Dybala ·
S. El Shaarawy⚽
Pre-match prediction
15.03%
Hellas
22.72%
X
62.25%
AS ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma)
62.25%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.62
0.77
+0.15
1.56
3.45
+1.89
AS Roma dominated by xG (3.45 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lorenzo Montipò
G
Lorenzo Montipò
G
6
N. Valentini
50'
D
N. Valentini
50'
D
5
A. Edmundsson
D
A. Edmundsson
D
15
V. Nelsson
D
V. Nelsson
D
3
M. Frese
70'
M
M. Frese
70'
M
21
A. Harroui
70'
M
A. Harroui
70'
M
4
S. Lovrić
58'
M
S. Lovrić
58'
M
11
J. Akpa Akpro
M
J. Akpa Akpro
M
7
Rafik Belghali
86'
M
Rafik Belghali
86'
M
18
K. Bowie
F
K. Bowie
F
10
T. Suslov
58'
F
T. Suslov
58'
F
Bench
37
A. Bella-Kotchap
37'
D
A. Bella-Kotchap
37'
D
24
A. Bernede
M
A. Bernede
M
9
A. Sarr
25'
F
A. Sarr
25'
F
36
Cheikh Niasse
M
Cheikh Niasse
M
12
D. Bradarić
25'
D
D. Bradarić
25'
D
70
Fallou Cham
D
Fallou Cham
D
94
G. Toniolo
G
G. Toniolo
G
90
Ioan Vermeșan
9'
F
Ioan Vermeșan
9'
F
41
Isaac
F
Isaac
F
72
Junior Ajayi
F
Junior Ajayi
F
30
Luca Szimionas
M
Luca Szimionas
M
73
Moatasem Al-Musrati
37'
M
Moatasem Al-Musrati
37'
M
14
Pol Lirola
D
Pol Lirola
D
34
S. Perilli
G
S. Perilli
G
19
T. Slotsager
D
T. Slotsager
D
99
Mile Svilar
G
Mile Svilar
G
22
Hermoso
D
Hermoso
D
87
D. Ghilardi
45'
D
D. Ghilardi
45'
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
2
Devyne Rensch
M
Devyne Rensch
M
61
N. Pisilli
45'
M
N. Pisilli
45'
M
4
Bryan Cristante
M
Bryan Cristante
M
19
Z. Çelik
M
Z. Çelik
M
21
P. Dybala
2 👟
F
P. Dybala
2 👟
F
18
M. Soulé
72'
F
M. Soulé
72'
F
14
D. Malen
1 ⚽
84'
F
D. Malen
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
9
A. Dovbyk
F
A. Dovbyk
F
3
Angeliño
D
Angeliño
D
70
Giorgio De Marzi
G
Giorgio De Marzi
G
24
Jan Ziółkowski
27'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
27'
D
20
Lorenzo Venturino
F
Lorenzo Venturino
F
17
M. Koné
23'
M
M. Koné
23'
M
74
Mohamed Seck
D
Mohamed Seck
D
8
N. El Aynaoui
50'
M
N. El Aynaoui
50'
M
95
Pierluigi Gollini
G
Pierluigi Gollini
G
91
Radosław Żelezny
G
Radosław Żelezny
G
78
R. Vaz
11'
F
R. Vaz
11'
F
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
1 ⚽
23'
F
Stephan El Shaarawy
1 ⚽
23'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.90
2 👟
3 shots
· 54 pass
Lorenzo Montipò
G · Hellas
8.30
· 32 pass
D. Ghilardi
D · AS
7.70
1 shots
· 46 pass
Stephan El Shaarawy
F · AS
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Bryan Cristante
M · AS
7.30
2 shots
· 76 pass
Mile Svilar
G · AS
7.30
· 25 pass
Hellas Verona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Montipò | G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Valentini | D | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| A. Edmundsson | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Nelsson | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Frese | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Harroui | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Lovrić | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Akpa Akpro | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Suslov | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bella-Kotchap | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sarr | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Bradarić | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ioan Vermeșan | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mile Svilar | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 85 | 75% | — | — | — |
| D. Ghilardi | D | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pisilli | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Cristante | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Dybala | F | 95 | 8.90 | — | 2 | 3 | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Soulé | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Malen | F | 84 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Koné | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Vaz | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 23 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The final score was Hellas Verona 0–2 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 22% to a draw, and 62% to an AS Roma win.