Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro — pre-match prediction — Serie B — October 16, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 16, 2026 20:30 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

Hellas Verona

#13 · 9 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Catanzaro

#20 · 5 pts

Daniel Mosquera (ast. Dailon Livramento) 37'

Daniel Mosquera (ast. Amin Sarr) 67'

11' (ast. Marco Imperiale) Antonio Candela

(pen.) 75' Emanuele Pecorino

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hellas Verona a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Catanzaro 23%). The final result was Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.97

Actual xG

1.24

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

11'

ast. Marco Imperiale · Antonio Candela⚽

⚽Daniel Mosquera · ast. Dailon Livramento

37'

Dailon Livramento

41'

45'

Franky Tchaouna / Nicola Mosti ↕

62'

Gabriele Alesi / Samuel Giovane ↕

↕ Dailon Livramento / M. Akalé

63'

⚽Daniel Mosquera · ast. Amin Sarr

67'

71'

Simone Pafundi / Federico Di Francesco ↕

71'

G. Arditi / Pietro Lemmello ↕

↕ Amin Sarr / Martin Frese

72'

75'

(pen.) Emanuele Pecorino⚽

76'

Gabriele Alesi

↕ andrea le borgne / Abdou Harroui

78'

↕ Nicolo Calabrese / Tobias Slotsager

78'

↕ Davide De Battisti / Salvatore Cerbone

78'

86'

N'Dri Koffi / Emanuele Pecorino ↕

90'+1

Marco Imperiale

Pre-match prediction

51.4%

Hellas

24.79%

X ←

23.82%

Catanzaro

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.79% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Hellas

2.99

1.97

-1.02

Catanzaro

0.89

1.24

+0.35

Hellas Verona dominated by xG (1.97 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5

Lineups

Hellas Verona 4-2-3-1

S. Perilli G 6.24

D. De Battisti 78' D 6.62

P. Dawidowicz D 6.44

N. Calabrese 78' D 5.94

G. Zappa D 6.94

A. Bernede M 7.07

A. Le Borgne 78' M 6.35

A. Sarr 1 👟 72' M 7.43

E. Iannoni M 7.06

D. Livramento 1 👟 63' M 7.17

D. Mosquera 2 ⚽ F 9.83

Bench

A. Harroui 12' M 6.12

C. Ekuban F 0.00

F. Cham D 0.00

G. Kastanos M 0.00

K. Sezonienko F 0.00

M. Frese 18' D 6.14

N. Leali G 0.00

N. Lella M 0.00

R. Akale 27' M 5.97

S. Cerbone 12' F 6.47

S. Mulattieri F 0.00

T. Slotsager 12' D 6.16

Catanzaro 3-5-2

M. Pigliacelli G 6.04

M. Imperiale 1 👟 D 6.06

Matias Antonini D 6.92

M. Ruggero D 6.47

F. Di Francesco 71' M 6.29

S. Giovane 62' M 6.22

J. Petriccione M 6.84

N. Mosti 45' M 5.77

A. Candela 1 ⚽ M 8.20

P. Iemmello 71' F 6.35

E. Pecorino 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.38

Bench

B. Verrengia D 0.00

C. Marietta G 0.00

F. Tchaouna 45' M 6.11

G. Alesi 28' F 6.64

G. Arditi 19' F 6.42

M. D'Alessandro F 0.00

M. Dorval D 0.00

N. Buso F 0.00

Niccolò Postiglione D 0.00

N. Koffi 4' F 6.50

R. Frosinini D 0.00

S. Pafundi 19' M 5.98

Best on the pitch

D. Mosquera

F · Hellas

9.83

2 ⚽

6 shots · 23 pass

A. Candela

M · Catanzaro

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 23 pass

A. Sarr

M · Hellas

7.43

1 👟

7 shots · 22 pass

E. Pecorino

F · Catanzaro

7.38

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

D. Livramento

M · Hellas

7.17

1 👟

2 shots · 23 pass

A. Bernede

M · Hellas

7.07

1 shots · 89 pass

Hellas Verona — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Perilli	G	90	6.24	—	—	0	13	12%	0	—	—
D. De Battisti	D	78	6.62	—	—	2	38	34%	0	—	—
P. Dawidowicz	D	90	6.44	—	—	0	44	42%	0	—	—
N. Calabrese	D	78	5.94	—	—	0	38	32%	0	—	—
G. Zappa	D	90	6.94	—	—	2	60	52%	0	—	—
A. Bernede	M	90	7.07	—	—	1	89	82%	0	—	—
A. Le Borgne	M	78	6.35	—	—	2	51	43%	1	—	—
A. Sarr	M	72	7.43	—	1	7	22	18%	0	—	—
E. Iannoni	M	90	7.06	—	—	3	57	53%	3	—	—
D. Livramento	M	63	7.17	—	1	2	23	20%	0	1	—
D. Mosquera	F	90	9.83	2	—	6	23	19%	0	—	—
A. Harroui	M	12	6.12	—	—	0	11	11%	1	—	—
M. Frese	D	18	6.14	—	—	0	14	12%	0	—	—
R. Akale	M	27	5.97	—	—	0	14	11%	1	—	—
S. Cerbone	F	12	6.47	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
T. Slotsager	D	12	6.16	—	—	0	6	6%	1	—	—

Catanzaro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Pigliacelli	G	90	6.04	—	—	0	50	33%	0	—	—
M. Imperiale	D	90	6.06	—	1	0	41	34%	1	1	—
Matias Antonini	D	90	6.92	—	—	0	67	62%	1	—	—
M. Ruggero	D	90	6.47	—	—	0	45	40%	2	—	—
F. Di Francesco	M	71	6.29	—	—	1	17	12%	1	—	—
S. Giovane	M	62	6.22	—	—	1	9	7%	0	—	—
J. Petriccione	M	90	6.84	—	—	0	63	58%	1	—	—
N. Mosti	M	45	5.77	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—
A. Candela	M	90	8.20	1	—	1	23	22%	2	—	—
P. Iemmello	F	71	6.35	—	—	1	24	22%	0	—	—
E. Pecorino	F	86	7.38	1	—	3	11	9%	1	—	—
F. Tchaouna	M	45	6.11	—	—	0	16	11%	2	—	—
G. Alesi	F	28	6.64	—	—	0	11	10%	1	1	—
G. Arditi	F	19	6.42	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
N. Koffi	F	4	6.50	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
S. Pafundi	M	19	5.98	—	—	0	13	10%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

The final score was Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro.

What did the model predict before Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro?

The model assigned 51% probability to a Hellas Verona win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Catanzaro win.